View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 7 Aug 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
494.61
Total Return
394.61%
CAGR
56.21% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.47%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.18
Current Holdings
1076
Transactions
10942 Avg 3053.1/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4933 Stop 42.1% · Warning 57.3% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

7 Aug 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
41
ACM NYSE · Aecom Technology Corporation
75.84 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ACN NYSE · Accenture plc
175.72 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.27 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BAFN NASDAQ · Bayfirst Financial Corp
6.34 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
11.22 MD 0.46 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BGSI NYSE · Boyd Group Services Inc.
102.34 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BHC NYSE · Bausch Health Companies Inc
6.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIOA NASDAQ · BioAge Labs, Inc
11.72 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BRLT NASDAQ · Brilliant Earth Group Inc
1.28 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
64.00 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CLX NYSE · The Clorox Company
105.15 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CTSH NASDAQ · Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp Class A
57.67 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
3.32 MD 1.69 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DOCS NYSE · Doximity Inc
27.40 MD 0.99 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FRPT NASDAQ · Freshpet Inc
66.91 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FWRD NASDAQ · Forward Air Corporation
19.35 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
G NYSE · Genpact Limited
34.29 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLOB NYSE · Globant SA
37.40 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUIZ NASDAQ · Huize Holding Ltd
1.66 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INSP NYSE · Inspire Medical Systems Inc
60.16 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTU NASDAQ · Intuit Inc
325.25 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
IT NYSE · Gartner Inc
185.60 MD 0.94 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LBRDA NASDAQ · Liberty Broadband Srs A
35.93 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.28 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MOS NYSE · The Mosaic Company
23.06 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
14.42 MD 0.94 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPCH NASDAQ · Option Care Health Inc
23.79 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PBH NYSE · Prestige Brand Holdings Inc
54.85 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PCOR NYSE · Procore Technologies Inc
57.06 MD 0.53 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
2.14 MD 0.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RKDA NASDAQ · Arcadia Biosciences Inc
0.70 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RWAY NASDAQ · Runway Growth Finance Corp
6.84 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.53 MD 0.61 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TNDM NASDAQ · Tandem Diabetes Care Inc
22.38 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
101.83 MD 1.69 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TSCO NASDAQ · Tractor Supply Company
34.56 MD 0.23 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
31.09 MD 0.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VNT NYSE · Vontier Corp
35.09 MD 0.23 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WIX NASDAQ · Wix.Com Ltd
60.20 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
2.02 MD 1.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ZKH NYSE · ZKH Group Limited
2.85 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
24
AHCO NASDAQ · Adapthealth Corp
5.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
0.91 20% entry drawdown · -26.62%
AMLX NASDAQ · Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
22.82 Reversal Risk Warning · 260.51%
APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC
49.55 20% entry drawdown · -25.65%
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
21.13 20% entry drawdown · -27.06%
BAER NASDAQ · Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.26 20% entry drawdown · -32.44%
BTMD NASDAQ · biote Corp
1.48 20% entry drawdown · -31.80%
CRL NYSE · Charles River Laboratories
267.49 Reversal Risk Warning · 78.98%
DAAQ NASDAQ · Digital Asset Acquisition Corp.
8.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.51%
FVN NASDAQ · Future Vision II Acquisition Corporation Ordinary shares
11.80 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.61%
GDTC NASDAQ · CytoMed Therapeutics Limited Ordinary Shares
0.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.20%
HCAT NASDAQ · Health Catalyst Inc
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -24.45%
HGBL NASDAQ · Heritage Global Inc
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
IPCX NASDAQ · Inflection Point Acquisition Corp. III Class A Ordinary Shares
4.44 20% entry drawdown · -56.34%
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.08 20% entry drawdown · -40.33%
MTW NYSE · Manitowoc Company Inc
18.81 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.09%
ONT NYSE · Onterris
16.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.12%
ORGO NASDAQ · Organogenesis Holdings Inc
1.86 20% entry drawdown · -29.01%
PETZ NASDAQ · TDH Holdings Inc
1.59 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.40%
PZZA NASDAQ · Papa John's International Inc
24.47 20% entry drawdown · -33.77%
SPPL NASDAQ · SIMPPLE LTD. Ordinary Shares
2.54 20% entry drawdown · -35.20%
SWK NYSE · Stanley Black & Decker Inc
103.89 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.82%
UHAL NYSE · U-Haul Holding Company
75.27 Reversal Risk Warning · 43.13%
VAC NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide
123.47 Reversal Risk Warning · 110.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 451-480 of 1076 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
HSTM NASDAQ · HealthStream Inc
17 Apr 202621.70
28.72
32.36%
Buy
0.12
-
-
HTLM NASDAQ · HomesToLife Ltd
5 Jun 20262.14
1.85
-13.55%
Buy
0.24
-
-
HUBS NYSE · HubSpot Inc
31 Jul 2026237.36
210.45
-11.34%
Buy
1.25
-
-
HUIZ NASDAQ · Huize Holding Ltd
7 Aug 20261.66
1.66
New Entry week
Buy
0.29
-
-
HUM NYSE · Humana Inc
1 May 2026233.09
385.00
65.17%
Buy
0.08
-
-
HUN NYSE · Huntsman Corporation
12 Dec 202510.39
10.12
-2.58%
Buy
0.67
-
-
HURC NASDAQ · Hurco Companies Inc
15 May 202616.63
22.06
32.65%
Buy
0.05
-
-
HURN NASDAQ · Huron Consulting Group Inc
31 Jul 2026151.77
152.05
0.18%
Buy
0.52
-
-
HVT NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
30 May 202519.49
29.09
49.25%
Buy
0.18
-
-
HVT-A NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
6 Jun 202519.64
32.50
65.48%
Buy
0.25
-
-
HY NYSE · Hyster-Yale Materials Handling Inc
16 Jan 202633.16
37.09
11.84%
Buy
0.07
-
-
HYPR NASDAQ · Hyperfine Inc
18 Jul 20250.92
0.96
3.79%
Buy
0.56
-
-
IART NASDAQ · Integra LifeSciences Holdings
8 May 202613.92
17.25
23.92%
Buy
0.55
-
-
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
17 Jul 202678.86
95.00
20.47%
Buy
0.80
-
-
ICLR NASDAQ · ICON PLC
22 May 2026116.78
164.51
40.87%
Buy
0.20
-
-
IDYA NASDAQ · Ideaya Biosciences Inc
23 May 202518.82
37.02
96.71%
Buy
0.82
-
-
IEP NASDAQ · Icahn Enterprises LP
24 Apr 20267.64
7.46
-2.41%
Buy
1.23
-
-
IFF NYSE · International Flavors & Fragrances Inc
14 Nov 202564.75
85.89
32.64%
Buy
0.34
-
-
IFRX NASDAQ · InflaRx N.V.
17 Apr 20261.59
1.84
15.72%
Buy
0.31
-
-
IHS NYSE · IHS Holding Ltd
6 Dec 20243.29
8.35
153.80%
Buy
0.26
-
-
IIPR NYSE · Innovative Industrial Properties Inc
4 Jul 202550.92
59.16
16.18%
Buy
0.82
-
-
ILAG NASDAQ · Intelligent Living Application Group Inc
19 Jun 20263.08
3.34
8.44%
Buy
0.63
-
-
IMCR NASDAQ · Immunocore Holdings Ltd
10 Jan 202530.40
34.00
11.84%
Buy
0.69
-
-
IMMR NASDAQ · Immersion Corporation
12 Dec 20256.75
7.60
12.53%
Buy
0.13
-
-
IMRN NASDAQ · Immuron Ltd ADR
3 Apr 20260.80
1.03
28.71%
Buy
0.14
-
-
IMRX NASDAQ · Immuneering Corp
6 Jun 20252.13
4.51
111.74%
Buy
0.42
-
-
IMTX NASDAQ · Immatics NV
2 May 20255.23
9.65
84.51%
Buy
0.31
-
-
IMUX NASDAQ · Immunic Inc
13 Feb 20269.13
14.30
56.63%
Buy
0.33
-
-
IMVT NASDAQ · Immunovant Inc
31 Oct 202524.68
39.95
61.87%
Buy
1.39
-
-
IMXI NASDAQ · International Money Express Inc
15 Aug 202514.42
12.19
-15.46%
Buy
0.32
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 10171-10200 of 10942
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
13 Oct 2023
Exit
CRNT NASDAQ · Ceragon Networks Ltd
1.65
20% entry drawdown
-22.17%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 2.12
13 Oct 2023
Entry
EXLS NASDAQ · ExlService Holdings Inc
29.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
13 Oct 2023
Entry
GNE NYSE · Genie Energy Ltd
17.97
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.59
13 Oct 2023
Exit
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
2.43
20% entry drawdown
-20.59%
Entry 2 Jun 2023 3.06
13 Oct 2023
Exit
GYRE NASDAQ · Gyre Therapeutics Inc.
5.07
20% entry drawdown
-37.70%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 8.13
13 Oct 2023
Entry
HMY NYSE · Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited
4.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
13 Oct 2023
Entry
IDT NYSE · IDT Corporation
28.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.46
13 Oct 2023
Exit
INDB NASDAQ · Independent Bank
43.09
20% entry drawdown
-20.25%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 54.03
13 Oct 2023
Entry
INSW NYSE · International Seaways Inc
33.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.57
13 Oct 2023
Exit
JLL NYSE · Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated
130.90
20% entry drawdown
-21.54%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 166.83
13 Oct 2023
Exit
KN NYSE · Knowles Cor
13.77
20% entry drawdown
-21.98%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 17.65
13 Oct 2023
Exit
LE NASDAQ · Lands’ End Inc
6.83
20% entry drawdown
-20.77%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 8.62
13 Oct 2023
Entry
LNG NYSE · Cheniere Energy Inc
172.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.83
13 Oct 2023
Exit
LRMR NASDAQ · Larimar Therapeutics Inc
2.93
20% entry drawdown
-24.29%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 3.87
13 Oct 2023
Exit
LUXE NYSE · LuxExperience B.V.
2.97
20% entry drawdown
-20.38%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 3.73
13 Oct 2023
Exit
NN NASDAQ · Nextnav Acquisition Corp
4.61
20% entry drawdown
-21.86%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 5.90
13 Oct 2023
Entry
NOC NYSE · Northrop Grumman Corporation
468.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
13 Oct 2023
Entry
NTNX NASDAQ · Nutanix Inc
38.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.01
13 Oct 2023
Exit
RCL NYSE · Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd
83.72
20% entry drawdown
-20.69%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 105.56
13 Oct 2023
Entry
SHEL NYSE · Shell PLC ADR
60.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.60
13 Oct 2023
Entry
SLMBP NASDAQ · SLM Corp Pb Pref
50.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.28
13 Oct 2023
Entry
SSSS NASDAQ · SuRo Capital Corp
3.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.63
13 Oct 2023
Entry
THG NYSE · The Hanover Insurance Group Inc
107.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.14
13 Oct 2023
Entry
VIST NYSE · Vista Oil Gas ADR
31.06
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.87
13 Oct 2023
Exit
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.40
20% entry drawdown
-22.65%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 1.81
13 Oct 2023
Entry
WSO NYSE · Watsco Inc
356.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
6 Oct 2023
Exit
AKA NYSE · AKA Brands Holding Corp
4.27
20% entry drawdown
-26.63%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 5.82
6 Oct 2023
Entry
ALCO NASDAQ · Alico Inc
24.34
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
6 Oct 2023
Exit
ATEN NYSE · A10 Network
11.03
20% entry drawdown
-26.03%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 14.91
6 Oct 2023
Entry
CIIT NASDAQ · Tianci International, Inc. Common Stock
67.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29

Evidence context