US Equity · NYSE · Earnings Dossier

GAP earnings intelligence

The Gap, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail · USD reporting basis

Current earnings profile Delivery and acceptance aligned

Results have usually cleared estimates and the next completed weekly close has, on average, confirmed the delivery.

Evidence99/100 · Deep

Next scheduled catalyst

Thursday 27 August 2026

After the close · Fiscal period ending 31 Jul 2026

81event risk

High

Countdown14 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate0.50 USDprovider consensus
Estimate growth-12.3%versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement14.5%average absolute next weekly close

Three-year earnings transmission

Delivered earnings power versus market price

Three-year relationship unavailable

Earnings power must be positive at the start of the three-year window.

Beat rate83.3%10 beats in 12 measured quarters
Average surprise+72.0%median 29.6%
Delivery streak22 consecutive misses
Average response+5.0%12 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation83%same directional sign
Surprise variability84.1 ptspopulation dispersion

Estimate delivery

Actual EPS versus consensus

Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.

Price acceptance

Surprise and next weekly close

The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.

Fundamental delivery

Quarterly revenue and net income

Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.

Transmission matrix

Does price confirm delivery?

Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.

Current business context

Growth, quality and valuation

As of 9 Aug 2026
EPS growth9.4%year on year
Revenue growth1.6%year on year
Average surprise1.0%latest four quarters
SUE0.85standardised surprise
Net margin6.2%trailing basis
Cash conversion2.72xcash flow / net income
P/E7.7xcurrent snapshot
Data completeness100%alphavantage

Market context

Positioning into the event

Week ending 7 Aug 2026
Weekly close20.47 USDcompleted week
13-week return-12.4%price momentum
Fair-value gap-3.0%price versus current fair value
Relative strength-22.7exchange benchmark
Trend signalInactiveweekly architecture
Next-week stateUndecided54.3%

Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.

Reported evidence ledger

Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance

Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.

12 quarters
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period28 May 202630 Apr 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.38 / 0.39USD
Surprise-2.6%Miss
EPS growth-25.5%year on year
Revenue / growth3497000000+1.0% · USD
Next close / four weeks-9.6% / -10.4%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period5 Mar 202631 Jan 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.45 / 0.46USD
Surprise-2.2%Miss
EPS growth-16.7%year on year
Revenue / growth4236000000+2.1% · USD
Next close / four weeks-17.0% / -11.8%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period20 Nov 202531 Oct 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.62 / 0.59USD
Surprise+5.1%Beat
EPS growth-13.9%year on year
Revenue / growth3942000000+3.0% · USD
Next close / four weeks+3.4% / +9.1%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period28 Aug 202531 Jul 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.57 / 0.55USD
Surprise+3.6%Beat
EPS growth+5.6%year on year
Revenue / growth3725000000+0.1% · USD
Next close / four weeks+2.8% / +3.9%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period29 May 202530 Apr 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.51 / 0.45USD
Surprise+13.3%Beat
EPS growth+24.4%year on year
Revenue / growth3463000000+2.2% · USD
Next close / four weeks-21.6% / -25.0%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period6 Mar 202531 Jan 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.54 / 0.37USD
Surprise+45.9%Beat
EPS growth+10.2%year on year
Revenue / growth4149000000-3.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks+2.4% / -9.7%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period21 Nov 202431 Oct 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.72 / 0.58USD
Surprise+24.1%Beat
EPS growth+22.0%year on year
Revenue / growth3829000000+1.6% · USD
Next close / four weeks+15.6% / +12.9%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period29 Aug 202431 Jul 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.54 / 0.40USD
Surprise+35.0%Beat
EPS growth+71.2%year on year
Revenue / growth3720000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-8.9% / -17.5%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period30 May 202430 Apr 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.41 / 0.14USD
Surprise+192.9%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth3388000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+38.0% / +17.7%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period7 Mar 202431 Jan 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.49 / 0.22USD
Surprise+122.7%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth4298000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+9.8% / +44.5%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period16 Nov 202331 Oct 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.59 / 0.19USD
Surprise+210.5%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth3767000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+32.4% / +60.8%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period25 Aug 202331 Jul 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.32 / 0.10USD
Surprise+215.4%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks+12.5% / +8.1%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign

Reproducible method

How the earnings dossier is measured

Descriptive, not predictive
Estimate delivery

Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.

Price response

The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.

Event risk

Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.

Data discipline

Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.

Evidence context