US Equity · NYSE · Earnings Dossier

AERO earnings intelligence

Grupo Aeroméxico, S.A.B. de C.V.

Industrials · Airlines · USD reporting basis

Current earnings profile Mixed earnings transmission

Delivery and market response do not currently form a persistent directional pattern.

Evidence82/100 · Strong

Next scheduled catalyst

Tuesday 20 October 2026

Time unconfirmed · Fiscal period ending 30 Sep 2026

54event risk

Elevated

Countdown69 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate0.52 USDprovider consensus
Estimate growth-26.8%versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement8.5%average absolute next weekly close

Three-year earnings transmission

Delivered earnings power versus market price

Three-year relationship unavailable

A full 156-week price window is needed.

Beat rate66.7%2 beats in 3 measured quarters
Average surprise+108.2%median 130.6%
Delivery streak11 consecutive misses
Average response-0.1%4 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation67%same directional sign
Surprise variability87.2 ptspopulation dispersion

Estimate delivery

Actual EPS versus consensus

Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.

Price acceptance

Surprise and next weekly close

The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.

Fundamental delivery

Quarterly revenue and net income

Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.

Transmission matrix

Does price confirm delivery?

Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.

Current business context

Growth, quality and valuation

As of 9 Aug 2026
EPS growth-40.4%year on year
Revenue growth4.6%year on year
Average surprise108.2%latest four quarters
SUE1.01standardised surprise
Net margin3.8%trailing basis
Cash conversion5.95xcash flow / net income
P/E10.8xcurrent snapshot
Data completeness86%alphavantage

Market context

Positioning into the event

Week ending 7 Aug 2026
Weekly close15.90 USDcompleted week
13-week return-2.5%price momentum
Fair-value gap-8.5%price versus current fair value
Relative strength-exchange benchmark
Trend signalInactiveweekly architecture
Next-week stateUndecided47.3%

Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.

Reported evidence ledger

Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance

Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.

4 quarters
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period13 Jul 202630 Jun 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.40 / -0.37USD
Surprise-8.1%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth1479000000+11.2% · USD
Next close / four weeks-7.8% / -5.0%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period21 Apr 202631 Mar 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.48 / 0.49USD
Surprise+202.0%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth1341000000+14.0% · USD
Next close / four weeks-8.1% / -8.0%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period17 Feb 202631 Dec 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.13 / 0.49USD
Surprise+130.6%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth1437978000+0.2% · USD
Next close / four weeks+16.9% / -25.4%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period3 Dec 202530 Sep 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.71 / 0.00USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth1424888000-4.4% · USD
Next close / four weeks-1.4% / +23.6%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign

Reproducible method

How the earnings dossier is measured

Descriptive, not predictive
Estimate delivery

Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.

Price response

The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.

Event risk

Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.

Data discipline

Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.

Evidence context