View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 7 Aug 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
494.61
Total Return
394.61%
CAGR
56.21% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.47%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.18
Current Holdings
1076
Transactions
10942 Avg 3053.1/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4933 Stop 42.1% · Warning 57.3% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

7 Aug 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
41
ACM NYSE · Aecom Technology Corporation
75.84 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ACN NYSE · Accenture plc
175.72 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.27 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BAFN NASDAQ · Bayfirst Financial Corp
6.34 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
11.22 MD 0.46 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BGSI NYSE · Boyd Group Services Inc.
102.34 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BHC NYSE · Bausch Health Companies Inc
6.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIOA NASDAQ · BioAge Labs, Inc
11.72 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BRLT NASDAQ · Brilliant Earth Group Inc
1.28 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
64.00 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CLX NYSE · The Clorox Company
105.15 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CTSH NASDAQ · Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp Class A
57.67 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
3.32 MD 1.69 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DOCS NYSE · Doximity Inc
27.40 MD 0.99 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FRPT NASDAQ · Freshpet Inc
66.91 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FWRD NASDAQ · Forward Air Corporation
19.35 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
G NYSE · Genpact Limited
34.29 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLOB NYSE · Globant SA
37.40 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUIZ NASDAQ · Huize Holding Ltd
1.66 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INSP NYSE · Inspire Medical Systems Inc
60.16 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTU NASDAQ · Intuit Inc
325.25 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
IT NYSE · Gartner Inc
185.60 MD 0.94 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LBRDA NASDAQ · Liberty Broadband Srs A
35.93 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.28 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MOS NYSE · The Mosaic Company
23.06 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
14.42 MD 0.94 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPCH NASDAQ · Option Care Health Inc
23.79 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PBH NYSE · Prestige Brand Holdings Inc
54.85 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PCOR NYSE · Procore Technologies Inc
57.06 MD 0.53 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
2.14 MD 0.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RKDA NASDAQ · Arcadia Biosciences Inc
0.70 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RWAY NASDAQ · Runway Growth Finance Corp
6.84 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.53 MD 0.61 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TNDM NASDAQ · Tandem Diabetes Care Inc
22.38 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
101.83 MD 1.69 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TSCO NASDAQ · Tractor Supply Company
34.56 MD 0.23 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
31.09 MD 0.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VNT NYSE · Vontier Corp
35.09 MD 0.23 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WIX NASDAQ · Wix.Com Ltd
60.20 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
2.02 MD 1.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ZKH NYSE · ZKH Group Limited
2.85 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
24
AHCO NASDAQ · Adapthealth Corp
5.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
0.91 20% entry drawdown · -26.62%
AMLX NASDAQ · Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
22.82 Reversal Risk Warning · 260.51%
APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC
49.55 20% entry drawdown · -25.65%
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
21.13 20% entry drawdown · -27.06%
BAER NASDAQ · Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.26 20% entry drawdown · -32.44%
BTMD NASDAQ · biote Corp
1.48 20% entry drawdown · -31.80%
CRL NYSE · Charles River Laboratories
267.49 Reversal Risk Warning · 78.98%
DAAQ NASDAQ · Digital Asset Acquisition Corp.
8.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.51%
FVN NASDAQ · Future Vision II Acquisition Corporation Ordinary shares
11.80 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.61%
GDTC NASDAQ · CytoMed Therapeutics Limited Ordinary Shares
0.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.20%
HCAT NASDAQ · Health Catalyst Inc
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -24.45%
HGBL NASDAQ · Heritage Global Inc
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
IPCX NASDAQ · Inflection Point Acquisition Corp. III Class A Ordinary Shares
4.44 20% entry drawdown · -56.34%
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.08 20% entry drawdown · -40.33%
MTW NYSE · Manitowoc Company Inc
18.81 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.09%
ONT NYSE · Onterris
16.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.12%
ORGO NASDAQ · Organogenesis Holdings Inc
1.86 20% entry drawdown · -29.01%
PETZ NASDAQ · TDH Holdings Inc
1.59 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.40%
PZZA NASDAQ · Papa John's International Inc
24.47 20% entry drawdown · -33.77%
SPPL NASDAQ · SIMPPLE LTD. Ordinary Shares
2.54 20% entry drawdown · -35.20%
SWK NYSE · Stanley Black & Decker Inc
103.89 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.82%
UHAL NYSE · U-Haul Holding Company
75.27 Reversal Risk Warning · 43.13%
VAC NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide
123.47 Reversal Risk Warning · 110.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 931-960 of 1076 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
TFIN NYSE · Triumph Financial, Inc.
7 Nov 202553.86
76.01
41.13%
Buy
0.08
-
-
TFX NYSE · Teleflex Incorporated
25 Jul 2025115.85
134.98
16.52%
Buy
0.19
-
-
TGE NYSE · The Generation Essentials Group
12 Jun 20261.04
0.95
-9.12%
Buy
0.05
-
-
TGHL NASDAQ · The GrowHub Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
10 Apr 20260.36
0.82
127.32%
Buy
0.59
-
-
TGT NYSE · Target Corporation
27 Jun 202595.12
149.70
57.38%
Buy
0.27
-
-
THRM NASDAQ · Gentherm Inc
6 Jun 202527.05
41.26
52.53%
Buy
0.10
-
-
TITN NASDAQ · Titan Machinery Inc
28 Mar 202517.27
19.09
10.54%
Buy
0.63
-
-
TJGC NASDAQ · TJGC Group Limited
10 Apr 20262.82
3.65
29.43%
Buy
0.67
-
-
TLF NASDAQ · Tandy Leather Factory Inc
6 Feb 20262.41
2.45
1.63%
Buy
0.51
-
-
TLIH NASDAQ · Ten-League International Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
1 May 20263.66
5.71
56.01%
Buy
0.29
-
-
TLSI NASDAQ · TriSalus Life Sciences Inc.
26 Jun 20264.73
5.61
18.60%
Buy
0.10
-
-
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
6 Mar 20267.52
11.52
53.19%
Buy
0.31
-
-
TLYS NYSE · Tillys Inc
13 Mar 20262.69
4.19
55.76%
Buy
0.32
-
-
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
15 May 20262.66
4.76
78.95%
Buy
0.92
-
-
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
7 Aug 20269.53
9.53
New Entry week
Buy
0.61
-
-
TNC NYSE · Tennant Company
24 Apr 202681.23
73.89
-9.03%
Buy
0.11
-
-
TNDM NASDAQ · Tandem Diabetes Care Inc
7 Aug 202622.38
22.38
New Entry week
Buy
0.31
-
-
TREX NYSE · Trex Company Inc
23 Jan 202642.55
49.17
15.56%
Buy
0.12
-
-
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
7 Aug 2026101.83
101.83
New Entry week
Buy
1.69
-
-
TRIP NASDAQ · TripAdvisor Inc
1 May 202611.56
10.78
-6.75%
Buy
0.05
-
-
TRNS NASDAQ · Transcat Inc
6 Feb 202676.33
93.11
21.98%
Buy
0.59
-
-
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
23 Jan 20266.21
6.51
4.81%
Buy
1.79
-
-
TRUP NASDAQ · Trupanion Inc
19 Jun 202623.54
26.99
14.66%
Buy
0.11
-
-
TSCO NASDAQ · Tractor Supply Company
7 Aug 202634.56
34.56
New Entry week
Buy
0.23
-
-
TSQ NYSE · Townsquare Media Inc
23 Jan 20265.65
6.48
14.61%
Buy
0.17
-
-
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
10 Jul 202630.99
35.44
14.36%
Buy
0.06
-
-
TUSK NASDAQ · Mammoth Energy Services Inc
16 Jan 20262.29
3.39
48.03%
Buy
0.35
-
-
TV NYSE · Grupo Televisa SAB ADR
21 Feb 20251.85
2.83
52.81%
Buy
0.21
-
-
TVA NASDAQ · Texas Ventures Acquisition III Corp
12 Jun 202610.44
10.53
0.86%
Buy
0.05
-
-
TVAI NASDAQ · Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation II Class A Ordinary Shares
23 Jan 202610.20
10.39
1.86%
Buy
1.95
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 10111-10140 of 10942
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
27 Oct 2023
Exit
HALO NASDAQ · Halozyme Therapeutics Inc
33.38
20% entry drawdown
-22.17%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 42.89
27 Oct 2023
Entry
HUYA NYSE · HUYA Inc
1.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
27 Oct 2023
Exit
KALV NASDAQ · Kalvista Pharmaceuticals Inc
7.99
20% entry drawdown
-22.35%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 10.29
27 Oct 2023
Entry
LFVN NASDAQ · Lifevantage Corporation
7.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.55
27 Oct 2023
Entry
LRN NYSE · Stride Inc
54.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.08
27 Oct 2023
Exit
MAC NYSE · Macerich Company
8.69
20% entry drawdown
-21.30%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 11.04
27 Oct 2023
Exit
MSGS NYSE · Madison Square Garden Sports Corp
165.18
20% entry drawdown
-20.88%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 208.76
27 Oct 2023
Exit
MTC NASDAQ · MMTEC Inc
8.48
20% entry drawdown
-26.39%
Entry 20 Oct 2023 11.52
27 Oct 2023
Exit
NYAX NASDAQ · Nayax Ltd
19.00
20% entry drawdown
-21.00%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 24.05
27 Oct 2023
Exit
PLPC NASDAQ · Preformed Line Products Company
130.63
20% entry drawdown
-21.25%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 165.87
27 Oct 2023
Exit
RCM NASDAQ · R1 RCM Inc
11.19
20% entry drawdown
-20.81%
Entry 27 Jan 2023 14.13
27 Oct 2023
Exit
ROKU NASDAQ · Roku Inc
56.35
20% entry drawdown
-23.87%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 74.02
27 Oct 2023
Exit
SBSW NYSE · Sibanye Gold Ltd ADR
5.00
20% entry drawdown
-21.12%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 6.34
27 Oct 2023
Exit
SKYH NYSE · Sky Harbour Group Corporation
5.76
20% entry drawdown
-20.55%
Entry 20 Oct 2023 7.25
27 Oct 2023
Entry
SRRK NASDAQ · Scholar Rock Holding Corp
10.34
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.46
27 Oct 2023
Entry
TNK NYSE · Teekay Tankers Ltd
43.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.35
27 Oct 2023
Entry
WHLRD NASDAQ · Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc.
13.90
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.44
27 Oct 2023
Entry
WNEB NASDAQ · Western New England Bancorp Inc
6.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.60
27 Oct 2023
Entry
WTW NASDAQ · Willis Towers Watson PLC
222.09
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
20 Oct 2023
Entry
AKA NYSE · AKA Brands Holding Corp
7.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.83
20 Oct 2023
Entry
AM NYSE · Antero Midstream Partners LP
10.66
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
20 Oct 2023
Exit
AMG NYSE · Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.
123.78
20% entry drawdown
-20.63%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 155.96
20 Oct 2023
Exit
BFH NYSE · Bread Financial Holdings, Inc.
27.34
20% entry drawdown
-21.17%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 34.68
20 Oct 2023
Entry
BNTC NASDAQ · Benitec Biopharma Ltd ADR
3.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
20 Oct 2023
Exit
BOOT NYSE · Boot Barn Holdings Inc
76.44
20% entry drawdown
-22.81%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 99.03
20 Oct 2023
Exit
CFG NYSE · Citizens Financial Group, Inc.
21.21
20% entry drawdown
-22.44%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 27.35
20 Oct 2023
Exit
COF NYSE · Capital One Financial Corporation
86.40
20% entry drawdown
-21.51%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 110.08
20 Oct 2023
Entry
CRBG NYSE · Corebridge Financial Inc.
17.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.14
20 Oct 2023
Entry
CXW NYSE · CoreCivic Inc
11.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.57
20 Oct 2023
Exit
DDOG NASDAQ · Datadog Inc
86.08
20% entry drawdown
-20.69%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 108.53

Evidence context