View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 7 Aug 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
494.61
Total Return
394.61%
CAGR
56.21% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.47%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.18
Current Holdings
1076
Transactions
10942 Avg 3053.1/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4933 Stop 42.1% · Warning 57.3% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

7 Aug 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
41
ACM NYSE · Aecom Technology Corporation
75.84 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ACN NYSE · Accenture plc
175.72 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.27 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BAFN NASDAQ · Bayfirst Financial Corp
6.34 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
11.22 MD 0.46 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BGSI NYSE · Boyd Group Services Inc.
102.34 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BHC NYSE · Bausch Health Companies Inc
6.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIOA NASDAQ · BioAge Labs, Inc
11.72 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BRLT NASDAQ · Brilliant Earth Group Inc
1.28 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
64.00 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CLX NYSE · The Clorox Company
105.15 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CTSH NASDAQ · Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp Class A
57.67 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
3.32 MD 1.69 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DOCS NYSE · Doximity Inc
27.40 MD 0.99 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FRPT NASDAQ · Freshpet Inc
66.91 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FWRD NASDAQ · Forward Air Corporation
19.35 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
G NYSE · Genpact Limited
34.29 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLOB NYSE · Globant SA
37.40 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUIZ NASDAQ · Huize Holding Ltd
1.66 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INSP NYSE · Inspire Medical Systems Inc
60.16 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTU NASDAQ · Intuit Inc
325.25 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
IT NYSE · Gartner Inc
185.60 MD 0.94 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LBRDA NASDAQ · Liberty Broadband Srs A
35.93 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.28 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MOS NYSE · The Mosaic Company
23.06 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
14.42 MD 0.94 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPCH NASDAQ · Option Care Health Inc
23.79 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PBH NYSE · Prestige Brand Holdings Inc
54.85 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PCOR NYSE · Procore Technologies Inc
57.06 MD 0.53 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
2.14 MD 0.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RKDA NASDAQ · Arcadia Biosciences Inc
0.70 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RWAY NASDAQ · Runway Growth Finance Corp
6.84 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.53 MD 0.61 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TNDM NASDAQ · Tandem Diabetes Care Inc
22.38 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
101.83 MD 1.69 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TSCO NASDAQ · Tractor Supply Company
34.56 MD 0.23 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
31.09 MD 0.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VNT NYSE · Vontier Corp
35.09 MD 0.23 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WIX NASDAQ · Wix.Com Ltd
60.20 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
2.02 MD 1.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ZKH NYSE · ZKH Group Limited
2.85 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
24
AHCO NASDAQ · Adapthealth Corp
5.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
0.91 20% entry drawdown · -26.62%
AMLX NASDAQ · Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
22.82 Reversal Risk Warning · 260.51%
APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC
49.55 20% entry drawdown · -25.65%
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
21.13 20% entry drawdown · -27.06%
BAER NASDAQ · Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.26 20% entry drawdown · -32.44%
BTMD NASDAQ · biote Corp
1.48 20% entry drawdown · -31.80%
CRL NYSE · Charles River Laboratories
267.49 Reversal Risk Warning · 78.98%
DAAQ NASDAQ · Digital Asset Acquisition Corp.
8.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.51%
FVN NASDAQ · Future Vision II Acquisition Corporation Ordinary shares
11.80 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.61%
GDTC NASDAQ · CytoMed Therapeutics Limited Ordinary Shares
0.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.20%
HCAT NASDAQ · Health Catalyst Inc
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -24.45%
HGBL NASDAQ · Heritage Global Inc
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
IPCX NASDAQ · Inflection Point Acquisition Corp. III Class A Ordinary Shares
4.44 20% entry drawdown · -56.34%
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.08 20% entry drawdown · -40.33%
MTW NYSE · Manitowoc Company Inc
18.81 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.09%
ONT NYSE · Onterris
16.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.12%
ORGO NASDAQ · Organogenesis Holdings Inc
1.86 20% entry drawdown · -29.01%
PETZ NASDAQ · TDH Holdings Inc
1.59 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.40%
PZZA NASDAQ · Papa John's International Inc
24.47 20% entry drawdown · -33.77%
SPPL NASDAQ · SIMPPLE LTD. Ordinary Shares
2.54 20% entry drawdown · -35.20%
SWK NYSE · Stanley Black & Decker Inc
103.89 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.82%
UHAL NYSE · U-Haul Holding Company
75.27 Reversal Risk Warning · 43.13%
VAC NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide
123.47 Reversal Risk Warning · 110.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 361-390 of 1076 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
FLYW NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
6 Jun 202510.50
17.78
69.33%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FND NYSE · Floor & Decor Holdings Inc
26 Jun 202659.61
62.69
5.17%
Buy
0.33
-
-
FNKO NASDAQ · Funko Inc
8 May 20265.26
5.88
11.79%
Buy
0.09
-
-
FNWB NASDAQ · First Northwest Bancorp
3 Oct 20257.90
10.95
38.61%
Buy
0.41
-
-
FOR NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
4 Jul 202521.73
29.64
36.40%
Buy
0.70
-
-
FOUR NYSE · Shift4 Payments Inc
3 Jul 202651.35
41.26
-19.65%
Buy
0.87
-
-
FRMI NASDAQ · Fermi Inc.
15 May 20266.51
6.18
-5.07%
Buy
0.34
-
-
FRPH NASDAQ · Frp Holdings Ord
5 Jun 202623.54
21.92
-6.88%
Buy
0.36
-
-
FRPT NASDAQ · Freshpet Inc
7 Aug 202666.91
66.91
New Entry week
Buy
0.17
-
-
FRSH NASDAQ · Freshworks Inc
29 May 20269.71
11.84
21.94%
Buy
0.99
-
-
FSK NYSE · FS KKR Capital Corp
8 May 202610.41
12.44
19.48%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FSV NASDAQ · FirstService Corp
12 Jun 2026143.05
143.91
0.60%
Buy
0.18
-
-
FTRE NASDAQ · Fortrea Holdings Inc.
15 Aug 20258.04
18.43
129.23%
Buy
0.90
-
-
FUL NYSE · H B Fuller Company
12 Jun 202663.63
61.07
-4.02%
Buy
0.17
-
-
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
10 Apr 202619.94
16.37
-17.90%
Buy
0.73
-
-
FWRD NASDAQ · Forward Air Corporation
7 Aug 202619.35
19.35
New Entry week
Buy
0.19
-
-
FWRG NASDAQ · First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
19 Jun 202611.81
12.42
5.17%
Buy
0.08
-
-
G NYSE · Genpact Limited
7 Aug 202634.29
34.29
New Entry week
Buy
0.42
-
-
GANX NASDAQ · Gain Therapeutics Inc
13 Sep 20241.47
1.82
24.23%
Buy
0.13
-
-
GBLI NASDAQ · Global Indemnity Group, LLC Class A Common Stock
9 Jan 202627.90
27.97
0.24%
Buy
0.01
-
-
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
24 Jul 20260.51
0.51
0.29%
Buy
0.73
-
-
GCTS NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
1 May 20261.59
2.55
60.38%
Buy
1.17
-
-
GDDY NYSE · Godaddy Inc
26 Jun 202684.55
91.07
7.71%
Buy
0.67
-
-
GDOT NYSE · Green Dot Corporation
9 May 202510.94
13.15
20.20%
Buy
0.16
-
-
GDRX NASDAQ · Goodrx Holdings Inc
1 May 20262.55
3.68
44.31%
Buy
0.65
-
-
GECC NASDAQ · Great Elm Capital Corp
8 May 20265.60
5.88
5.01%
Buy
0.00
-
-
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
31 Jul 202668.02
71.77
5.51%
Buy
0.24
-
-
GELS NASDAQ · Gelteq Limited Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20260.62
0.56
-10.02%
Buy
0.27
-
-
GEMI NASDAQ · Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1 May 20264.72
4.09
-13.35%
Buy
0.07
-
-
GENI NYSE · Genius Sports Ltd
22 May 20265.35
7.59
41.87%
Buy
0.04
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 10261-10290 of 10942
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
15 Sep 2023
Entry
AFGE NYSE · American Financial Group, Inc.
15.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
15 Sep 2023
Entry
AMZN NASDAQ · Amazon.com Inc
140.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
15 Sep 2023
Exit
ASML NASDAQ · ASML Holding NV ADR
580.34
20% entry drawdown
-20.69%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 731.71
15 Sep 2023
Entry
ASND NASDAQ · Ascendis Pharma AS
102.66
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.35
15 Sep 2023
Entry
BANX NASDAQ · Arrowmark Financial Corp
12.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.52
15 Sep 2023
Entry
BBW NYSE · Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc
26.53
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.18
15 Sep 2023
Entry
CB NYSE · Chubb Ltd
204.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.06
15 Sep 2023
Entry
CRD-B NYSE · Crawford & Company
8.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
15 Sep 2023
Entry
CVEO NYSE · Civeo Corp
19.52
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.37
15 Sep 2023
Entry
DDI NASDAQ · Doubledown Interactive Co Ltd
9.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
15 Sep 2023
Entry
EC NYSE · Ecopetrol SA ADR
7.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.54
15 Sep 2023
Entry
GSK NYSE · GlaxoSmithKline PLC ADR
33.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.86
15 Sep 2023
Entry
HBB NYSE · Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Co Class A
11.89
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.69
15 Sep 2023
Entry
HLI NYSE · Houlihan Lokey Inc
104.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.31
15 Sep 2023
Entry
HMN NYSE · Horace Mann Educators Corporation
26.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
15 Sep 2023
Entry
IHG NYSE · InterContinental Hotels Group PLC ADR
75.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.19
15 Sep 2023
Entry
IMMX NASDAQ · Immix Biopharma Inc
2.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.37
15 Sep 2023
Entry
MTB NYSE · M&T Bank Corporation
118.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
15 Sep 2023
Entry
NN NASDAQ · Nextnav Acquisition Corp
5.90
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.65
15 Sep 2023
Entry
NXE NYSE · NexGen Energy Ltd.
6.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.90
15 Sep 2023
Entry
PBR NYSE · Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras SA ADR
12.03
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.53
15 Sep 2023
Entry
PBR-A NYSE · Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
10.79
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.47
15 Sep 2023
Entry
RPID NASDAQ · Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc
1.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.89
15 Sep 2023
Entry
SBSW NYSE · Sibanye Gold Ltd ADR
6.34
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
15 Sep 2023
Exit
SLSN NASDAQ · Solesence, Inc. Common Stock
0.96
20% entry drawdown
-21.29%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 1.23
15 Sep 2023
Entry
SNWV NASDAQ · SANUWAVE Health, Inc. Common Stock
7.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.92
15 Sep 2023
Entry
SPOK NASDAQ · Spok Holdings Inc
11.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
15 Sep 2023
Entry
STEP NASDAQ · Stepstone Group Inc
29.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.54
15 Sep 2023
Entry
TEVA NYSE · Teva Pharma Industries Ltd ADR
10.59
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.97
15 Sep 2023
Entry
TOI NASDAQ · Oncology Institute Inc
1.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.28

Evidence context