Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 91-120 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
FGBI NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.
27 Mar 20268.12
10.00
23.12%
4
18.96
0.38%
2.78
FLG NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
14 Mar 202511.81
14.59
23.50%
4
52.26
1.89%
11.94
FLYW NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
26 Jun 202617.54
18.75
6.90%
6
43.44
1.89%
15.19
FNKO NASDAQ · Funko Inc
8 May 20265.26
5.51
4.75%
4
56.21
4.79%
14.62
FOR NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
6 Mar 202625.96
30.80
18.64%
4
49.13
2.15%
1.10
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
12 Jun 202623.44
20.99
-10.45%
6
80.97
0.70%
1.12
GCTS NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
12 Jun 20262.52
2.62
3.97%
5
81.99
16.22%
55.51
GFR NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
6 Feb 20265.74
5.54
-3.48%
4
65.60
2.23%
5.39
GMAB NASDAQ · Genmab AS
29 Aug 202524.87
28.52
14.66%
6
64.19
1.67%
1.72
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
1 Aug 202511.27
9.59
-14.91%
7
98.00
4.60%
1.27
GPRE NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
5 Sep 202510.64
15.51
45.77%
4
90.39
2.21%
16.49
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
1 Dec 20235.29
10.25
93.76%
4
67.56
12.45%
54.93
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
19 Jun 20265.40
4.40
-18.52%
4
65.69
8.79%
44.27
GTN NYSE · Gray Television Inc
4 Jul 20254.60
4.11
-10.61%
6
75.65
1.02%
7.54
HELE NASDAQ · Helen of Troy Ltd
12 Jun 202629.86
28.14
-5.76%
5
71.41
5.26%
17.71
HLX NYSE · Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc
30 Jan 20267.94
8.54
7.56%
4
39.82
1.31%
3.94
HOFT NASDAQ · Hooker Furniture Corporation
9 Jan 202611.62
16.82
44.75%
5
47.27
2.40%
0.20
HQI NASDAQ · Hirequest Inc
20 Feb 202611.47
12.77
11.34%
4
45.12
1.66%
3.40
HTO NASDAQ · H2O America
13 Feb 202654.47
62.42
14.59%
4
86.34
0.66%
0.70
HURA NASDAQ · TuHURA Biosciences Inc
19 Jun 20262.57
2.44
-5.06%
7
44.88
0.52%
5.58
HVT NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.99
24.97
8.60%
4
48.06
1.04%
2.61
HVT-A NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.61
29.95
32.44%
4
39.34
0.79%
0.55
IART NASDAQ · Integra LifeSciences Holdings
26 Jun 202618.76
18.05
-3.78%
4
88.74
6.21%
25.99
IBTA NYSE · Ibotta, Inc.
29 May 202634.25
35.57
3.85%
6
49.47
0.47%
1.93
IEP NASDAQ · Icahn Enterprises LP
3 Apr 20267.25
7.24
-0.07%
5
21.07
0.07%
2.70
IFF NYSE · International Flavors & Fragrances Inc
27 Mar 202670.64
83.83
18.67%
8
15.87
1.00%
1.68
IFRX NASDAQ · InflaRx N.V.
12 Jun 20261.60
2.24
40.00%
6
62.45
8.20%
10.39
IHS NYSE · IHS Holding Ltd
7 Feb 20253.79
8.22
116.89%
4
52.72
1.34%
8.33
IIPR NYSE · Innovative Industrial Properties Inc
8 May 202655.59
63.36
13.99%
5
51.06
1.20%
0.90
IMRX NASDAQ · Immuneering Corp
25 Jul 20254.06
5.19
27.83%
4
97.64
14.41%
81.13

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1231-1260 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
26 Sep 2025
Entry
ZURA NASDAQ · Zura Bio Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
2.41
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 88.63 · ROC 6.40% · RS 2.46
19 Sep 2025
Exit
AEI NASDAQ · Alset Ehome International Inc
3.47
Reversal Risk Warning
166.92%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 1.30
19 Sep 2025
Exit
AMSC NASDAQ · American Superconductor Corporation
61.55
Reversal Risk Warning
948.55%
Entry 23 Jun 2023 5.87
19 Sep 2025
Entry
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
20.46
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 84.15 · ROC 0.89% · RS 12.29
19 Sep 2025
Entry
ARL NYSE · American Realty Investors Inc
16.42
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 71.46 · ROC 2.09% · RS 2.55
19 Sep 2025
Entry
ASC NYSE · Ardmore Shpng
12.24
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 58.56 · ROC 1.92% · RS 0.74
19 Sep 2025
Entry
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
11.83
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 71.66 · ROC 5.83% · RS 29.24
19 Sep 2025
Exit
BEEP NASDAQ · Mobile Infrastructure Corporation
3.29
20% entry drawdown
-20.53%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 4.14
19 Sep 2025
Entry
BLNK NASDAQ · Blink Charging Co
1.52
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 57.26 · ROC 2.34% · RS 7.57
19 Sep 2025
Entry
BNR NASDAQ · Burning Rock Biotech Ltd
8.62
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 86.43 · ROC 4.63% · RS 44.42
19 Sep 2025
Exit
BNT NYSE · Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd.
47.68
Reversal Risk Warning
88.51%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 25.29
19 Sep 2025
Entry
CATO NYSE · Cato Corporation
4.38
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.74 · ROC 4.58% · RS 7.92
19 Sep 2025
Entry
CGTX NASDAQ · Cognition Therapeutics Inc
1.40
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 92.83 · ROC 35.25% · RS 81.49
19 Sep 2025
Entry
CLNN NASDAQ · Clene Inc.
6.39
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 78.06 · ROC 4.85% · RS 27.08
19 Sep 2025
Exit
DOMO NASDAQ · Domo Inc
18.06
Reversal Risk Warning
120.78%
Entry 7 Mar 2025 8.18
19 Sep 2025
Entry
GPMT NYSE · Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc
2.79
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 79.82 · ROC 1.00% · RS 0.70
19 Sep 2025
Entry
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
5.16
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 40.21 · ROC 16.74% · RS 167.86
19 Sep 2025
Exit
HGBL NASDAQ · Heritage Global Inc
1.68
20% entry drawdown
-22.22%
Entry 21 Mar 2025 2.16
19 Sep 2025
Entry
INTZ NASDAQ · Intrusion Inc
1.95
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 8.97 · ROC 1.33% · RS 14.43
19 Sep 2025
Exit
IONQ NYSE · IONQ Inc
70.41
Reversal Risk Warning
1177.86%
Entry 28 Apr 2023 5.51
19 Sep 2025
Entry
MCRB NASDAQ · Seres Therapeutics Inc
17.45
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 76.24 · ROC 1.74% · RS 6.34
19 Sep 2025
Entry
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
15.59
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 43.42 · ROC 2.59% · RS 15.94
19 Sep 2025
Exit
PGY NASDAQ · Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
42.30
Reversal Risk Warning
157.30%
Entry 30 May 2025 16.44
19 Sep 2025
Entry
PRPL NASDAQ · Purple Innovation Inc
1.04
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 82.54 · ROC 1.02% · RS 2.84
19 Sep 2025
Entry
PYXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Oncology Inc
2.25
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 71.87 · ROC 4.78% · RS 11.67
19 Sep 2025
Entry
SES NYSE · SES AI Corp
1.58
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 62.64 · ROC 2.38% · RS 60.25
19 Sep 2025
Entry
SQM NYSE · Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA ADR B
42.91
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 43.35 · ROC 1.80% · RS 0.17
19 Sep 2025
Entry
TLRY NASDAQ · Tilray Inc
12.10
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 90.15 · ROC 5.10% · RS 9.40
19 Sep 2025
Exit
TTWO NASDAQ · Take-Two Interactive Software Inc
250.85
Reversal Risk Warning
82.53%
Entry 19 May 2023 137.43
19 Sep 2025
Exit
TWI NYSE · Titan International Inc
8.16
20% entry drawdown
-20.16%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 10.22