Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 91-120 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
FGBI NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.
27 Mar 20268.12
10.00
23.12%
4
18.96
0.38%
2.78
FLG NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
14 Mar 202511.81
14.59
23.50%
4
52.26
1.89%
11.94
FLYW NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
26 Jun 202617.54
18.75
6.90%
6
43.44
1.89%
15.19
FNKO NASDAQ · Funko Inc
8 May 20265.26
5.51
4.75%
4
56.21
4.79%
14.62
FOR NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
6 Mar 202625.96
30.80
18.64%
4
49.13
2.15%
1.10
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
12 Jun 202623.44
20.99
-10.45%
6
80.97
0.70%
1.12
GCTS NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
12 Jun 20262.52
2.62
3.97%
5
81.99
16.22%
55.51
GFR NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
6 Feb 20265.74
5.54
-3.48%
4
65.60
2.23%
5.39
GMAB NASDAQ · Genmab AS
29 Aug 202524.87
28.52
14.66%
6
64.19
1.67%
1.72
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
1 Aug 202511.27
9.59
-14.91%
7
98.00
4.60%
1.27
GPRE NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
5 Sep 202510.64
15.51
45.77%
4
90.39
2.21%
16.49
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
1 Dec 20235.29
10.25
93.76%
4
67.56
12.45%
54.93
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
19 Jun 20265.40
4.40
-18.52%
4
65.69
8.79%
44.27
GTN NYSE · Gray Television Inc
4 Jul 20254.60
4.11
-10.61%
6
75.65
1.02%
7.54
HELE NASDAQ · Helen of Troy Ltd
12 Jun 202629.86
28.14
-5.76%
5
71.41
5.26%
17.71
HLX NYSE · Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc
30 Jan 20267.94
8.54
7.56%
4
39.82
1.31%
3.94
HOFT NASDAQ · Hooker Furniture Corporation
9 Jan 202611.62
16.82
44.75%
5
47.27
2.40%
0.20
HQI NASDAQ · Hirequest Inc
20 Feb 202611.47
12.77
11.34%
4
45.12
1.66%
3.40
HTO NASDAQ · H2O America
13 Feb 202654.47
62.42
14.59%
4
86.34
0.66%
0.70
HURA NASDAQ · TuHURA Biosciences Inc
19 Jun 20262.57
2.44
-5.06%
7
44.88
0.52%
5.58
HVT NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.99
24.97
8.60%
4
48.06
1.04%
2.61
HVT-A NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.61
29.95
32.44%
4
39.34
0.79%
0.55
IART NASDAQ · Integra LifeSciences Holdings
26 Jun 202618.76
18.05
-3.78%
4
88.74
6.21%
25.99
IBTA NYSE · Ibotta, Inc.
29 May 202634.25
35.57
3.85%
6
49.47
0.47%
1.93
IEP NASDAQ · Icahn Enterprises LP
3 Apr 20267.25
7.24
-0.07%
5
21.07
0.07%
2.70
IFF NYSE · International Flavors & Fragrances Inc
27 Mar 202670.64
83.83
18.67%
8
15.87
1.00%
1.68
IFRX NASDAQ · InflaRx N.V.
12 Jun 20261.60
2.24
40.00%
6
62.45
8.20%
10.39
IHS NYSE · IHS Holding Ltd
7 Feb 20253.79
8.22
116.89%
4
52.72
1.34%
8.33
IIPR NYSE · Innovative Industrial Properties Inc
8 May 202655.59
63.36
13.99%
5
51.06
1.20%
0.90
IMRX NASDAQ · Immuneering Corp
25 Jul 20254.06
5.19
27.83%
4
97.64
14.41%
81.13

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 541-570 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
27 Feb 2026
Exit
BVN NYSE · Compania de Minas Buenaventura SAA ADR
42.35
Reversal Risk Warning
446.08%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 7.76
27 Feb 2026
Entry
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
18.17
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.46 · ROC 5.29% · RS 25.71
27 Feb 2026
Exit
CGAU NYSE · Centerra Gold Inc
20.91
Reversal Risk Warning
257.11%
Entry 19 Apr 2024 5.85
27 Feb 2026
Entry
CGTL NASDAQ · Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
2.14
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 55.00 · ROC 23.93% · RS 10.33
27 Feb 2026
Entry
CLDT NYSE · Chatham Lodging Trust REIT
7.61
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 61.58 · ROC 1.38% · RS 2.79
27 Feb 2026
Exit
CVV NASDAQ · CVD Equipment Corporation
3.55
20% entry drawdown
-26.20%
Entry 30 Jan 2026 4.81
27 Feb 2026
Entry
DLHC NASDAQ · DLH Holdings Corp
6.00
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 2.65 · ROC 0.35% · RS 4.03
27 Feb 2026
Exit
DRVN NASDAQ · Driven Brands Holdings Inc
11.00
20% entry drawdown
-33.89%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 16.64
27 Feb 2026
Exit
FAF NYSE · First American Corporation
68.95
Reversal Risk Warning
45.80%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 47.29
27 Feb 2026
Exit
FIVE NASDAQ · Five Below Inc
223.53
Reversal Risk Warning
72.66%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 129.46
27 Feb 2026
Entry
FNKO NASDAQ · Funko Inc
5.00
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.99 · ROC 0.57% · RS 9.56
27 Feb 2026
Entry
FRPT NASDAQ · Freshpet Inc
84.45
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 81.94 · ROC 1.16% · RS 12.39
27 Feb 2026
Exit
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
2.30
20% entry drawdown
-28.01%
Entry 23 Jan 2026 3.20
27 Feb 2026
Exit
HSIC NASDAQ · Henry Schein Inc
82.39
Reversal Risk Warning
10.46%
Entry 7 Mar 2025 74.59
27 Feb 2026
Entry
IKT NASDAQ · Inhibikase Therapeutics Inc
2.05
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 15.71 · ROC 0.40% · RS 4.52
27 Feb 2026
Entry
JBLU NASDAQ · JetBlue Airways Corp
5.54
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 91.89 · ROC 4.45% · RS 5.57
27 Feb 2026
Entry
LBTYB NASDAQ · Liberty Global PLC Class B
12.72
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.64 · ROC 5.72% · RS 5.87
27 Feb 2026
Entry
MGNX NASDAQ · MacroGenics Inc
1.99
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 13.14 · ROC 1.69% · RS 13.01
27 Feb 2026
Exit
MRK NYSE · Merck & Company Inc
122.01
Reversal Risk Warning
27.73%
Entry 21 Nov 2025 95.52
27 Feb 2026
Entry
MRTN NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
13.47
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.83 · ROC 1.03% · RS 1.72
27 Feb 2026
Exit
NMAI NYSE · Nuveen Multi-Asset Income Fund
13.35
Reversal Risk Warning
59.04%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 8.39
27 Feb 2026
Entry
NOA NYSE · North American Construction Group Ltd
16.47
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 52.55 · ROC 1.05% · RS 0.91
27 Feb 2026
Entry
NXDT NYSE · NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund
4.31
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 99.32 · ROC 1.64% · RS 15.27
27 Feb 2026
Exit
ODV NYSE · Osisko Development Corp.
4.76
Reversal Risk Warning
133.33%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 2.04
27 Feb 2026
Entry
OLN NYSE · Olin Corporation
24.98
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 39.93 · ROC 3.06% · RS 6.34
27 Feb 2026
Exit
PAAS NYSE · Pan American Silver Corp.
68.28
Reversal Risk Warning
287.66%
Entry 3 May 2024 17.61
27 Feb 2026
Exit
PPTA NASDAQ · Perpetua Resources Corp
36.86
Reversal Risk Warning
1020.36%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 3.29
27 Feb 2026
Exit
SNBR NASDAQ · Sleep Number Corp
6.17
20% entry drawdown
-31.14%
Entry 20 Feb 2026 8.96
27 Feb 2026
Exit
STEM NYSE · Stem Inc
10.51
20% entry drawdown
-24.82%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 13.98
27 Feb 2026
Entry
STM NYSE · STMicroelectronics NV ADR
33.52
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.23 · ROC 1.91% · RS 16.74