Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
484.55
Total Return
384.55%
CAGR
56.82%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.37%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.68
Sortino 5.21
Current Holdings
1108
Transactions
10720
Avg 3056.5/yr ·
254.7/mo ·
58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4806
Stop 41.2% ·
Warning 58.2%
· Other 0.5%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ABT
NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
93.27
MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88
MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG
NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.15
MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO
NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13
MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS
NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44
MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR
NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53
MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BBOT
NASDAQ · BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics, Inc.
8.32
MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM
NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31
MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB
NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06
MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG
NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46
MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA
NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12
MD 1.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL
NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73
MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LZ
NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
7.25
MD 0.71 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V
NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81
MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX
NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15
MD 2.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO
NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW
NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Q
NYSE · Qnity Electronics, Inc
143.80
MD 0.79 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD
NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17
MD 1.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX
NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55
MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN
NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX
NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27
MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM
NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76
MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK
NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99
MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH
NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54
MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN
NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74
MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP
NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46
MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI
NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93
MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB
NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91
MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
APWC
NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53
20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BCDA
NASDAQ · Biocardia Inc
0.91
20% entry drawdown · -23.77%
BIRD
NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13
20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN
NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77
Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BLZE
NASDAQ · Backblaze Inc
17.60
Reversal Risk Warning · 135.29%
BMAC
NYSE · Black Mountain Acquisition Corp
10.60
Ticker inactive / final available close · 0.00%
BYRN
NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87
20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE
NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92
20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG
NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85
20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CLYM
NASDAQ · Climb Bio Inc
14.00
Reversal Risk Warning · 227.10%
CVAC
NASDAQ · CureVac NV
4.66
Ticker inactive / final available close · 47.47%
CWH
NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22
20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
DENN
NASDAQ · Dennys Corp
6.25
Ticker inactive / final available close · 51.33%
DWSN
NASDAQ · Dawson Geophysical Company
7.57
Reversal Risk Warning · 394.77%
EWTX
NASDAQ · Edgewise Therapeutics Inc
45.41
Reversal Risk Warning · 315.08%
GAME
NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31
20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS
NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72
Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
GRCL
NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
10.25
Ticker inactive / final available close · 107.49%
IRDM
NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
50.06
Reversal Risk Warning · 118.07%
KELYB
NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95
Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO
NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23
20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
MBX
NASDAQ · MBX Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock
61.05
Reversal Risk Warning · 408.75%
MPLT
NASDAQ · MapLight Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
39.32
Reversal Risk Warning · 36.43%
ODP
NASDAQ · ODP Corp
28.00
Ticker inactive / final available close · 57.57%
OMEX
NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71
20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
PC
NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
9.40
Ticker inactive / final available close · 41.10%
PTRN
NASDAQ · Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock
28.95
Reversal Risk Warning · 81.85%
RCM
NASDAQ · R1 RCM Inc
14.31
Ticker inactive / final available close · 28.92%
RLAY
NASDAQ · Relay Therapeutics Inc
20.01
Reversal Risk Warning · 566.83%
ROSS
NYSE · Ross Acquisition II Corp
11.08
Ticker inactive / final available close · 3.84%
SBFG
NASDAQ · SB Financial Group Inc
26.27
Reversal Risk Warning · 94.76%
SLRN
NASDAQ · ACELYRIN, INC. Common Stock
2.27
Ticker inactive / final available close · -11.67%
THRD
NASDAQ · Third Harmonic Bio Inc.
5.38
Ticker inactive / final available close · 4.06%
TLPH
NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46
Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
TTRX
NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
9.44
Reversal Risk Warning · 84.02%
WATT
NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99
20% entry drawdown · -27.25%
WKC
NYSE · World Kinect Corporation
35.32
Reversal Risk Warning · 71.05%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
BNAI
NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
23 Jan 202616.48
14.11
-14.38%
Buy
0.41
-
-
BOC
NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
22 May 202612.53
14.09
12.45%
Buy
0.04
-
-
BOLD
NASDAQ · Boundless Bio, Inc. Common Stock
26 Jun 20262.56
2.41
-5.86%
Buy
0.96
-
-
BON
NASDAQ · Bon Natural Life Ltd
5 Jun 20261.25
1.22
-2.40%
Buy
0.02
-
-
BORR
NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
5 Sep 20253.04
4.33
42.43%
Buy
1.85
-
-
BOW
NYSE · Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.
1 May 202624.32
31.39
29.07%
Buy
0.29
-
-
BOX
NYSE · Box Inc
8 May 202625.72
28.64
11.35%
Buy
0.36
-
-
BPAC
NASDAQ · Bullpen Parlay Acquisition Co
12 Jun 202610.12
10.13
0.10%
Buy
0.59
-
-
BRAG
NASDAQ · Bragg Gaming Group Inc
27 Mar 20261.84
2.01
9.23%
Buy
0.02
-
-
BRCC
NYSE · BRC Inc.
24 Apr 20261.16
1.18
1.72%
Buy
0.62
-
-
BRKR
NASDAQ · Bruker Corporation
7 Nov 202539.83
60.06
50.79%
Buy
0.75
-
-
BRO
NYSE · Brown & Brown Inc
26 Jun 202664.22
67.66
5.36%
Buy
0.24
-
-
BRSL
NYSE · Brightstar Lottery PLC
18 Apr 202512.34
10.92
-11.48%
Buy
0.03
-
-
BSY
NASDAQ · Bentley Systems Inc
8 May 202632.69
31.67
-3.13%
Buy
0.01
-
-
BTBT
NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
22 May 20261.99
1.69
-15.08%
Buy
0.88
-
-
BTMD
NASDAQ · biote Corp
3 Jul 20262.17
2.33
7.37%
Buy
0.94
-
-
BWIN
NASDAQ · The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.
3 Apr 202622.35
26.50
18.57%
Buy
0.40
-
-
BZ
NASDAQ · Kanzhun Ltd ADR
5 Jun 202614.03
13.76
-1.92%
Buy
0.15
-
-
BZFD
NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
15 May 20261.49
1.43
-4.03%
Buy
1.36
-
-
BZH
NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
23 May 202520.73
31.89
53.84%
Buy
0.20
-
-
BZUN
NASDAQ · Baozun Inc
1 Mar 20242.36
2.84
20.34%
Buy
0.08
-
-
CAL
NYSE · Caleres Inc
24 Apr 202613.48
11.81
-12.36%
Buy
0.10
-
-
CAPN
NASDAQ · Cayson Acquisition Corp Ordinary shares
17 Oct 202510.46
11.06
5.74%
Buy
0.74
-
-
CATO
NYSE · Cato Corporation
13 Jun 20253.01
3.47
15.28%
Buy
0.32
-
-
CAVA
NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
26 Dec 202560.15
72.18
20.00%
Buy
0.07
-
-
CBLL
NASDAQ · CeriBell, Inc
7 Nov 202511.98
19.56
63.27%
Buy
0.35
-
-
CBRL
NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
22 May 202632.39
50.19
54.94%
Buy
0.75
-
-
CBT
NYSE · Cabot Corporation
9 Jan 202672.01
87.32
21.26%
Buy
0.01
-
-
CBZ
NYSE · CBIZ Inc
29 May 202633.20
37.79
13.83%
Buy
0.50
-
-
CC
NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Jun 202511.47
17.81
55.32%
Buy
0.27
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
28 Nov 2025
Exit
BMEZ
NYSE · BlackRock Health Sciences Trust II
14.79
Reversal Risk Warning
34.87%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
10.97
28 Nov 2025
Exit
BMRC
NASDAQ · Bank of Marin Bancorp
26.55
Reversal Risk Warning
78.57%
Entry 28 Jun 2024
14.87
28 Nov 2025
Entry
CAPS
NASDAQ · Capstone Holding Corp. Common Stock
0.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.08
28 Nov 2025
Exit
CLLS
NASDAQ · Cellectis SA
5.07
Reversal Risk Warning
218.67%
Entry 2 May 2025
1.59
28 Nov 2025
Entry
CODI
NYSE · Compass Diversified Holdings
7.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.37
28 Nov 2025
Exit
COGT
NASDAQ · Cogent Biosciences Inc
40.22
Reversal Risk Warning
266.30%
Entry 11 Jul 2025
10.98
28 Nov 2025
Entry
CSTE
NASDAQ · Caesarstone Ltd
1.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.41
28 Nov 2025
Exit
CSTL
NASDAQ · Castle Biosciences Inc
39.95
Reversal Risk Warning
106.35%
Entry 8 Aug 2025
19.36
28 Nov 2025
Exit
EEX
NYSE · Emerald Expositions Events Inc
3.64
20% entry drawdown
-21.09%
Entry 16 May 2025
4.61
28 Nov 2025
Exit
ESPR
NASDAQ · Esperion Therapeutics Inc
4.01
Reversal Risk Warning
165.56%
Entry 25 Jul 2025
1.51
28 Nov 2025
Exit
FLNT
NASDAQ · Fluent Inc
1.78
20% entry drawdown
-20.54%
Entry 18 Jul 2025
2.24
28 Nov 2025
Entry
HCAT
NASDAQ · Health Catalyst Inc
2.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.45
28 Nov 2025
Entry
HYMC
NASDAQ · Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation
11.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.71
28 Nov 2025
Entry
INV
NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
5.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.39
28 Nov 2025
Exit
IONS
NASDAQ · Ionis Pharmaceuticals Inc
82.73
Reversal Risk Warning
144.69%
Entry 7 Mar 2025
33.81
28 Nov 2025
Exit
KBDC
NYSE · Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc.
14.65
Reversal Risk Warning
5.01%
Entry 21 Nov 2025
13.95
28 Nov 2025
Exit
KRMD
NASDAQ · Repro Med Systems Inc
5.92
Reversal Risk Warning
141.14%
Entry 29 Dec 2023
2.46
28 Nov 2025
Exit
KSS
NYSE · Kohl's Corporation
24.02
Reversal Risk Warning
187.25%
Entry 6 Jun 2025
8.36
28 Nov 2025
Exit
L
NYSE · Loews Corp
107.75
Reversal Risk Warning
56.57%
Entry 24 Nov 2023
68.81
28 Nov 2025
Entry
LYEL
NASDAQ · Lyell Immunopharma Inc
24.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 2.07
28 Nov 2025
Entry
MAGN
NYSE · Magnera Corp placeholder
14.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.11
28 Nov 2025
Exit
MAT
NASDAQ · Mattel Inc
21.12
Reversal Risk Warning
6.67%
Entry 27 Jun 2025
19.80
28 Nov 2025
Exit
MD
NYSE · Mednax Inc
24.09
Reversal Risk Warning
140.42%
Entry 9 Aug 2024
10.02
28 Nov 2025
Exit
MDGL
NASDAQ · Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Inc
596.98
Reversal Risk Warning
205.27%
Entry 24 Nov 2023
195.56
28 Nov 2025
Exit
MKL
NYSE · Markel Corporation
2080.44
Reversal Risk Warning
44.94%
Entry 21 Jul 2023
1435.34
28 Nov 2025
Entry
MRKR
NASDAQ · Marker Therapeutics Inc
1.24
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.31
28 Nov 2025
Entry
NAII
NASDAQ · Natural Alternatives International
3.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.12
28 Nov 2025
Exit
NAMS
NASDAQ · NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V. Ordinary Shares
41.30
Reversal Risk Warning
227.13%
Entry 5 Jan 2024
12.63
28 Nov 2025
Exit
NU
NYSE · Nu Holdings Ltd
17.39
Reversal Risk Warning
87.80%
Entry 12 Jan 2024
9.26
28 Nov 2025
Entry
OABI
NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
1.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.13