View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 7 Aug 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
494.61
Total Return
394.61%
CAGR
56.21% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.47%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.18
Current Holdings
1076
Transactions
10942 Avg 3053.1/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4933 Stop 42.1% · Warning 57.3% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

7 Aug 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
41
ACM NYSE · Aecom Technology Corporation
75.84 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ACN NYSE · Accenture plc
175.72 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.27 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BAFN NASDAQ · Bayfirst Financial Corp
6.34 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
11.22 MD 0.46 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BGSI NYSE · Boyd Group Services Inc.
102.34 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BHC NYSE · Bausch Health Companies Inc
6.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIOA NASDAQ · BioAge Labs, Inc
11.72 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BRLT NASDAQ · Brilliant Earth Group Inc
1.28 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
64.00 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CLX NYSE · The Clorox Company
105.15 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CTSH NASDAQ · Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp Class A
57.67 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
3.32 MD 1.69 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DOCS NYSE · Doximity Inc
27.40 MD 0.99 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FRPT NASDAQ · Freshpet Inc
66.91 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FWRD NASDAQ · Forward Air Corporation
19.35 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
G NYSE · Genpact Limited
34.29 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLOB NYSE · Globant SA
37.40 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUIZ NASDAQ · Huize Holding Ltd
1.66 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INSP NYSE · Inspire Medical Systems Inc
60.16 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTU NASDAQ · Intuit Inc
325.25 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
IT NYSE · Gartner Inc
185.60 MD 0.94 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LBRDA NASDAQ · Liberty Broadband Srs A
35.93 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.28 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MOS NYSE · The Mosaic Company
23.06 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
14.42 MD 0.94 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPCH NASDAQ · Option Care Health Inc
23.79 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PBH NYSE · Prestige Brand Holdings Inc
54.85 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PCOR NYSE · Procore Technologies Inc
57.06 MD 0.53 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
2.14 MD 0.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RKDA NASDAQ · Arcadia Biosciences Inc
0.70 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RWAY NASDAQ · Runway Growth Finance Corp
6.84 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.53 MD 0.61 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TNDM NASDAQ · Tandem Diabetes Care Inc
22.38 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
101.83 MD 1.69 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TSCO NASDAQ · Tractor Supply Company
34.56 MD 0.23 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
31.09 MD 0.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VNT NYSE · Vontier Corp
35.09 MD 0.23 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WIX NASDAQ · Wix.Com Ltd
60.20 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
2.02 MD 1.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ZKH NYSE · ZKH Group Limited
2.85 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
24
AHCO NASDAQ · Adapthealth Corp
5.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
0.91 20% entry drawdown · -26.62%
AMLX NASDAQ · Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
22.82 Reversal Risk Warning · 260.51%
APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC
49.55 20% entry drawdown · -25.65%
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
21.13 20% entry drawdown · -27.06%
BAER NASDAQ · Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.26 20% entry drawdown · -32.44%
BTMD NASDAQ · biote Corp
1.48 20% entry drawdown · -31.80%
CRL NYSE · Charles River Laboratories
267.49 Reversal Risk Warning · 78.98%
DAAQ NASDAQ · Digital Asset Acquisition Corp.
8.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.51%
FVN NASDAQ · Future Vision II Acquisition Corporation Ordinary shares
11.80 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.61%
GDTC NASDAQ · CytoMed Therapeutics Limited Ordinary Shares
0.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.20%
HCAT NASDAQ · Health Catalyst Inc
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -24.45%
HGBL NASDAQ · Heritage Global Inc
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
IPCX NASDAQ · Inflection Point Acquisition Corp. III Class A Ordinary Shares
4.44 20% entry drawdown · -56.34%
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.08 20% entry drawdown · -40.33%
MTW NYSE · Manitowoc Company Inc
18.81 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.09%
ONT NYSE · Onterris
16.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.12%
ORGO NASDAQ · Organogenesis Holdings Inc
1.86 20% entry drawdown · -29.01%
PETZ NASDAQ · TDH Holdings Inc
1.59 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.40%
PZZA NASDAQ · Papa John's International Inc
24.47 20% entry drawdown · -33.77%
SPPL NASDAQ · SIMPPLE LTD. Ordinary Shares
2.54 20% entry drawdown · -35.20%
SWK NYSE · Stanley Black & Decker Inc
103.89 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.82%
UHAL NYSE · U-Haul Holding Company
75.27 Reversal Risk Warning · 43.13%
VAC NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide
123.47 Reversal Risk Warning · 110.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 481-510 of 1076 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
INBK NASDAQ · First Internet Bancorp
2 Jan 202620.37
29.21
43.40%
Buy
0.23
-
-
INCR NASDAQ · InterCure Ltd.
3 Jul 20261.09
0.98
-10.09%
Buy
1.06
-
-
INFY NYSE · Infosys Ltd ADR
31 Jul 202612.03
12.53
4.16%
Buy
0.30
-
-
INR NYSE · Infinity Natural Resources, Inc.
21 Nov 202512.62
12.98
2.85%
Buy
0.05
-
-
INSE NASDAQ · Inspired Entertainment Inc
29 May 20267.70
6.65
-13.64%
Buy
0.03
-
-
INSP NYSE · Inspire Medical Systems Inc
7 Aug 202660.16
60.16
New Entry week
Buy
0.93
-
-
INTA NASDAQ · Intapp Inc
31 Jul 202632.69
37.73
15.42%
Buy
1.29
-
-
INTU NASDAQ · Intuit Inc
7 Aug 2026325.25
325.25
New Entry week
Buy
0.07
-
-
INVH NYSE · Invitation Homes Inc
24 Apr 202626.86
30.37
13.07%
Buy
0.40
-
-
IONR NASDAQ · ioneer Ltd American Depositary Shares
15 Aug 20253.34
3.50
4.79%
Buy
0.56
-
-
IOSP NASDAQ · Innospec Inc
22 May 202679.58
92.44
16.16%
Buy
0.11
-
-
IOTR NASDAQ · iOThree Limited Ordinary Shares
27 Mar 20262.23
2.87
28.70%
Buy
0.09
-
-
IOVA NASDAQ · Iovance Biotherapeutics Inc
27 Feb 20263.86
6.34
64.25%
Buy
1.28
-
-
IP NYSE · International Paper
26 Jun 202638.76
41.58
7.28%
Buy
0.34
-
-
IPAR NASDAQ · Inter Parfums Inc
16 Jan 202688.44
122.97
39.05%
Buy
0.20
-
-
IPEX NASDAQ · Inflection Point Acquisition Corp. V
10 Oct 202510.36
10.56
1.98%
Buy
1.45
-
-
IPHA NASDAQ · Innate Pharma
15 May 20262.02
1.73
-14.36%
Buy
0.04
-
-
IPM NASDAQ · Intelligent Protection Management Corp
1 May 20261.90
1.85
-2.63%
Buy
0.58
-
-
IPSC NASDAQ · Century Therapeutics Inc
26 Dec 20251.09
2.00
84.33%
Buy
1.51
-
-
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
24 Apr 20264.50
4.52
0.44%
Buy
0.23
-
-
IQ NASDAQ · iQIYI Inc
17 Jul 20261.19
1.33
11.76%
Buy
0.26
-
-
IRIX NASDAQ · IRIDEX Corporation
11 Jul 20251.01
0.83
-17.77%
Buy
0.18
-
-
IRWD NASDAQ · Ironwood Pharmaceuticals Inc
14 Nov 20253.14
4.32
37.58%
Buy
1.80
-
-
IT NYSE · Gartner Inc
7 Aug 2026185.60
185.60
New Entry week
Buy
0.94
-
-
ITGR NYSE · Integer Holdings Corp
9 Jan 202684.31
125.27
48.58%
Buy
0.12
-
-
JACK NASDAQ · Jacktel AS
26 Jun 202613.81
17.58
27.30%
Buy
0.34
-
-
JAKK NASDAQ · JAKKS Pacific Inc
10 Oct 202517.03
25.63
50.54%
Buy
0.14
-
-
JBLU NASDAQ · JetBlue Airways Corp
18 Jul 20254.41
6.07
37.64%
Buy
0.09
-
-
JBSS NASDAQ · John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc
4 Jul 202562.49
83.16
33.08%
Buy
0.16
-
-
JCTC NASDAQ · Jewett-Cameron Trading Company Ltd.
1 May 20262.00
3.14
57.00%
Buy
0.66
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 10141-10170 of 10942
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
20 Oct 2023
Entry
DRS NASDAQ · Leonardo DRS, Inc. Common Stock
18.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
20 Oct 2023
Exit
EUDA NASDAQ · EUDA Health Holdings Limited
16.93
20% entry drawdown
-43.93%
Entry 8 Sep 2023 30.20
20 Oct 2023
Exit
FRHC NASDAQ · Freedom Holding Corp
76.21
20% entry drawdown
-24.22%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 100.57
20 Oct 2023
Exit
FROG NASDAQ · Jfrog Ltd
22.39
20% entry drawdown
-23.30%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 29.19
20 Oct 2023
Entry
GAP NYSE · The Gap, Inc.
11.04
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.80
20 Oct 2023
Exit
IBP NYSE · Installed Building Products Inc
107.03
20% entry drawdown
-23.86%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 140.56
20 Oct 2023
Entry
IMOS NASDAQ · ChipMOS Technologies Inc
22.27
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
20 Oct 2023
Exit
ISTR NASDAQ · Investar Holding Corp
9.50
20% entry drawdown
-23.99%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 12.50
20 Oct 2023
Entry
MAX NYSE · MediaAlpha Inc.
9.72
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
20 Oct 2023
Exit
MDWD NASDAQ · Mediwound Ltd
8.10
20% entry drawdown
-23.87%
Entry 29 Sep 2023 10.64
20 Oct 2023
Entry
MOGU NYSE · MOGU Inc
2.08
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
20 Oct 2023
Exit
MRBK NASDAQ · Meridian Bank
8.43
20% entry drawdown
-20.38%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 10.59
20 Oct 2023
Exit
MS NYSE · Morgan Stanley
67.10
20% entry drawdown
-21.49%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 85.46
20 Oct 2023
Entry
MTC NASDAQ · MMTEC Inc
11.52
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
20 Oct 2023
Entry
RGA NYSE · Reinsurance Group of America
140.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.75
20 Oct 2023
Entry
RLX NYSE · RLX Technology Inc
1.51
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
20 Oct 2023
Entry
SKYH NYSE · Sky Harbour Group Corporation
7.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.96
20 Oct 2023
Exit
TDUP NASDAQ · ThredUp Inc
2.81
20% entry drawdown
-20.62%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 3.54
20 Oct 2023
Exit
TEVA NYSE · Teva Pharma Industries Ltd ADR
8.12
20% entry drawdown
-23.32%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 10.59
20 Oct 2023
Exit
TRUP NASDAQ · Trupanion Inc
22.71
20% entry drawdown
-23.25%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 29.59
20 Oct 2023
Entry
WLY NYSE · John Wiley & Sons
28.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
20 Oct 2023
Entry
WLYB NYSE · John Wiley & Sons B
28.53
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.56
20 Oct 2023
Entry
XOMA NASDAQ · XOMA Royalty Corporation
17.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
13 Oct 2023
Entry
ABEO NASDAQ · Abeona Therapeutics Inc
4.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
13 Oct 2023
Entry
AFL NYSE · Aflac Incorporated
75.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.63
13 Oct 2023
Entry
ALL NYSE · The Allstate Corporation
113.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.28
13 Oct 2023
Exit
AORT NYSE · Artivion Inc
13.41
20% entry drawdown
-21.49%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 17.08
13 Oct 2023
Exit
ARDX NASDAQ · Ardelyx Inc
3.33
20% entry drawdown
-30.91%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 4.82
13 Oct 2023
Entry
BGC NASDAQ · BGC Group Inc.
5.69
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.40
13 Oct 2023
Exit
CLOV NASDAQ · Clover Health Investments Corp
1.03
20% entry drawdown
-21.97%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 1.32

Evidence context