View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 7 Aug 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
494.61
Total Return
394.61%
CAGR
56.21% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.47%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.18
Current Holdings
1076
Transactions
10942 Avg 3053.1/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4933 Stop 42.1% · Warning 57.3% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

7 Aug 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
41
ACM NYSE · Aecom Technology Corporation
75.84 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ACN NYSE · Accenture plc
175.72 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.27 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BAFN NASDAQ · Bayfirst Financial Corp
6.34 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
11.22 MD 0.46 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BGSI NYSE · Boyd Group Services Inc.
102.34 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BHC NYSE · Bausch Health Companies Inc
6.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIOA NASDAQ · BioAge Labs, Inc
11.72 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BRLT NASDAQ · Brilliant Earth Group Inc
1.28 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
64.00 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CLX NYSE · The Clorox Company
105.15 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CTSH NASDAQ · Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp Class A
57.67 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
3.32 MD 1.69 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DOCS NYSE · Doximity Inc
27.40 MD 0.99 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FRPT NASDAQ · Freshpet Inc
66.91 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FWRD NASDAQ · Forward Air Corporation
19.35 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
G NYSE · Genpact Limited
34.29 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLOB NYSE · Globant SA
37.40 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUIZ NASDAQ · Huize Holding Ltd
1.66 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INSP NYSE · Inspire Medical Systems Inc
60.16 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTU NASDAQ · Intuit Inc
325.25 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
IT NYSE · Gartner Inc
185.60 MD 0.94 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LBRDA NASDAQ · Liberty Broadband Srs A
35.93 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.28 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MOS NYSE · The Mosaic Company
23.06 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
14.42 MD 0.94 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPCH NASDAQ · Option Care Health Inc
23.79 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PBH NYSE · Prestige Brand Holdings Inc
54.85 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PCOR NYSE · Procore Technologies Inc
57.06 MD 0.53 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
2.14 MD 0.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RKDA NASDAQ · Arcadia Biosciences Inc
0.70 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RWAY NASDAQ · Runway Growth Finance Corp
6.84 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.53 MD 0.61 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TNDM NASDAQ · Tandem Diabetes Care Inc
22.38 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
101.83 MD 1.69 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TSCO NASDAQ · Tractor Supply Company
34.56 MD 0.23 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
31.09 MD 0.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VNT NYSE · Vontier Corp
35.09 MD 0.23 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WIX NASDAQ · Wix.Com Ltd
60.20 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
2.02 MD 1.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ZKH NYSE · ZKH Group Limited
2.85 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
24
AHCO NASDAQ · Adapthealth Corp
5.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
0.91 20% entry drawdown · -26.62%
AMLX NASDAQ · Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
22.82 Reversal Risk Warning · 260.51%
APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC
49.55 20% entry drawdown · -25.65%
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
21.13 20% entry drawdown · -27.06%
BAER NASDAQ · Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.26 20% entry drawdown · -32.44%
BTMD NASDAQ · biote Corp
1.48 20% entry drawdown · -31.80%
CRL NYSE · Charles River Laboratories
267.49 Reversal Risk Warning · 78.98%
DAAQ NASDAQ · Digital Asset Acquisition Corp.
8.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.51%
FVN NASDAQ · Future Vision II Acquisition Corporation Ordinary shares
11.80 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.61%
GDTC NASDAQ · CytoMed Therapeutics Limited Ordinary Shares
0.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.20%
HCAT NASDAQ · Health Catalyst Inc
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -24.45%
HGBL NASDAQ · Heritage Global Inc
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
IPCX NASDAQ · Inflection Point Acquisition Corp. III Class A Ordinary Shares
4.44 20% entry drawdown · -56.34%
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.08 20% entry drawdown · -40.33%
MTW NYSE · Manitowoc Company Inc
18.81 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.09%
ONT NYSE · Onterris
16.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.12%
ORGO NASDAQ · Organogenesis Holdings Inc
1.86 20% entry drawdown · -29.01%
PETZ NASDAQ · TDH Holdings Inc
1.59 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.40%
PZZA NASDAQ · Papa John's International Inc
24.47 20% entry drawdown · -33.77%
SPPL NASDAQ · SIMPPLE LTD. Ordinary Shares
2.54 20% entry drawdown · -35.20%
SWK NYSE · Stanley Black & Decker Inc
103.89 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.82%
UHAL NYSE · U-Haul Holding Company
75.27 Reversal Risk Warning · 43.13%
VAC NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide
123.47 Reversal Risk Warning · 110.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 331-360 of 1076 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
EXFY NASDAQ · Expensify Inc
19 Jun 20261.56
2.69
72.44%
Buy
1.21
-
-
EXLS NASDAQ · ExlService Holdings Inc
22 May 202629.51
34.89
18.23%
Buy
0.35
-
-
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
17 Jul 202662.88
66.79
6.22%
Buy
0.09
-
-
EYPT NASDAQ · Eyepoint Pharmaceuticals Inc
30 May 20257.24
13.89
91.85%
Buy
0.74
-
-
FACT NASDAQ · FACT II Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
1 Aug 202510.29
10.67
3.69%
Buy
1.02
-
-
FATE NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc
22 May 20262.25
2.80
24.44%
Buy
1.61
-
-
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
27 Mar 20262.33
6.37
173.39%
Buy
0.33
-
-
FBIN NYSE · Fortune Brands Innovations Inc.
26 Jun 202645.96
50.78
10.49%
Buy
0.28
-
-
FC NYSE · Franklin Covey Company
3 Apr 202623.32
21.81
-6.48%
Buy
0.00
-
-
FCEL NASDAQ · FuelCell Energy Inc
1 May 202613.31
20.43
53.49%
Buy
0.44
-
-
FDMT NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
10 Apr 20269.81
10.75
9.58%
Buy
0.25
-
-
FDS NYSE · FactSet Research Systems Inc
24 Apr 2026223.07
285.57
28.02%
Buy
0.10
-
-
FF NYSE · FutureFuel Corp
13 Feb 20263.70
5.09
37.54%
Buy
0.21
-
-
FG NYSE · F&G Annuities & Life Inc.
1 May 202627.86
27.67
-0.69%
Buy
0.21
-
-
FGBI NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.
16 Jan 20268.02
9.60
19.66%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FGMC NASDAQ · FG Merger II Corp. Common stock
17 Oct 202510.04
8.30
-17.33%
Buy
0.28
-
-
FICO NYSE · Fair Isaac Corporation
29 May 20261250.59
1041.40
-16.73%
Buy
0.03
-
-
FIG NYSE · Figma, Inc.
8 May 202620.66
23.29
12.73%
Buy
1.41
-
-
FIGX NASDAQ · FIGX Capital Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share
10 Apr 202610.18
10.28
0.98%
Buy
1.00
-
-
FINV NYSE · FinVolution Group
13 Feb 20265.21
4.86
-6.69%
Buy
0.09
-
-
FIP NASDAQ · FTAI Infrastructure Inc.
19 Dec 20254.64
4.27
-7.99%
Buy
0.05
-
-
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
17 Jul 202641.91
42.77
2.05%
Buy
0.19
-
-
FISK NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP 250
3 Jul 20265.61
5.21
-7.13%
Buy
0.63
-
-
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
1 May 202622.24
33.99
52.83%
Buy
0.12
-
-
FIZZ NASDAQ · National Beverage Corp
30 Jan 202634.08
32.13
-5.72%
Buy
0.18
-
-
FLG NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
7 Feb 202512.25
13.95
13.87%
Buy
0.09
-
-
FLGT NASDAQ · Fulgent Genetics Inc
14 Mar 202517.24
19.14
11.02%
Buy
0.07
-
-
FLL NASDAQ · Full House Resorts Inc
3 Apr 20262.55
2.43
-4.71%
Buy
0.36
-
-
FLO NYSE · Flowers Foods Inc
12 Jun 20267.79
7.40
-5.01%
Buy
0.07
-
-
FLOC NYSE · Flowco Holdings Inc.
5 Dec 202517.88
21.79
21.90%
Buy
1.65
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 10291-10320 of 10942
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
15 Sep 2023
Entry
UGI NYSE · UGI Corporation
21.24
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
15 Sep 2023
Entry
USAC NYSE · USA Compression Partners LP
17.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.27
15 Sep 2023
Entry
VOD NASDAQ · Vodafone Group PLC ADR
8.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.30
15 Sep 2023
Entry
XHR NYSE · Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc
11.15
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
8 Sep 2023
Entry
ARES NYSE · Ares Management LP
95.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.12
8 Sep 2023
Entry
BRC NYSE · Brady Corporation
53.22
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.41
8 Sep 2023
Entry
BX NYSE · Blackstone Group Inc
103.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.21
8 Sep 2023
Entry
CME NASDAQ · CME Group Inc
181.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.01
8 Sep 2023
Entry
CSTL NASDAQ · Castle Biosciences Inc
18.34
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
8 Sep 2023
Entry
CWAN NYSE · Clearwater Analytics Holdings Inc
19.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.52
8 Sep 2023
Entry
DAKT NASDAQ · Daktronics Inc
9.06
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.49
8 Sep 2023
Entry
DERM NASDAQ · Journey Medical Corp
2.95
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.22
8 Sep 2023
Entry
DWSN NASDAQ · Dawson Geophysical Company
1.72
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
8 Sep 2023
Exit
EOSE NASDAQ · Eos Energy Enterprises Inc
2.76
20% entry drawdown
-28.31%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 3.85
8 Sep 2023
Entry
EUDA NASDAQ · EUDA Health Holdings Limited
30.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.85
8 Sep 2023
Entry
GIII NASDAQ · G-III Apparel Group Ltd
23.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.68
8 Sep 2023
Entry
HITI NASDAQ · High Tide Inc
1.58
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.12
8 Sep 2023
Entry
INTC NASDAQ · Intel Corporation
37.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.82
8 Sep 2023
Entry
KNOP NYSE · KNOT Offshore Partners LP
6.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.36
8 Sep 2023
Entry
PEBK NASDAQ · Peoples Bancorp of North Carolina
20.35
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.55
8 Sep 2023
Entry
RSSS NASDAQ · Research Solutions Inc
2.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.77
8 Sep 2023
Entry
SBFG NASDAQ · SB Financial Group Inc
13.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.17
8 Sep 2023
Exit
SUPV NYSE · Grupo Supervielle SA
2.50
20% entry drawdown
-22.62%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 3.23
8 Sep 2023
Entry
TDY NYSE · Teledyne Technologies Incorporated
410.22
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.33
8 Sep 2023
Entry
TM NYSE · Toyota Motor Corporation ADR
165.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.88
1 Sep 2023
Entry
ALSN NYSE · Allison Transmission Holdings Inc
59.02
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.28
1 Sep 2023
Entry
ARDX NASDAQ · Ardelyx Inc
4.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
1 Sep 2023
Entry
AVT NASDAQ · Avnet Inc
47.35
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.61
1 Sep 2023
Entry
CBT NYSE · Cabot Corporation
70.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38
1 Sep 2023
Entry
CDRE NYSE · Cadre Holdings Inc
25.26
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.74

Evidence context