View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

Market United States

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00

Index Value

483.76

Total Return

383.76%

CAGR

56.75% Annualized from first index week

Edge vs Market

+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR

Risk Adjusted

Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20

Current Holdings

1117

Transactions

10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk

Exit Mix

4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions

This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close

AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC

13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc

161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings

2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation

60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.

0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc

125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc

73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd

4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

GIB NYSE · CGI Inc

67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares

1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share

10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares

11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share

10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated

50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share

10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd

1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.

2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc

11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock

0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co

0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp

1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc

1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc

30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.

72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc

19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc

2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc

2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR

2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close

APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd

1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%

BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc

3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%

BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock

126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%

BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc

3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%

CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation

46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%

CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc

0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%

CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc

6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%

GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.

0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%

GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp

152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%

JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares

0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%

KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc

23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%

LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc

5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%

NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.

14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%

OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc

0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%

TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.

1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%

WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation

17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 61-90 of 1117 open

Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS

AMPH NASDAQ · Amphastar P

26 Jun 202621.78

18.72

-14.05%

Buy

0.46

AMPL NASDAQ · Amplitude Inc

22 May 20266.70

9.18

37.01%

Buy

0.34

AMPY NYSE · Amplify Energy Corp

13 Jun 20253.56

3.94

10.67%

Buy

0.03

AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc

19 Sep 2025166.10

146.69

-11.69%

Buy

1.61

AMRC NYSE · Ameresco Inc

6 Jun 202515.51

24.94

60.80%

Buy

0.49

AMRN NASDAQ · Amarin Corporation PLC

23 May 202511.11

14.88

33.93%

Buy

0.02

AMSF NASDAQ · AMERISAFE Inc

19 Jun 202631.32

34.46

10.03%

Buy

0.17

AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co

12 Jun 20261.26

1.14

-9.52%

Buy

0.28

AMWL NYSE · American Well Corp

8 May 20267.97

9.91

24.34%

Buy

1.34

ANF NYSE · Abercrombie & Fitch Company

6 Jun 202582.99

93.07

12.15%

Buy

0.22

ANGI NASDAQ · ANGI Homeservices Inc

3 Jul 20266.06

6.24

2.97%

Buy

0.09

ANIK NASDAQ · Anika Therapeutics Inc

24 Oct 202510.01

15.60

55.84%

Buy

0.89

ANNX NASDAQ · Annexon Inc

12 Sep 20252.42

5.80

139.67%

Buy

0.33

ANTX NASDAQ · AN2 Therapeutics Inc

6 Mar 20262.85

4.50

57.89%

Buy

0.07

AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation

10 Jul 202660.44

60.44

New Entry week

Buy

0.00

AOUT NASDAQ · American Outdoor Brands Inc

26 Dec 20258.28

14.34

73.19%

Buy

0.41

APOG NASDAQ · Apogee Enterprises Inc

5 Jun 202637.01

38.82

4.89%

Buy

0.04

APPF NASDAQ · Appfolio Inc

15 May 2026151.70

175.58

15.74%

Buy

0.02

APPN NASDAQ · Appian Corp

5 Jun 202624.73

25.36

2.55%

Buy

0.08

APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC

6 Jun 202566.64

60.57

-9.11%

Buy

0.17

APXT NASDAQ · Apex Treasury Corporation

19 Jun 202610.06

10.07

0.10%

Buy

1.12

APYX NASDAQ · Apyx Medical Inc

13 Jun 20251.75

4.38

150.29%

Buy

0.86

ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.

10 Jul 20260.42

0.42

New Entry week

Buy

0.40

ARCO NYSE · Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc

31 Oct 20257.05

8.46

20.03%

Buy

0.33

ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc

27 Feb 20268.23

6.97

-15.31%

Buy

0.18

ARDT NYSE · Ardent Health Partners, Inc.

27 Feb 20269.39

10.08

7.35%

Buy

0.14

ARDX NASDAQ · Ardelyx Inc

18 Jul 20254.41

5.28

19.73%

Buy

0.03

ARES NYSE · Ares Management LP

22 May 2026122.41

121.81

-0.49%

Buy

0.24

ARHS NASDAQ · Arhaus Inc

26 Jun 20268.41

7.86

-6.54%

Buy

0.42

ARKR NASDAQ · Ark Restaurants Corp

2 Jan 20266.61

5.85

-11.50%

Buy

0.11

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2341-2370 of 10719

Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers

20 Feb 2026

Exit

CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings

3.48

20% entry drawdown

-21.62%

Entry 14 Mar 2025 4.44

20 Feb 2026

Exit

CLST NASDAQ · Catalyst Bancorp Inc

16.14

Reversal Risk Warning

35.52%

Entry 14 Jul 2023 11.91

20 Feb 2026

Exit

CMTG NYSE · Claros Mortgage Trust Inc

2.35

20% entry drawdown

-25.87%

Entry 4 Jul 2025 3.17

20 Feb 2026

Exit

CNP NYSE · CenterPoint Energy Inc

42.77

Reversal Risk Warning

58.18%

Entry 1 Dec 2023 27.04

20 Feb 2026

Entry

CNXC NASDAQ · Concentrix Corporation

32.40

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27

20 Feb 2026

Entry

CODI NYSE · Compass Diversified Holdings

7.57

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.99

20 Feb 2026

Entry

CZR NASDAQ · Caesars Entertainment Corporation

21.23

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04

20 Feb 2026

Entry

DAAQ NASDAQ · Digital Asset Acquisition Corp.

10.24

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27

20 Feb 2026

Exit

DE NYSE · Deere & Company

660.59

Reversal Risk Warning

65.59%

Entry 14 Jul 2023 398.94

20 Feb 2026

Entry

DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc

47.43

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38

20 Feb 2026

Entry

ECOR NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC

6.25

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.89

20 Feb 2026

Entry

EEFT NASDAQ · Euronet Worldwide Inc

72.50

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.39

20 Feb 2026

Entry

ELDN NASDAQ · Eledon Pharmaceuticals Inc

2.19

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16

20 Feb 2026

Exit

FDP NYSE · Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc

40.78

Reversal Risk Warning

60.10%

Entry 2 Aug 2024 25.47

20 Feb 2026

Entry

FNKO NASDAQ · Funko Inc

5.24

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.78

20 Feb 2026

Exit

FR NYSE · First Industrial Realty Trust Inc

61.55

Reversal Risk Warning

24.48%

Entry 15 Dec 2023 49.44

20 Feb 2026

Entry

FSLY NASDAQ · Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock

18.08

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.35

20 Feb 2026

Exit

FUND NASDAQ · Sprott Focus Trust

9.57

Reversal Risk Warning

51.69%

Entry 8 Dec 2023 6.31

20 Feb 2026

Entry

GRNT NYSE · Granite Ridge Resources Inc

5.00

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.30

20 Feb 2026

Exit

INVA NASDAQ · Innoviva Inc

23.39

Reversal Risk Warning

77.87%

Entry 28 Jul 2023 13.15

20 Feb 2026

Exit

ISPR NASDAQ · Ispire Technology Inc. Common Stock

2.27

20% entry drawdown

-22.26%

Entry 19 Dec 2025 2.92

20 Feb 2026

Exit

JHG NYSE · Janus Henderson Group PLC

50.20

Reversal Risk Warning

96.15%

Entry 14 Jul 2023 25.59

20 Feb 2026

Entry

KGEI NASDAQ · Kolibri Global Energy Inc. Common stock

3.94

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.88

20 Feb 2026

Exit

KO NYSE · The Coca-Cola Company

78.78

Reversal Risk Warning

44.46%

Entry 1 Dec 2023 54.53

20 Feb 2026

Entry

KWM NASDAQ · K Wave Media Ltd.

0.75

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05

20 Feb 2026

Exit

LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC

3.28

20% entry drawdown

-26.29%

Entry 6 Jun 2025 4.45

20 Feb 2026

Entry

LI NASDAQ · Li Auto Inc

18.28

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23

20 Feb 2026

Entry

LOOP NASDAQ · Loop Industries Inc

1.30

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11

20 Feb 2026

Exit

MAYS NASDAQ · J W Mays Inc

55.00

Reversal Risk Warning

47.33%

Entry 30 May 2025 37.33

20 Feb 2026

Entry

MCGA NASDAQ · Yorkville Acquisition Corp.

10.15

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15