Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65
Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781
Avg 3057.2/yr ·
254.8/mo ·
58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850
Stop 41.5% ·
Warning 58.0%
· Other 0.5%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ADBE
NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25
MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL
NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29
MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB
NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL
NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23
MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV
NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN
NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95
MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO
NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88
MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS
NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT
NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI
NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86
MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW
NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05
MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS
NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT
NYSE · Onterris
20.93
MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX
NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69
MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD
NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06
MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL
NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10
MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK
NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06
MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY
NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05
MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
ACB
NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63
20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU
NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52
20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01
20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX
NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69
20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT
NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05
20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE
NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11
20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM
NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03
20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI
NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62
20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT
NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40
20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX
NYSE · Edison International
77.63
Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO
NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68
20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO
NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96
20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK
NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77
20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG
NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05
20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG
NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22
Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV
NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37
20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL
NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35
20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS
NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01
Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA
NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22
20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX
NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25
20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI
NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12
20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI
NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27
20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF
NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75
Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG
NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17
20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB
NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63
20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC
NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52
20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN
NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73
20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT
NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89
20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX
NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95
20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS
NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28
20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA
NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73
20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU
NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38
20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING
NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33
20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW
NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57
20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR
NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06
20% entry drawdown · -45.47%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
GTIM
NASDAQ · Good Times Restaurants Inc
26 Jun 20261.39
1.40
0.72%
Buy
1.52
-
-
GTLB
NASDAQ · Gitlab Inc
15 May 202623.66
32.72
38.29%
Buy
0.03
-
-
GTN
NYSE · Gray Television Inc
28 Feb 20253.38
3.96
17.17%
Buy
0.29
-
-
GUTS
NASDAQ · Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock
12 Jun 20260.85
0.81
-4.71%
Buy
0.45
-
-
HAVA
NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10 Jul 202610.12
10.12
0.00%
Buy
1.40
-
-
HCHL
NASDAQ · Happy City Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary shares
15 May 20263.44
3.96
15.12%
Buy
0.48
-
-
HCKT
NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
17 Jul 202610.34
10.34
New
Entry week
Buy
0.19
-
-
HDB
NYSE · HDFC Bank Limited ADR
26 Jun 202625.74
26.38
2.49%
Buy
0.07
-
-
HE
NYSE · Hawaiian Electric Industries Inc
21 Feb 202510.76
13.45
25.00%
Buy
0.30
-
-
HELE
NASDAQ · Helen of Troy Ltd
24 Apr 202623.62
28.10
18.97%
Buy
0.29
-
-
HELP
NASDAQ · Cybin Inc. Common Stock
3 Jul 20266.24
7.25
16.19%
Buy
0.52
-
-
HGBL
NASDAQ · Heritage Global Inc
23 Jan 20261.37
1.23
-10.22%
Buy
0.23
-
-
HIHO
NASDAQ · Highway Holdings Limited
26 Jun 20260.88
0.78
-11.22%
Buy
0.63
-
-
HIVE
NASDAQ · HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd
1 May 20262.43
2.85
17.28%
Buy
0.15
-
-
HKD
NYSE · AMTD Digital Inc.
27 Feb 20261.75
1.61
-8.00%
Buy
0.29
-
-
HLMN
NASDAQ · Hillman Solutions Corp
18 Jul 20257.82
8.09
3.45%
Buy
0.43
-
-
HLX
NYSE · Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc
11 Jul 20256.55
9.58
46.26%
Buy
0.35
-
-
HMR
NASDAQ · Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. Common Stock
9 Jan 20260.91
1.07
17.50%
Buy
0.10
-
-
HOFT
NASDAQ · Hooker Furniture Corporation
15 Aug 20259.51
14.12
48.43%
Buy
0.36
-
-
HOG
NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
10 Apr 202622.62
26.58
17.51%
Buy
0.39
-
-
HPK
NASDAQ · Highpeak Energy Acquisition Corp
13 Feb 20265.09
7.37
44.70%
Buy
0.23
-
-
HPP
NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
5 Jun 202613.74
15.72
14.41%
Buy
1.30
-
-
HPQ
NYSE · HP Inc
1 May 202620.58
24.84
20.70%
Buy
0.48
-
-
HQI
NASDAQ · Hirequest Inc
16 Jan 202610.84
12.11
11.71%
Buy
1.69
-
-
HRB
NYSE · H&R Block Inc
8 May 202636.56
42.08
15.11%
Buy
0.40
-
-
HRI
NYSE · Herc Holdings Inc
12 Jun 2026144.62
149.47
3.35%
Buy
0.29
-
-
HRL
NYSE · Hormel Foods Corporation
12 Jun 202624.46
25.39
3.81%
Buy
0.41
-
-
HSTM
NASDAQ · HealthStream Inc
17 Apr 202621.70
28.48
31.26%
Buy
0.12
-
-
HTLM
NASDAQ · HomesToLife Ltd
5 Jun 20262.14
2.02
-5.84%
Buy
0.24
-
-
HUM
NYSE · Humana Inc
1 May 2026233.09
400.00
71.61%
Buy
0.08
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
2 Jan 2026
Exit
CCCC
NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1.93
20% entry drawdown
-22.80%
Entry 8 Aug 2025
2.50
2 Jan 2026
Entry
CGTL
NASDAQ · Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
18.15
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 2.08
2 Jan 2026
Entry
CHH
NYSE · Choice Hotels International Inc
95.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.06
2 Jan 2026
Entry
CMCSA
NASDAQ · Comcast Corp
25.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.04
2 Jan 2026
Entry
DJT
NASDAQ · Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.
13.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.12
2 Jan 2026
Exit
DX
NYSE · Dynex Capital Inc
13.22
Reversal Risk Warning
49.23%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
8.86
2 Jan 2026
Exit
EDIT
NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
2.05
20% entry drawdown
-20.23%
Entry 4 Jul 2025
2.57
2 Jan 2026
Exit
ESHA
NASDAQ · ESH Acquisition Corp. Class A Common Stock
15.25
Reversal Risk Warning
35.68%
Entry 10 Jan 2025
11.24
2 Jan 2026
Exit
FDMT
NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
7.32
20% entry drawdown
-25.61%
Entry 17 Oct 2025
9.84
2 Jan 2026
Entry
INBK
NASDAQ · First Internet Bancorp
20.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.23
2 Jan 2026
Exit
IRS
NYSE · IRSA Inversiones Y Representaciones
16.62
Reversal Risk Warning
142.66%
Entry 8 Dec 2023
6.85
2 Jan 2026
Exit
MSB
NYSE · Mesabi Trust
38.93
Reversal Risk Warning
147.82%
Entry 13 Sep 2024
15.71
2 Jan 2026
Entry
NDLS
NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
5.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.69
2 Jan 2026
Exit
NRDY
NYSE · Nerdy Inc
1.02
20% entry drawdown
-24.44%
Entry 12 Dec 2025
1.35
2 Jan 2026
Entry
OMSE
NASDAQ · OMS Energy Technologies Inc.
4.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.10
2 Jan 2026
Entry
OPTX
NASDAQ · Syntec Optics Holdings Inc.
3.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.04
2 Jan 2026
Exit
ORIO
NASDAQ · Orion Digital Corp.
1.01
20% entry drawdown
-21.09%
Entry 16 May 2025
1.28
2 Jan 2026
Exit
OXLCO
NASDAQ · Oxford Lane Capital Corp Corp Pref 9
22.83
Reversal Risk Warning
23.53%
Entry 22 Dec 2023
18.48
2 Jan 2026
Entry
POWI
NASDAQ · Power Integrations Inc
37.04
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.13
2 Jan 2026
Entry
PSEC
NASDAQ · Prospect Capital Corporation
2.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.62
2 Jan 2026
Entry
PSIG
NASDAQ · PS International Group Ltd. Ordinary Shares
4.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.79
2 Jan 2026
Exit
REKR
NASDAQ · Rekor Systems Inc
1.42
20% entry drawdown
-20.67%
Entry 19 Sep 2025
1.79
2 Jan 2026
Entry
SIDU
NASDAQ · Sidus Space Inc
4.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.29
2 Jan 2026
Entry
SNPS
NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
480.42
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.02
2 Jan 2026
Entry
SON
NYSE · Sonoco Products Company
43.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.19
2 Jan 2026
Exit
TMO
NYSE · Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc
591.32
Reversal Risk Warning
43.10%
Entry 18 Jul 2025
413.24
2 Jan 2026
Entry
UA
NYSE · Under Armour Inc C
5.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.43
2 Jan 2026
Entry
UAA
NYSE · Under Armour Inc A
5.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.54
2 Jan 2026
Entry
UXIN
NASDAQ · Uxin Ltd
3.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.46
2 Jan 2026
Exit
WYHG
NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
2.25
20% entry drawdown
-26.12%
Entry 19 Dec 2025
3.04