View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 7 Aug 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
494.61
Total Return
394.61%
CAGR
56.21% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.47%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.18
Current Holdings
1076
Transactions
10942 Avg 3053.1/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4933 Stop 42.1% · Warning 57.3% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

7 Aug 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
41
ACM NYSE · Aecom Technology Corporation
75.84 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ACN NYSE · Accenture plc
175.72 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.27 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BAFN NASDAQ · Bayfirst Financial Corp
6.34 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
11.22 MD 0.46 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BGSI NYSE · Boyd Group Services Inc.
102.34 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BHC NYSE · Bausch Health Companies Inc
6.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIOA NASDAQ · BioAge Labs, Inc
11.72 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BRLT NASDAQ · Brilliant Earth Group Inc
1.28 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
64.00 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CLX NYSE · The Clorox Company
105.15 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CTSH NASDAQ · Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp Class A
57.67 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
3.32 MD 1.69 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DOCS NYSE · Doximity Inc
27.40 MD 0.99 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FRPT NASDAQ · Freshpet Inc
66.91 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FWRD NASDAQ · Forward Air Corporation
19.35 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
G NYSE · Genpact Limited
34.29 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLOB NYSE · Globant SA
37.40 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUIZ NASDAQ · Huize Holding Ltd
1.66 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INSP NYSE · Inspire Medical Systems Inc
60.16 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTU NASDAQ · Intuit Inc
325.25 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
IT NYSE · Gartner Inc
185.60 MD 0.94 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LBRDA NASDAQ · Liberty Broadband Srs A
35.93 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.28 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MOS NYSE · The Mosaic Company
23.06 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
14.42 MD 0.94 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPCH NASDAQ · Option Care Health Inc
23.79 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PBH NYSE · Prestige Brand Holdings Inc
54.85 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PCOR NYSE · Procore Technologies Inc
57.06 MD 0.53 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
2.14 MD 0.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RKDA NASDAQ · Arcadia Biosciences Inc
0.70 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RWAY NASDAQ · Runway Growth Finance Corp
6.84 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.53 MD 0.61 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TNDM NASDAQ · Tandem Diabetes Care Inc
22.38 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
101.83 MD 1.69 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TSCO NASDAQ · Tractor Supply Company
34.56 MD 0.23 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
31.09 MD 0.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VNT NYSE · Vontier Corp
35.09 MD 0.23 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WIX NASDAQ · Wix.Com Ltd
60.20 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
2.02 MD 1.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ZKH NYSE · ZKH Group Limited
2.85 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
24
AHCO NASDAQ · Adapthealth Corp
5.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
0.91 20% entry drawdown · -26.62%
AMLX NASDAQ · Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
22.82 Reversal Risk Warning · 260.51%
APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC
49.55 20% entry drawdown · -25.65%
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
21.13 20% entry drawdown · -27.06%
BAER NASDAQ · Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.26 20% entry drawdown · -32.44%
BTMD NASDAQ · biote Corp
1.48 20% entry drawdown · -31.80%
CRL NYSE · Charles River Laboratories
267.49 Reversal Risk Warning · 78.98%
DAAQ NASDAQ · Digital Asset Acquisition Corp.
8.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.51%
FVN NASDAQ · Future Vision II Acquisition Corporation Ordinary shares
11.80 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.61%
GDTC NASDAQ · CytoMed Therapeutics Limited Ordinary Shares
0.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.20%
HCAT NASDAQ · Health Catalyst Inc
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -24.45%
HGBL NASDAQ · Heritage Global Inc
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
IPCX NASDAQ · Inflection Point Acquisition Corp. III Class A Ordinary Shares
4.44 20% entry drawdown · -56.34%
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.08 20% entry drawdown · -40.33%
MTW NYSE · Manitowoc Company Inc
18.81 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.09%
ONT NYSE · Onterris
16.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.12%
ORGO NASDAQ · Organogenesis Holdings Inc
1.86 20% entry drawdown · -29.01%
PETZ NASDAQ · TDH Holdings Inc
1.59 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.40%
PZZA NASDAQ · Papa John's International Inc
24.47 20% entry drawdown · -33.77%
SPPL NASDAQ · SIMPPLE LTD. Ordinary Shares
2.54 20% entry drawdown · -35.20%
SWK NYSE · Stanley Black & Decker Inc
103.89 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.82%
UHAL NYSE · U-Haul Holding Company
75.27 Reversal Risk Warning · 43.13%
VAC NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide
123.47 Reversal Risk Warning · 110.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 601-630 of 1076 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
24 Jul 20260.98
1.06
8.16%
Buy
0.13
-
-
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
20 Mar 202626.05
56.60
117.27%
Buy
0.21
-
-
MANH NASDAQ · Manhattan Associates Inc
8 May 2026143.02
195.23
36.51%
Buy
0.22
-
-
MARA NASDAQ · Marathon Digital Holdings Inc
17 Apr 202611.60
10.09
-13.02%
Buy
0.53
-
-
MASS NASDAQ · 908 Devices Inc
14 Mar 20254.11
8.88
116.06%
Buy
1.10
-
-
MAT NASDAQ · Mattel Inc
17 Jul 202614.30
14.79
3.43%
Buy
0.13
-
-
MATV NYSE · Mativ Holdings Inc.
6 Jun 20255.94
12.89
117.08%
Buy
0.67
-
-
MATW NASDAQ · Matthews International Corporation
27 Jun 202523.41
23.70
1.23%
Buy
0.33
-
-
MAX NYSE · MediaAlpha Inc.
8 May 20269.11
13.40
47.09%
Buy
0.06
-
-
MBAV NASDAQ · M3-Brigade Acquisition V Corp. Class A Ordinary shares
19 Jun 202610.80
11.14
3.14%
Buy
0.09
-
-
MBC NYSE · MasterBrand Inc.
12 Jun 20268.88
9.37
5.52%
Buy
0.24
-
-
MCFT NASDAQ · MCBC Holdings Inc
30 May 202517.01
24.36
43.21%
Buy
0.02
-
-
MCGA NASDAQ · Yorkville Acquisition Corp.
20 Feb 202610.15
10.23
0.79%
Buy
0.15
-
-
MDB NASDAQ · MongoDB
6 Jun 2025220.14
398.80
81.16%
Buy
0.04
-
-
MDCX NASDAQ · Medicus Pharma Ltd. Common Stock
12 Jun 20260.34
0.30
-11.28%
Buy
0.13
-
-
MDLZ NASDAQ · Mondelez International Inc
30 Jan 202657.97
62.61
8.01%
Buy
0.24
-
-
MDXG NASDAQ · MiMedx Group Inc
26 Jun 20263.93
4.34
10.43%
Buy
0.42
-
-
MED NYSE · MEDIFAST INC
30 Jan 202611.44
12.62
10.31%
Buy
0.24
-
-
MEI NYSE · Methode Electronics Inc
8 May 20269.63
16.67
73.10%
Buy
0.25
-
-
MFIC NASDAQ · MidCap Financial Investment Corporation
10 Apr 202611.35
9.76
-14.01%
Buy
0.42
-
-
MGNX NASDAQ · MacroGenics Inc
22 May 20264.53
4.04
-10.82%
Buy
1.21
-
-
MHLA NYSE · Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046
8 May 202612.07
10.63
-12.01%
Buy
0.11
-
-
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
10 Jul 202650.81
52.83
3.98%
Buy
0.15
-
-
MKDW NASDAQ · MKDWELL Tech Inc. Ordinary Share
3 Apr 20266.99
11.80
68.81%
Buy
0.04
-
-
MKLY NASDAQ · McKinley Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Shares
24 Apr 202610.14
10.23
0.89%
Buy
0.34
-
-
MKTW NASDAQ · Marketwise Inc
17 Jan 20259.95
20.25
103.55%
Buy
0.99
-
-
MLAB NASDAQ · Mesa Laboratories Inc
17 Oct 202572.69
102.65
41.21%
Buy
0.12
-
-
MLCO NASDAQ · Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd
16 May 20256.44
5.52
-14.29%
Buy
0.43
-
-
MLR NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
20 Jun 202542.87
54.54
27.22%
Buy
0.18
-
-
MLTX NASDAQ · MoonLake Immunotherapeutics
20 Feb 202618.77
18.26
-2.72%
Buy
0.36
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 10021-10050 of 10942
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
17 Nov 2023
Entry
WSR NYSE · Whitestone REIT
9.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.43
10 Nov 2023
Entry
ABVC NASDAQ · ABVC Biopharma Inc
1.06
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
10 Nov 2023
Entry
AMBP NYSE · Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
2.59
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
10 Nov 2023
Entry
AMT NYSE · American Tower Corp
167.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
10 Nov 2023
Entry
ATLCP NASDAQ · Atlanticus Holdings Corp Preferred
16.69
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
10 Nov 2023
Entry
AZO NYSE · AutoZone Inc
2702.34
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.34
10 Nov 2023
Entry
BBSI NASDAQ · Barrett Business Services Inc
25.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
10 Nov 2023
Entry
BVFL NASDAQ · BV Financial, Inc. Common Stock
10.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.44
10 Nov 2023
Entry
CL NYSE · Colgate-Palmolive Company
71.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
10 Nov 2023
Entry
DECK NYSE · Deckers Outdoor Corporation
105.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
10 Nov 2023
Entry
EA NASDAQ · Electronic Arts Inc
131.03
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
10 Nov 2023
Exit
ELDN NASDAQ · Eledon Pharmaceuticals Inc
1.16
20% entry drawdown
-24.18%
Entry 6 Oct 2023 1.53
10 Nov 2023
Entry
FATE NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc
2.06
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
10 Nov 2023
Exit
FLXS NASDAQ · Flexsteel Industries Inc
15.63
20% entry drawdown
-26.94%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 21.40
10 Nov 2023
Exit
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
60.54
20% entry drawdown
-23.45%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 79.09
10 Nov 2023
Entry
GRMN NYSE · Garmin Ltd
111.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
10 Nov 2023
Exit
GRPN NASDAQ · Groupon Inc
8.83
20% entry drawdown
-21.83%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 11.29
10 Nov 2023
Entry
GWW NYSE · WW Grainger Inc
776.02
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
10 Nov 2023
Entry
HCI NYSE · HCI Group Inc
72.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.45
10 Nov 2023
Entry
HLIT NASDAQ · Harmonic Inc
10.72
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
10 Nov 2023
Entry
HRTG NYSE · Heritage Insurance Hldgs Inc
7.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.06
10 Nov 2023
Entry
HWBK NASDAQ · Hawthorn Bancshares Inc
19.79
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.10
10 Nov 2023
Entry
IFF NYSE · International Flavors & Fragrances Inc
67.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38
10 Nov 2023
Entry
JAKK NASDAQ · JAKKS Pacific Inc
24.94
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
10 Nov 2023
Entry
JXN NYSE · Jackson Financial Inc
39.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.97
10 Nov 2023
Entry
LDOS NYSE · Leidos Holdings Inc
100.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
10 Nov 2023
Exit
LFVN NASDAQ · Lifevantage Corporation
5.39
20% entry drawdown
-27.05%
Entry 27 Oct 2023 7.38
10 Nov 2023
Exit
LYTS NASDAQ · LSI Industries Inc
11.91
20% entry drawdown
-23.18%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 15.50
10 Nov 2023
Entry
METC NASDAQ · Ramaco Resources Inc
14.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.73
10 Nov 2023
Entry
MTX NYSE · Minerals Technologies Inc
58.35
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07

Evidence context