View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 7 Aug 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
494.61
Total Return
394.61%
CAGR
56.21% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.47%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.18
Current Holdings
1076
Transactions
10942 Avg 3053.1/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4933 Stop 42.1% · Warning 57.3% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

7 Aug 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
41
ACM NYSE · Aecom Technology Corporation
75.84 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ACN NYSE · Accenture plc
175.72 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.27 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BAFN NASDAQ · Bayfirst Financial Corp
6.34 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
11.22 MD 0.46 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BGSI NYSE · Boyd Group Services Inc.
102.34 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BHC NYSE · Bausch Health Companies Inc
6.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIOA NASDAQ · BioAge Labs, Inc
11.72 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BRLT NASDAQ · Brilliant Earth Group Inc
1.28 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
64.00 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CLX NYSE · The Clorox Company
105.15 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CTSH NASDAQ · Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp Class A
57.67 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
3.32 MD 1.69 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DOCS NYSE · Doximity Inc
27.40 MD 0.99 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FRPT NASDAQ · Freshpet Inc
66.91 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FWRD NASDAQ · Forward Air Corporation
19.35 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
G NYSE · Genpact Limited
34.29 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLOB NYSE · Globant SA
37.40 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUIZ NASDAQ · Huize Holding Ltd
1.66 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INSP NYSE · Inspire Medical Systems Inc
60.16 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTU NASDAQ · Intuit Inc
325.25 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
IT NYSE · Gartner Inc
185.60 MD 0.94 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LBRDA NASDAQ · Liberty Broadband Srs A
35.93 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.28 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MOS NYSE · The Mosaic Company
23.06 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
14.42 MD 0.94 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPCH NASDAQ · Option Care Health Inc
23.79 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PBH NYSE · Prestige Brand Holdings Inc
54.85 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PCOR NYSE · Procore Technologies Inc
57.06 MD 0.53 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
2.14 MD 0.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RKDA NASDAQ · Arcadia Biosciences Inc
0.70 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RWAY NASDAQ · Runway Growth Finance Corp
6.84 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.53 MD 0.61 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TNDM NASDAQ · Tandem Diabetes Care Inc
22.38 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
101.83 MD 1.69 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TSCO NASDAQ · Tractor Supply Company
34.56 MD 0.23 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
31.09 MD 0.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VNT NYSE · Vontier Corp
35.09 MD 0.23 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WIX NASDAQ · Wix.Com Ltd
60.20 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
2.02 MD 1.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ZKH NYSE · ZKH Group Limited
2.85 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
24
AHCO NASDAQ · Adapthealth Corp
5.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
0.91 20% entry drawdown · -26.62%
AMLX NASDAQ · Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
22.82 Reversal Risk Warning · 260.51%
APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC
49.55 20% entry drawdown · -25.65%
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
21.13 20% entry drawdown · -27.06%
BAER NASDAQ · Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.26 20% entry drawdown · -32.44%
BTMD NASDAQ · biote Corp
1.48 20% entry drawdown · -31.80%
CRL NYSE · Charles River Laboratories
267.49 Reversal Risk Warning · 78.98%
DAAQ NASDAQ · Digital Asset Acquisition Corp.
8.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.51%
FVN NASDAQ · Future Vision II Acquisition Corporation Ordinary shares
11.80 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.61%
GDTC NASDAQ · CytoMed Therapeutics Limited Ordinary Shares
0.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.20%
HCAT NASDAQ · Health Catalyst Inc
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -24.45%
HGBL NASDAQ · Heritage Global Inc
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
IPCX NASDAQ · Inflection Point Acquisition Corp. III Class A Ordinary Shares
4.44 20% entry drawdown · -56.34%
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.08 20% entry drawdown · -40.33%
MTW NYSE · Manitowoc Company Inc
18.81 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.09%
ONT NYSE · Onterris
16.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.12%
ORGO NASDAQ · Organogenesis Holdings Inc
1.86 20% entry drawdown · -29.01%
PETZ NASDAQ · TDH Holdings Inc
1.59 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.40%
PZZA NASDAQ · Papa John's International Inc
24.47 20% entry drawdown · -33.77%
SPPL NASDAQ · SIMPPLE LTD. Ordinary Shares
2.54 20% entry drawdown · -35.20%
SWK NYSE · Stanley Black & Decker Inc
103.89 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.82%
UHAL NYSE · U-Haul Holding Company
75.27 Reversal Risk Warning · 43.13%
VAC NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide
123.47 Reversal Risk Warning · 110.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 811-840 of 1076 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
RDIB NASDAQ · Reading International B Inc
24 Jan 20256.62
9.00
36.03%
Buy
0.49
-
-
RDNW NASDAQ · RideNow Group, Inc.
15 Aug 20252.96
6.80
129.73%
Buy
0.65
-
-
RDY NYSE · Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories Ltd ADR
2 May 202513.91
12.22
-12.17%
Buy
0.20
-
-
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
7 Aug 20262.14
2.14
New Entry week
Buy
0.59
-
-
REGN NASDAQ · Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
16 May 2025590.29
784.36
32.88%
Buy
0.10
-
-
RELX NYSE · Relx PLC ADR
24 Apr 202635.83
35.52
-0.87%
Buy
0.13
-
-
RELY NASDAQ · Remitly Global Inc
20 Feb 202617.15
24.42
42.39%
Buy
0.53
-
-
REXR NYSE · Rexford Industrial Realty Inc
20 Jun 202534.88
36.74
5.32%
Buy
0.12
-
-
REYN NASDAQ · Reynolds Consumer Products Inc
25 Jul 202521.29
26.52
24.56%
Buy
0.09
-
-
RFAI NASDAQ · RF Acquisition Corp II Ordinary Shares
2 May 202510.45
11.06
5.79%
Buy
2.21
-
-
RGEN NASDAQ · Repligen Corporation
15 Aug 2025124.35
163.90
31.81%
Buy
0.04
-
-
RGR NYSE · Sturm Ruger & Company Inc
13 Feb 202637.30
37.11
-0.51%
Buy
0.04
-
-
RH NYSE · RH
12 Jun 2026153.04
196.15
28.17%
Buy
0.16
-
-
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
29 May 202629.44
42.74
45.18%
Buy
0.72
-
-
RIG NYSE · Transocean Ltd
8 Aug 20253.10
5.26
69.68%
Buy
0.71
-
-
RIVN NASDAQ · Rivian Automotive Inc
7 Jun 202411.52
16.00
38.89%
Buy
0.12
-
-
RKDA NASDAQ · Arcadia Biosciences Inc
7 Aug 20260.70
0.70
New Entry week
Buy
0.22
-
-
RLYB NASDAQ · Rallybio Corp
15 Aug 20254.83
16.16
234.44%
Buy
1.19
-
-
RMAX NYSE · Re Max Holding
1 May 202610.78
11.37
5.47%
Buy
0.17
-
-
RMCO NASDAQ · Royalty Management Holding Corporation
4 Jul 20251.59
2.92
84.17%
Buy
1.19
-
-
RNAC NASDAQ · Cartesian Therapeutics Inc.
17 Apr 20267.04
8.85
25.71%
Buy
0.29
-
-
RNGT NASDAQ · Range Capital Acquisition Corp II Class A Ordinary Shares
19 Jun 202610.08
10.13
0.45%
Buy
1.47
-
-
RNW NASDAQ · Renew Energy Global PLC
24 Apr 20265.20
6.17
18.65%
Buy
0.04
-
-
ROP NASDAQ · Roper Technologies Inc
24 Apr 2026353.40
402.25
13.82%
Buy
0.17
-
-
RPAY NASDAQ · Repay Holdings Corp
6 Mar 20262.94
3.95
34.35%
Buy
0.11
-
-
RPC NYSE · Ridgepost Capital, Inc
22 May 20268.24
8.99
9.10%
Buy
0.04
-
-
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
10 Jul 202611.17
11.57
3.58%
Buy
1.18
-
-
RR NASDAQ · Richtech Robotics Inc. Class B Common Stock
20 Dec 20241.27
1.61
26.77%
Buy
0.68
-
-
RRGB NASDAQ · Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc
24 Apr 20263.98
8.20
106.03%
Buy
0.10
-
-
RSKD NYSE · Riskified Ltd
1 May 20264.75
5.35
12.63%
Buy
0.08
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 9331-9360 of 10942
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
15 Dec 2023
Entry
GSAT NASDAQ · Globalstar, Inc. Common Stock
25.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.11
15 Dec 2023
Entry
HEPS NASDAQ · D-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading ADR
1.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
15 Dec 2023
Entry
HIFS NASDAQ · Hingham Institution for Savings
192.26
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
15 Dec 2023
Entry
HIW NYSE · Highwoods Properties Inc
19.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
15 Dec 2023
Entry
HOV NYSE · Hovnanian Enterprises Inc
149.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.39
15 Dec 2023
Entry
HRMY NASDAQ · Harmony Biosciences Holdings
33.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
15 Dec 2023
Entry
HWKN NASDAQ · Hawkins Inc
70.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
15 Dec 2023
Entry
IBN NYSE · ICICI Bank Limited
24.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
15 Dec 2023
Entry
ICE NYSE · Intercontinental Exchange Inc
119.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.40
15 Dec 2023
Entry
IKT NASDAQ · Inhibikase Therapeutics Inc
1.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
15 Dec 2023
Entry
IMPP NASDAQ · Imperial Petroleum Inc
1.92
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.65
15 Dec 2023
Entry
IRT NYSE · Independence Realty Trust Inc
14.26
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
15 Dec 2023
Entry
IRTC NASDAQ · iRhythm Technologies Inc
101.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
15 Dec 2023
Entry
ISTR NASDAQ · Investar Holding Corp
13.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.41
15 Dec 2023
Exit
JAKK NASDAQ · JAKKS Pacific Inc
32.41
Reversal Risk Warning
29.92%
Entry 10 Nov 2023 24.94
15 Dec 2023
Entry
JLL NYSE · Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated
183.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
15 Dec 2023
Entry
KEYS NYSE · Keysight Technologies Inc
158.53
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.19
15 Dec 2023
Entry
KN NYSE · Knowles Cor
17.87
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.75
15 Dec 2023
Entry
KT NYSE · KT Corporation
12.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.82
15 Dec 2023
Entry
LAZ NYSE · Lazard Ltd
31.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
15 Dec 2023
Entry
LC NYSE · LendingClub Corp
8.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.70
15 Dec 2023
Entry
LE NASDAQ · Lands’ End Inc
8.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22
15 Dec 2023
Entry
LNC NYSE · Lincoln National Corporation
24.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
15 Dec 2023
Entry
LOW NYSE · Lowe's Companies Inc
215.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
15 Dec 2023
Entry
LUV NYSE · Southwest Airlines Company
27.34
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
15 Dec 2023
Entry
LXP NYSE · LXP Industrial Trust
40.92
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.26
15 Dec 2023
Entry
LYV NYSE · Live Nation Entertainment Inc
93.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.40
15 Dec 2023
Entry
MA NYSE · Mastercard Inc
412.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
15 Dec 2023
Entry
MAR NASDAQ · Marriott International Inc
215.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
15 Dec 2023
Entry
MBBC NASDAQ · Marathon Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock
6.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19

Evidence context