View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 91-120 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
FGBI NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.
27 Mar 20268.12
9.94
22.38%
4
18.96
0.38%
2.78
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
10 Jul 202625.42
25.42
New Entry week
6
41.93
1.63%
2.87
FLG NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
14 Mar 202511.81
15.09
27.73%
4
52.26
1.89%
11.94
FLYW NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
26 Jun 202617.54
17.62
0.46%
6
43.44
1.89%
15.19
FNKO NASDAQ · Funko Inc
8 May 20265.26
5.58
6.08%
4
56.21
4.79%
14.62
FOR NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
6 Mar 202625.96
30.51
17.53%
4
49.13
2.15%
1.10
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
12 Jun 202623.44
19.46
-16.98%
6
80.97
0.70%
1.12
GCTS NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
12 Jun 20262.52
2.46
-2.38%
5
81.99
16.22%
55.51
GFR NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
6 Feb 20265.74
5.57
-2.96%
4
65.60
2.23%
5.39
GMAB NASDAQ · Genmab AS
29 Aug 202524.87
29.00
16.61%
6
64.19
1.67%
1.72
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
1 Aug 202511.27
9.66
-14.29%
7
98.00
4.60%
1.27
GPRE NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
5 Sep 202510.64
16.89
58.74%
4
90.39
2.21%
16.49
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
1 Dec 20235.29
10.25
93.76%
4
67.56
12.45%
54.93
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
19 Jun 20265.40
4.50
-16.67%
4
65.78
8.79%
44.27
GTN NYSE · Gray Television Inc
4 Jul 20254.60
3.78
-17.79%
6
75.65
1.02%
7.54
HELE NASDAQ · Helen of Troy Ltd
12 Jun 202629.86
26.34
-11.79%
5
72.22
5.26%
17.71
HLX NYSE · Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc
30 Jan 20267.94
9.22
16.12%
4
39.82
1.31%
3.94
HOFT NASDAQ · Hooker Furniture Corporation
9 Jan 202611.62
14.99
29.00%
5
47.27
2.40%
0.20
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
10 Jul 202615.18
15.18
New Entry week
4
83.69
3.64%
4.60
HQI NASDAQ · Hirequest Inc
20 Feb 202611.47
12.41
8.20%
4
45.12
1.66%
3.40
HTO NASDAQ · H2O America
13 Feb 202654.47
61.47
12.85%
4
86.34
0.66%
0.70
HURA NASDAQ · TuHURA Biosciences Inc
19 Jun 20262.57
2.39
-7.00%
7
44.88
0.52%
5.58
HVT NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.99
25.10
9.17%
4
48.06
1.04%
2.61
HVT-A NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.61
28.60
26.47%
4
39.34
0.79%
0.55
IART NASDAQ · Integra LifeSciences Holdings
26 Jun 202618.76
18.79
0.16%
4
96.31
6.21%
25.99
IBTA NYSE · Ibotta, Inc.
29 May 202634.25
30.86
-9.90%
6
49.47
0.47%
1.93
IEP NASDAQ · Icahn Enterprises LP
3 Apr 20267.25
7.49
3.38%
5
21.07
0.07%
2.70
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
10 Jul 20261.21
1.21
New Entry week
4
0.63
1.78%
2.44
IFF NYSE · International Flavors & Fragrances Inc
27 Mar 202670.64
77.53
9.75%
8
15.87
1.00%
1.68
IFRX NASDAQ · InflaRx N.V.
12 Jun 20261.60
2.05
28.13%
6
62.45
8.20%
10.39

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3751-3780 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
13 Oct 2023
Entry
SND NASDAQ · Smart Sand Inc
1.97
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 51.90 · ROC 2.11% · RS 4.62
13 Oct 2023
Exit
SPRB NASDAQ · Spruce Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock
119.25
20% entry drawdown
-27.73%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 165.00
13 Oct 2023
Exit
STNE NASDAQ · StoneCo Ltd
8.04
20% entry drawdown
-20.80%
Entry 26 May 2023 10.16
13 Oct 2023
Entry
STX NASDAQ · Seagate Technology PLC
64.57
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 8.61 · ROC 1.11% · RS 0.49
13 Oct 2023
Entry
TNGX NASDAQ · Tango Therapeutics Inc
7.69
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 99.58 · ROC 16.63% · RS 12.24
13 Oct 2023
Entry
TOI NASDAQ · Oncology Institute Inc
1.55
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 80.80 · ROC 6.99% · RS 2.87
13 Oct 2023
Exit
TSHA NASDAQ · Taysha Gene Therapies Inc
2.26
20% entry drawdown
-31.31%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 3.29
13 Oct 2023
Exit
VICR NASDAQ · Vicor Corporation
53.44
20% entry drawdown
-20.46%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 67.19
13 Oct 2023
Exit
W NYSE · Wayfair Inc
47.31
20% entry drawdown
-31.94%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 69.51
6 Oct 2023
Exit
AUPH NASDAQ · Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc
7.30
20% entry drawdown
-23.24%
Entry 17 Mar 2023 9.51
6 Oct 2023
Exit
CDZI NASDAQ · Cadiz Inc
3.10
20% entry drawdown
-24.57%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 4.11
6 Oct 2023
Exit
CRDL NASDAQ · Cardiol Therapeutics Inc Class A
0.85
20% entry drawdown
-22.02%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 1.09
6 Oct 2023
Exit
DBI NYSE · Designer Brands Inc
10.90
Reversal Danger Warning
-0.53%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 10.96
6 Oct 2023
Exit
GDRX NASDAQ · Goodrx Holdings Inc
5.15
20% entry drawdown
-23.36%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 6.72
6 Oct 2023
Entry
HBB NYSE · Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Co Class A
11.61
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 66.92 · ROC 0.33% · RS 4.97
6 Oct 2023
Exit
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
7.06
20% entry drawdown
-22.84%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 9.15
6 Oct 2023
Exit
LFST NASDAQ · Lifestance Health Group Inc
6.62
20% entry drawdown
-22.48%
Entry 12 May 2023 8.54
6 Oct 2023
Entry
LOOP NASDAQ · Loop Industries Inc
3.47
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 73.49 · ROC 4.77% · RS 5.04
6 Oct 2023
Exit
MRKR NASDAQ · Marker Therapeutics Inc
3.98
20% entry drawdown
-23.02%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 5.17
6 Oct 2023
Entry
OSK NYSE · Oshkosh Corporation
87.92
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 23.07 · ROC 1.13% · RS 0.15
6 Oct 2023
Exit
RSI NYSE · Rush Street Interactive Inc
4.04
20% entry drawdown
-21.71%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 5.16
6 Oct 2023
Exit
SAM NYSE · Boston Beer Company Inc
360.65
Reversal Danger Warning
-4.67%
Entry 22 Sep 2023 378.31
6 Oct 2023
Exit
TOST NYSE · Toast Inc
17.08
20% entry drawdown
-24.32%
Entry 30 Jun 2023 22.57
6 Oct 2023
Entry
WRBY NYSE · Warby Parker Inc
14.06
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 14.93 · ROC 0.48% · RS 0.48
6 Oct 2023
Exit
WULF NASDAQ · Terawulf Inc
1.18
20% entry drawdown
-21.33%
Entry 26 May 2023 1.50
29 Sep 2023
Entry
ACCO NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.72
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 45.08 · ROC 0.19% · RS 4.76
29 Sep 2023
Exit
AUID NASDAQ · authID Inc.
7.75
20% entry drawdown
-20.51%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 9.75
29 Sep 2023
Exit
AUR NASDAQ · Aurora Innovation Inc
2.35
20% entry drawdown
-20.07%
Entry 30 Jun 2023 2.94
29 Sep 2023
Entry
CINT NYSE · Ci&T Inc
6.50
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 76.07 · ROC 1.76% · RS 0.28
29 Sep 2023
Exit
CNF NYSE · CNFinance Holdings Ltd
37.80
Reversal Risk Warning
46.51%
Entry 5 May 2023 25.80