Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65
Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781
Avg 3057.2/yr ·
254.8/mo ·
58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850
Stop 41.5% ·
Warning 58.0%
· Other 0.5%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ADBE
NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25
MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL
NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29
MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB
NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL
NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23
MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV
NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN
NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95
MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO
NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88
MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS
NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT
NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI
NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86
MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW
NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05
MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS
NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT
NYSE · Onterris
20.93
MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX
NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69
MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD
NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06
MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL
NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10
MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK
NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06
MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY
NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05
MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
ACB
NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63
20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU
NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52
20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01
20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX
NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69
20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT
NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05
20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE
NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11
20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM
NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03
20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI
NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62
20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT
NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40
20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX
NYSE · Edison International
77.63
Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO
NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68
20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO
NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96
20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK
NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77
20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG
NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05
20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG
NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22
Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV
NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37
20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL
NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35
20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS
NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01
Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA
NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22
20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX
NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25
20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI
NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12
20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI
NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27
20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF
NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75
Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG
NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17
20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB
NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63
20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC
NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52
20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN
NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73
20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT
NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89
20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX
NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95
20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS
NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28
20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA
NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73
20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU
NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38
20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING
NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33
20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW
NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57
20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR
NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06
20% entry drawdown · -45.47%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
BOX
NYSE · Box Inc
8 May 202625.72
30.48
18.51%
Buy
0.36
-
-
BPAC
NASDAQ · Bullpen Parlay Acquisition Co
12 Jun 202610.12
10.14
0.20%
Buy
0.59
-
-
BRAG
NASDAQ · Bragg Gaming Group Inc
27 Mar 20261.84
1.70
-7.61%
Buy
0.02
-
-
BRCC
NYSE · BRC Inc.
24 Apr 20261.16
1.14
-1.72%
Buy
0.62
-
-
BRKR
NASDAQ · Bruker Corporation
7 Nov 202539.83
58.23
46.20%
Buy
0.75
-
-
BRO
NYSE · Brown & Brown Inc
26 Jun 202664.22
69.35
7.99%
Buy
0.24
-
-
BRSL
NYSE · Brightstar Lottery PLC
18 Apr 202512.34
10.74
-12.94%
Buy
0.03
-
-
BSY
NASDAQ · Bentley Systems Inc
8 May 202632.69
32.34
-1.08%
Buy
0.01
-
-
BTMD
NASDAQ · biote Corp
3 Jul 20262.17
2.43
11.98%
Buy
0.94
-
-
BWIN
NASDAQ · The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.
3 Apr 202622.35
27.25
21.92%
Buy
0.40
-
-
BZ
NASDAQ · Kanzhun Ltd ADR
5 Jun 202614.03
14.91
6.27%
Buy
0.15
-
-
BZFD
NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
15 May 20261.49
1.33
-10.74%
Buy
1.36
-
-
BZH
NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
23 May 202520.73
32.91
58.76%
Buy
0.20
-
-
BZUN
NASDAQ · Baozun Inc
1 Mar 20242.36
2.51
6.36%
Buy
0.08
-
-
CAL
NYSE · Caleres Inc
24 Apr 202613.48
11.85
-12.07%
Buy
0.10
-
-
CAPN
NASDAQ · Cayson Acquisition Corp Ordinary shares
17 Oct 202510.46
11.10
6.12%
Buy
0.74
-
-
CATO
NYSE · Cato Corporation
13 Jun 20253.01
3.21
6.64%
Buy
0.32
-
-
CAVA
NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
26 Dec 202560.15
68.85
14.46%
Buy
0.07
-
-
CBLL
NASDAQ · CeriBell, Inc
7 Nov 202511.98
18.72
56.26%
Buy
0.35
-
-
CBRL
NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
22 May 202632.39
53.61
65.51%
Buy
0.75
-
-
CBT
NYSE · Cabot Corporation
9 Jan 202672.01
90.39
25.52%
Buy
0.01
-
-
CBZ
NYSE · CBIZ Inc
29 May 202633.20
42.42
27.77%
Buy
0.50
-
-
CC
NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Jun 202511.47
17.52
52.79%
Buy
0.27
-
-
CCRN
NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
8 May 202613.18
13.24
0.46%
Buy
1.13
-
-
CCXI
NASDAQ · Churchill Capital Corp XI
26 Jun 202613.86
14.47
4.40%
Buy
0.47
-
-
CDNL
NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
17 Jul 202671.23
71.23
New
Entry week
Buy
1.59
-
-
CDW
NASDAQ · CDW Corp
22 May 2026110.82
133.24
20.23%
Buy
0.13
-
-
CDXS
NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
13 Mar 20261.61
2.24
39.13%
Buy
0.08
-
-
CELH
NASDAQ · Celsius Holdings Inc
21 Mar 202532.93
28.99
-11.96%
Buy
1.29
-
-
CERT
NASDAQ · Certara Inc
19 Jun 20265.54
6.93
25.09%
Buy
0.37
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
5 Dec 2025
Entry
CROX
NASDAQ · Crocs Inc
89.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.31
5 Dec 2025
Exit
DDS
NYSE · Dillard's, Inc.
668.08
Reversal Risk Warning
87.33%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
356.63
5 Dec 2025
Exit
DIBS
NASDAQ · 1Stdibs.Com Inc
6.08
Reversal Risk Warning
113.33%
Entry 4 Jul 2025
2.85
5 Dec 2025
Entry
FLOC
NYSE · Flowco Holdings Inc.
17.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.65
5 Dec 2025
Entry
KLIC
NASDAQ · Kulicke and Soffa Industries Inc
48.04
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.84
5 Dec 2025
Exit
KVAC
NASDAQ · Keen Vision Acquisition Corporation Ordinary Shares
11.91
Reversal Risk Warning
7.69%
Entry 24 Jan 2025
11.06
5 Dec 2025
Entry
LCUT
NASDAQ · Lifetime Brands Inc
4.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.17
5 Dec 2025
Entry
LNTH
NASDAQ · Lantheus Holdings Inc
63.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.64
5 Dec 2025
Entry
LUNR
NASDAQ · Intuitive Machines Inc.
11.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.02
5 Dec 2025
Entry
NDLS
NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
7.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.68
5 Dec 2025
Entry
PACB
NASDAQ · Pacific Biosciences of California
2.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.33
5 Dec 2025
Entry
PMCB
NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
1.22
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.00
5 Dec 2025
Exit
QNCX
NASDAQ · Quince Therapeutics, Inc.
802.00
Reversal Risk Warning
445.58%
Entry 13 Sep 2024
147.00
5 Dec 2025
Exit
SF
NYSE · Stifel Financial Corporation
83.38
Reversal Risk Warning
91.00%
Entry 22 Dec 2023
43.65
5 Dec 2025
Exit
STI
NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
8.39
20% entry drawdown
-25.62%
Entry 21 Nov 2025
11.28
5 Dec 2025
Entry
STTK
NASDAQ · Shattuck Labs Inc
3.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.51
5 Dec 2025
Exit
TKLF
NASDAQ · Yoshitsu Co Ltd ADR
2.39
20% entry drawdown
-26.53%
Entry 12 Jul 2024
3.25
5 Dec 2025
Entry
UONEK
NASDAQ · Urban One Inc Class D
8.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.22
5 Dec 2025
Entry
VPG
NYSE · Vishay Precision Group Inc
39.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.30
5 Dec 2025
Exit
VS
NASDAQ · Versus Systems Inc
1.31
20% entry drawdown
-23.84%
Entry 6 Dec 2024
1.72
5 Dec 2025
Exit
WETH
NASDAQ · Wetouch Technology Inc. Common Stock
1.82
20% entry drawdown
-26.91%
Entry 31 Oct 2025
2.49
5 Dec 2025
Exit
WHLRD
NASDAQ · Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc.
42.00
Reversal Risk Warning
202.27%
Entry 27 Oct 2023
13.90
5 Dec 2025
Entry
WHWK
NASDAQ · Whitehawk Therapeutics, Inc.
2.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.25
5 Dec 2025
Exit
ZUMZ
NASDAQ · Zumiez Inc
30.62
Reversal Risk Warning
97.68%
Entry 15 Aug 2025
15.49
28 Nov 2025
Exit
ALAR
NASDAQ · Alarum Technologies Ltd.
9.16
20% entry drawdown
-28.72%
Entry 27 Jun 2025
12.85
28 Nov 2025
Entry
ALGN
NASDAQ · Align Technology Inc
147.19
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.56
28 Nov 2025
Entry
ARVN
NASDAQ · Arvinas Inc
12.59
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.44
28 Nov 2025
Exit
ATEC
NASDAQ · Alphatec Holdings Inc
22.55
Reversal Risk Warning
139.89%
Entry 8 Nov 2024
9.40
28 Nov 2025
Exit
AVA
NYSE · Avista Corporation
40.40
Reversal Risk Warning
30.46%
Entry 17 Nov 2023
30.97
28 Nov 2025
Entry
BIOA
NASDAQ · BioAge Labs, Inc
9.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 2.96