Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
484.55
Total Return
384.55%
CAGR
56.82%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.37%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.68
Sortino 5.21
Current Holdings
1108
Transactions
10720
Avg 3056.5/yr ·
254.7/mo ·
58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4806
Stop 41.2% ·
Warning 58.2%
· Other 0.5%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ABT
NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
93.27
MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88
MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG
NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.15
MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO
NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13
MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS
NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44
MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR
NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53
MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BBOT
NASDAQ · BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics, Inc.
8.32
MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM
NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31
MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB
NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06
MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG
NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46
MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA
NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12
MD 1.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL
NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73
MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LZ
NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
7.25
MD 0.71 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V
NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81
MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX
NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15
MD 2.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO
NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW
NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Q
NYSE · Qnity Electronics, Inc
143.80
MD 0.79 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD
NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17
MD 1.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX
NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55
MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN
NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX
NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27
MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM
NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76
MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK
NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99
MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH
NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54
MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN
NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74
MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP
NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46
MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI
NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93
MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB
NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91
MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
APWC
NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53
20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BCDA
NASDAQ · Biocardia Inc
0.91
20% entry drawdown · -23.77%
BIRD
NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13
20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN
NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77
Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BLZE
NASDAQ · Backblaze Inc
17.60
Reversal Risk Warning · 135.29%
BMAC
NYSE · Black Mountain Acquisition Corp
10.60
Ticker inactive / final available close · 0.00%
BYRN
NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87
20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE
NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92
20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG
NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85
20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CLYM
NASDAQ · Climb Bio Inc
14.00
Reversal Risk Warning · 227.10%
CVAC
NASDAQ · CureVac NV
4.66
Ticker inactive / final available close · 47.47%
CWH
NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22
20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
DENN
NASDAQ · Dennys Corp
6.25
Ticker inactive / final available close · 51.33%
DWSN
NASDAQ · Dawson Geophysical Company
7.57
Reversal Risk Warning · 394.77%
EWTX
NASDAQ · Edgewise Therapeutics Inc
45.41
Reversal Risk Warning · 315.08%
GAME
NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31
20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS
NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72
Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
GRCL
NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
10.25
Ticker inactive / final available close · 107.49%
IRDM
NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
50.06
Reversal Risk Warning · 118.07%
KELYB
NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95
Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO
NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23
20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
MBX
NASDAQ · MBX Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock
61.05
Reversal Risk Warning · 408.75%
MPLT
NASDAQ · MapLight Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
39.32
Reversal Risk Warning · 36.43%
ODP
NASDAQ · ODP Corp
28.00
Ticker inactive / final available close · 57.57%
OMEX
NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71
20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
PC
NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
9.40
Ticker inactive / final available close · 41.10%
PTRN
NASDAQ · Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock
28.95
Reversal Risk Warning · 81.85%
RCM
NASDAQ · R1 RCM Inc
14.31
Ticker inactive / final available close · 28.92%
RLAY
NASDAQ · Relay Therapeutics Inc
20.01
Reversal Risk Warning · 566.83%
ROSS
NYSE · Ross Acquisition II Corp
11.08
Ticker inactive / final available close · 3.84%
SBFG
NASDAQ · SB Financial Group Inc
26.27
Reversal Risk Warning · 94.76%
SLRN
NASDAQ · ACELYRIN, INC. Common Stock
2.27
Ticker inactive / final available close · -11.67%
THRD
NASDAQ · Third Harmonic Bio Inc.
5.38
Ticker inactive / final available close · 4.06%
TLPH
NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46
Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
TTRX
NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
9.44
Reversal Risk Warning · 84.02%
WATT
NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99
20% entry drawdown · -27.25%
WKC
NYSE · World Kinect Corporation
35.32
Reversal Risk Warning · 71.05%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
CMP
NYSE · Compass Minerals International Inc
20 Sep 202411.34
29.84
163.14%
Buy
0.54
-
-
CNC
NYSE · Centene Corp
3 Oct 202538.70
67.35
74.03%
Buy
0.11
-
-
CNH
NYSE · CNH Industrial N.V.
16 Jan 202610.81
10.45
-3.36%
Buy
0.04
-
-
CNMD
NYSE · CONMED Corporation
26 Jun 202635.95
38.48
7.04%
Buy
0.19
-
-
CNNE
NYSE · Cannae Holdings Inc
1 May 202613.53
14.59
7.87%
Buy
0.15
-
-
CNR
NYSE · Core Natural Resources, Inc.
11 Jul 202575.23
81.87
8.82%
Buy
0.56
-
-
CODI
NYSE · Compass Diversified Holdings
3 Apr 20268.59
10.06
17.11%
Buy
1.01
-
-
COLD
NYSE · Americold Realty Trust
19 Dec 202511.76
15.51
31.89%
Buy
0.05
-
-
COLM
NASDAQ · Columbia Sportswear Company
12 Sep 202553.74
62.97
17.18%
Buy
0.10
-
-
COO
NASDAQ · The Cooper Companies, Inc
26 Jun 202671.02
70.70
-0.45%
Buy
0.33
-
-
COOK
NYSE · Traeger Inc
26 Jun 202679.30
72.47
-8.61%
Buy
1.32
-
-
CPB
NASDAQ · Campbell’s Co
19 Jun 202620.80
22.07
6.10%
Buy
0.48
-
-
CPHC
NASDAQ · Canterbury Park Holding Corporation
23 Jan 202615.83
16.03
1.23%
Buy
0.44
-
-
CPRI
NYSE · Capri Holdings Ltd
27 Jun 202517.58
18.04
2.62%
Buy
0.35
-
-
CPSS
NASDAQ · Consumer Portfolio Services Inc
19 Apr 20249.00
9.26
2.89%
Buy
0.05
-
-
CRAC
NASDAQ · Crown Reserve Acquisition Corp. I Class A Ordinary Shares
3 Jul 202610.12
10.13
0.10%
Buy
2.00
-
-
CRBU
NASDAQ · Caribou Biosciences Inc
11 Jul 20251.63
1.93
18.10%
Buy
1.37
-
-
CRCT
NASDAQ · Cricut Inc
3 May 20244.22
4.41
4.60%
Buy
0.78
-
-
CRDL
NASDAQ · Cardiol Therapeutics Inc Class A
16 May 20251.11
1.01
-9.01%
Buy
0.09
-
-
CRE
NASDAQ · Cre8 Enterprise Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
29 May 20262.64
3.24
22.73%
Buy
1.12
-
-
CREX
NASDAQ · Creative Realities Inc
16 May 20252.11
3.84
81.99%
Buy
0.31
-
-
CRGY
NYSE · Crescent Energy Co
27 Jun 20258.56
9.47
10.69%
Buy
0.13
-
-
CRI
NYSE · Carter’s Inc
19 Sep 202530.59
40.19
31.38%
Buy
1.02
-
-
CRL
NYSE · Charles River Laboratories
13 Jun 2025149.45
233.41
56.18%
Buy
0.10
-
-
CRNC
NASDAQ · Cerence Inc
22 Nov 20247.20
10.47
45.42%
Buy
1.37
-
-
CRNT
NASDAQ · Ceragon Networks Ltd
26 Sep 20252.37
2.35
-0.84%
Buy
0.18
-
-
CROX
NASDAQ · Crocs Inc
5 Dec 202589.70
132.78
48.03%
Buy
0.31
-
-
CRSP
NASDAQ · Crispr Therapeutics AG
20 Jun 202544.25
53.35
20.56%
Buy
0.58
-
-
CRSR
NASDAQ · Corsair Gaming Inc
17 Apr 20266.48
9.66
49.07%
Buy
0.46
-
-
CRT
NYSE · Cross Timbers Royalty Trust
14 Nov 20258.57
9.21
7.46%
Buy
0.02
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
12 Dec 2025
Exit
OESX
NASDAQ · Orion Energy Systems Inc
17.68
Reversal Risk Warning
143.53%
Entry 5 Sep 2025
7.26
12 Dec 2025
Exit
OLMA
NASDAQ · Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc
33.05
Reversal Risk Warning
247.53%
Entry 26 Sep 2025
9.51
12 Dec 2025
Exit
OMF
NYSE · OneMain Holdings Inc
66.25
Reversal Risk Warning
78.41%
Entry 8 Dec 2023
37.14
12 Dec 2025
Entry
PNBK
NASDAQ · Patriot National Bancorp Inc
1.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.39
12 Dec 2025
Exit
PPIH
NASDAQ · Perma-Pipe International Holdings Inc
32.59
Reversal Risk Warning
239.83%
Entry 19 Jul 2024
9.59
12 Dec 2025
Exit
PTLE
NASDAQ · PTL LTD Ordinary Shares
10.49
20% entry drawdown
-30.63%
Entry 7 Nov 2025
15.12
12 Dec 2025
Exit
RADX
NASDAQ · Radiopharm Theranostics Limited American Depositary Shares
4.26
20% entry drawdown
-20.37%
Entry 1 Aug 2025
5.35
12 Dec 2025
Exit
RILYL
NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
3.49
20% entry drawdown
-25.11%
Entry 11 Jul 2025
4.66
12 Dec 2025
Exit
RYAAY
NASDAQ · Ryanair Holdings PLC ADR
70.74
Reversal Risk Warning
61.74%
Entry 17 Nov 2023
43.74
12 Dec 2025
Entry
SCNI
NASDAQ · Scinai Immunotherapeutics Ltd
1.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.02
12 Dec 2025
Entry
SFHG
NASDAQ · Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited
3.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.16
12 Dec 2025
Exit
SPWH
NASDAQ · Sportsmans
1.52
20% entry drawdown
-23.62%
Entry 16 May 2025
1.99
12 Dec 2025
Entry
STZ
NYSE · Constellation Brands Inc Class A
145.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.17
12 Dec 2025
Exit
SVRA
NASDAQ · Savara Inc
6.92
Reversal Risk Warning
127.63%
Entry 15 Aug 2025
3.04
12 Dec 2025
Exit
SYF
NYSE · Synchrony Financial
83.55
Reversal Risk Warning
148.29%
Entry 8 Dec 2023
33.65
12 Dec 2025
Entry
TTEC
NASDAQ · TTEC Holdings Inc
3.86
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.10
12 Dec 2025
Exit
VINP
NASDAQ · Vinci Partners Investments Ltd
12.54
Reversal Risk Warning
45.12%
Entry 28 Jul 2023
8.64
12 Dec 2025
Exit
VRA
NASDAQ · Vera Bradley Inc
1.95
20% entry drawdown
-25.29%
Entry 14 Nov 2025
2.61
12 Dec 2025
Exit
WBD
NASDAQ · Warner Bros Discovery Inc
29.98
Reversal Risk Warning
165.31%
Entry 27 Jun 2025
11.30
12 Dec 2025
Exit
WFC
NYSE · Wells Fargo & Company
91.77
Reversal Risk Warning
93.35%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
47.46
12 Dec 2025
Exit
ZBIO
NASDAQ · Zenas BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock
40.59
Reversal Risk Warning
141.32%
Entry 15 Aug 2025
16.82
5 Dec 2025
Exit
AIRTP
NASDAQ · Air T Inc PR
18.77
Reversal Risk Warning
30.45%
Entry 26 Jan 2024
14.39
5 Dec 2025
Exit
AMTX
NASDAQ · Aemetis Inc
1.52
20% entry drawdown
-22.05%
Entry 6 Jun 2025
1.95
5 Dec 2025
Exit
ANGO
NASDAQ · AngioDynamics Inc
13.47
Reversal Risk Warning
111.46%
Entry 12 Apr 2024
6.37
5 Dec 2025
Exit
ATMC
NASDAQ · AlphaTime Acquisition Corp Ordinary Shares
15.63
Reversal Risk Warning
42.87%
Entry 15 Mar 2024
10.94
5 Dec 2025
Entry
BIOX
NASDAQ · Bioceres Crop Solutions Corp
1.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.00
5 Dec 2025
Exit
CEPU
NYSE · Central Puerto S.A.
17.10
Reversal Risk Warning
168.37%
Entry 21 Jul 2023
6.37
5 Dec 2025
Exit
CODI
NYSE · Compass Diversified Holdings
5.73
20% entry drawdown
-22.15%
Entry 28 Nov 2025
7.36
5 Dec 2025
Exit
COLL
NASDAQ · Collegium Pharmaceutical Inc
47.91
Reversal Risk Warning
83.99%
Entry 24 Nov 2023
26.04
5 Dec 2025
Entry
CROX
NASDAQ · Crocs Inc
89.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.31