View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 7 Aug 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
494.61
Total Return
394.61%
CAGR
56.21% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.47%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.18
Current Holdings
1076
Transactions
10942 Avg 3053.1/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4933 Stop 42.1% · Warning 57.3% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

7 Aug 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
41
ACM NYSE · Aecom Technology Corporation
75.84 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ACN NYSE · Accenture plc
175.72 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.27 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BAFN NASDAQ · Bayfirst Financial Corp
6.34 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
11.22 MD 0.46 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BGSI NYSE · Boyd Group Services Inc.
102.34 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BHC NYSE · Bausch Health Companies Inc
6.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIOA NASDAQ · BioAge Labs, Inc
11.72 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BRLT NASDAQ · Brilliant Earth Group Inc
1.28 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
64.00 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CLX NYSE · The Clorox Company
105.15 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CTSH NASDAQ · Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp Class A
57.67 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
3.32 MD 1.69 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DOCS NYSE · Doximity Inc
27.40 MD 0.99 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FRPT NASDAQ · Freshpet Inc
66.91 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FWRD NASDAQ · Forward Air Corporation
19.35 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
G NYSE · Genpact Limited
34.29 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLOB NYSE · Globant SA
37.40 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUIZ NASDAQ · Huize Holding Ltd
1.66 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INSP NYSE · Inspire Medical Systems Inc
60.16 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTU NASDAQ · Intuit Inc
325.25 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
IT NYSE · Gartner Inc
185.60 MD 0.94 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LBRDA NASDAQ · Liberty Broadband Srs A
35.93 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.28 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MOS NYSE · The Mosaic Company
23.06 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
14.42 MD 0.94 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPCH NASDAQ · Option Care Health Inc
23.79 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PBH NYSE · Prestige Brand Holdings Inc
54.85 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PCOR NYSE · Procore Technologies Inc
57.06 MD 0.53 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
2.14 MD 0.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RKDA NASDAQ · Arcadia Biosciences Inc
0.70 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RWAY NASDAQ · Runway Growth Finance Corp
6.84 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.53 MD 0.61 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TNDM NASDAQ · Tandem Diabetes Care Inc
22.38 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
101.83 MD 1.69 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TSCO NASDAQ · Tractor Supply Company
34.56 MD 0.23 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
31.09 MD 0.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VNT NYSE · Vontier Corp
35.09 MD 0.23 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WIX NASDAQ · Wix.Com Ltd
60.20 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
2.02 MD 1.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ZKH NYSE · ZKH Group Limited
2.85 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
24
AHCO NASDAQ · Adapthealth Corp
5.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
0.91 20% entry drawdown · -26.62%
AMLX NASDAQ · Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
22.82 Reversal Risk Warning · 260.51%
APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC
49.55 20% entry drawdown · -25.65%
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
21.13 20% entry drawdown · -27.06%
BAER NASDAQ · Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.26 20% entry drawdown · -32.44%
BTMD NASDAQ · biote Corp
1.48 20% entry drawdown · -31.80%
CRL NYSE · Charles River Laboratories
267.49 Reversal Risk Warning · 78.98%
DAAQ NASDAQ · Digital Asset Acquisition Corp.
8.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.51%
FVN NASDAQ · Future Vision II Acquisition Corporation Ordinary shares
11.80 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.61%
GDTC NASDAQ · CytoMed Therapeutics Limited Ordinary Shares
0.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.20%
HCAT NASDAQ · Health Catalyst Inc
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -24.45%
HGBL NASDAQ · Heritage Global Inc
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
IPCX NASDAQ · Inflection Point Acquisition Corp. III Class A Ordinary Shares
4.44 20% entry drawdown · -56.34%
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.08 20% entry drawdown · -40.33%
MTW NYSE · Manitowoc Company Inc
18.81 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.09%
ONT NYSE · Onterris
16.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.12%
ORGO NASDAQ · Organogenesis Holdings Inc
1.86 20% entry drawdown · -29.01%
PETZ NASDAQ · TDH Holdings Inc
1.59 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.40%
PZZA NASDAQ · Papa John's International Inc
24.47 20% entry drawdown · -33.77%
SPPL NASDAQ · SIMPPLE LTD. Ordinary Shares
2.54 20% entry drawdown · -35.20%
SWK NYSE · Stanley Black & Decker Inc
103.89 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.82%
UHAL NYSE · U-Haul Holding Company
75.27 Reversal Risk Warning · 43.13%
VAC NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide
123.47 Reversal Risk Warning · 110.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 541-570 of 1076 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
KPLT NASDAQ · Katapult Holdings Inc
20 Mar 20267.25
6.67
-8.00%
Buy
0.24
-
-
KPRX NASDAQ · Kiora Pharmaceuticals Inc
10 Apr 20262.47
2.64
6.88%
Buy
0.44
-
-
KREF NYSE · KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc
22 May 20266.39
7.76
21.50%
Buy
0.03
-
-
KRNT NASDAQ · Kornit Digital Ltd
17 Apr 202616.37
17.08
4.34%
Buy
0.84
-
-
KRO NYSE · Kronos Worldwide Inc
9 Jan 20265.24
8.59
63.89%
Buy
0.26
-
-
KRSP NYSE · Rice Acquisition Corporation 3
19 Jun 202610.51
10.47
-0.38%
Buy
1.09
-
-
KTCC NASDAQ · Key Tronic Corporation
23 May 20253.07
4.12
34.04%
Buy
0.16
-
-
KURA NASDAQ · Kura Oncology Inc
26 Sep 20259.05
9.57
5.75%
Buy
1.93
-
-
KVYO NYSE · Klaviyo, Inc.
29 May 202615.84
16.62
4.92%
Buy
0.23
-
-
KWR NYSE · Quaker Chemical Corporation
27 Jun 2025113.44
169.95
49.81%
Buy
0.38
-
-
KYTX NASDAQ · Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
11 Jul 20254.03
7.96
97.52%
Buy
2.19
-
-
KZIA NASDAQ · Kazia Therapeutics Ltd ADR
6 Jun 20255.65
13.89
145.75%
Buy
0.49
-
-
LAC NYSE · Lithium Americas Corp
11 Oct 20242.90
3.23
11.38%
Buy
0.86
-
-
LAES NASDAQ · SEALSQ Corp
13 Dec 20241.75
2.57
46.86%
Buy
1.45
-
-
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
24 Jul 202610.11
10.13
0.20%
Buy
0.90
-
-
LAKE NASDAQ · Lakeland Industries Inc
3 Apr 20268.47
12.03
42.03%
Buy
0.01
-
-
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
27 Jun 20259.73
8.34
-14.27%
Buy
0.35
-
-
LANV NYSE · Lanvin Group Holdings Limited
16 Aug 20241.48
1.20
-18.92%
Buy
0.28
-
-
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
17 Jul 20264.05
4.30
6.17%
Buy
0.26
-
-
LB NYSE · LandBridge Company LLC
31 Oct 202558.88
75.40
28.06%
Buy
0.07
-
-
LBRDA NASDAQ · Liberty Broadband Srs A
7 Aug 202635.93
35.93
New Entry week
Buy
0.00
-
-
LBTYB NASDAQ · Liberty Global PLC Class B
13 Jun 20259.92
12.70
28.02%
Buy
0.12
-
-
LCCC NASDAQ · Lakeshore Acquisition III Corp. Ordinary Shares
30 Jan 202610.25
10.48
2.24%
Buy
2.02
-
-
LCUT NASDAQ · Lifetime Brands Inc
27 Mar 20264.90
9.19
87.59%
Buy
0.46
-
-
LEE NASDAQ · Lee Enterprises Incorporated
13 Feb 20266.90
8.19
18.70%
Buy
1.51
-
-
LEG NYSE · Leggett & Platt Incorporated
16 May 20259.32
9.62
3.23%
Buy
0.34
-
-
LEGN NASDAQ · Legend Biotech Corp
17 Apr 202621.17
20.75
-1.98%
Buy
0.43
-
-
LEN NYSE · Lennar Corporation
26 Jun 202692.97
88.18
-5.15%
Buy
0.37
-
-
LEN-B NYSE · Lennar Corporation
26 Jun 202691.35
86.48
-5.33%
Buy
0.40
-
-
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
5 Jun 202650.35
60.04
19.25%
Buy
0.01
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 10111-10140 of 10942
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
27 Oct 2023
Exit
HALO NASDAQ · Halozyme Therapeutics Inc
33.38
20% entry drawdown
-22.17%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 42.89
27 Oct 2023
Entry
HUYA NYSE · HUYA Inc
1.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
27 Oct 2023
Exit
KALV NASDAQ · Kalvista Pharmaceuticals Inc
7.99
20% entry drawdown
-22.35%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 10.29
27 Oct 2023
Entry
LFVN NASDAQ · Lifevantage Corporation
7.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.55
27 Oct 2023
Entry
LRN NYSE · Stride Inc
54.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.08
27 Oct 2023
Exit
MAC NYSE · Macerich Company
8.69
20% entry drawdown
-21.30%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 11.04
27 Oct 2023
Exit
MSGS NYSE · Madison Square Garden Sports Corp
165.18
20% entry drawdown
-20.88%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 208.76
27 Oct 2023
Exit
MTC NASDAQ · MMTEC Inc
8.48
20% entry drawdown
-26.39%
Entry 20 Oct 2023 11.52
27 Oct 2023
Exit
NYAX NASDAQ · Nayax Ltd
19.00
20% entry drawdown
-21.00%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 24.05
27 Oct 2023
Exit
PLPC NASDAQ · Preformed Line Products Company
130.63
20% entry drawdown
-21.25%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 165.87
27 Oct 2023
Exit
RCM NASDAQ · R1 RCM Inc
11.19
20% entry drawdown
-20.81%
Entry 27 Jan 2023 14.13
27 Oct 2023
Exit
ROKU NASDAQ · Roku Inc
56.35
20% entry drawdown
-23.87%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 74.02
27 Oct 2023
Exit
SBSW NYSE · Sibanye Gold Ltd ADR
5.00
20% entry drawdown
-21.12%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 6.34
27 Oct 2023
Exit
SKYH NYSE · Sky Harbour Group Corporation
5.76
20% entry drawdown
-20.55%
Entry 20 Oct 2023 7.25
27 Oct 2023
Entry
SRRK NASDAQ · Scholar Rock Holding Corp
10.34
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.46
27 Oct 2023
Entry
TNK NYSE · Teekay Tankers Ltd
43.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.35
27 Oct 2023
Entry
WHLRD NASDAQ · Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc.
13.90
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.44
27 Oct 2023
Entry
WNEB NASDAQ · Western New England Bancorp Inc
6.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.60
27 Oct 2023
Entry
WTW NASDAQ · Willis Towers Watson PLC
222.09
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
20 Oct 2023
Entry
AKA NYSE · AKA Brands Holding Corp
7.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.83
20 Oct 2023
Entry
AM NYSE · Antero Midstream Partners LP
10.66
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
20 Oct 2023
Exit
AMG NYSE · Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.
123.78
20% entry drawdown
-20.63%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 155.96
20 Oct 2023
Exit
BFH NYSE · Bread Financial Holdings, Inc.
27.34
20% entry drawdown
-21.17%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 34.68
20 Oct 2023
Entry
BNTC NASDAQ · Benitec Biopharma Ltd ADR
3.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
20 Oct 2023
Exit
BOOT NYSE · Boot Barn Holdings Inc
76.44
20% entry drawdown
-22.81%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 99.03
20 Oct 2023
Exit
CFG NYSE · Citizens Financial Group, Inc.
21.21
20% entry drawdown
-22.44%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 27.35
20 Oct 2023
Exit
COF NYSE · Capital One Financial Corporation
86.40
20% entry drawdown
-21.51%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 110.08
20 Oct 2023
Entry
CRBG NYSE · Corebridge Financial Inc.
17.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.14
20 Oct 2023
Entry
CXW NYSE · CoreCivic Inc
11.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.57
20 Oct 2023
Exit
DDOG NASDAQ · Datadog Inc
86.08
20% entry drawdown
-20.69%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 108.53

Evidence context