Estimate delivery
Actual EPS versus consensus
Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.
US Equity · NYSE · Earnings Dossier
BHP earnings intelligence
BHP Group LimitedBasic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining · USD reporting basis
Current earnings profile
Mixed earnings transmission
Delivery and market response do not currently form a persistent directional pattern.
Evidence89/100 · Deep
Next scheduled catalyst
Tuesday 18 August 2026
Time unconfirmed · Fiscal period ending 30 Jun 2026
74event risk
High
Countdown5 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate-provider consensus
Estimate growth-versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement5.2%average absolute next weekly close
Three-year earnings transmission
Delivered earnings power versus market price
Three-year relationship unavailable
Earnings power is too stale at the start of the three-year window.
Beat rate25.0%2 beats in 8 measured quarters
Average surprise+15.4%median -13.2%
Delivery streak66 consecutive misses
Average response-0.6%12 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation50%same directional sign
Surprise variability92.0 ptspopulation dispersion
Price acceptance
Surprise and next weekly close
The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.
Fundamental delivery
Quarterly revenue and net income
Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.
Transmission matrix
Does price confirm delivery?
Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.
Current business context
Growth, quality and valuation
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue growth-year on year
Average surprise-29.8%latest four quarters
SUE-0.77standardised surprise
Net margin20.1%trailing basis
Cash conversion2.72xcash flow / net income
P/E10.6xcurrent snapshot
Data completeness86%alphavantage
Market context
Positioning into the event
Weekly close90.41 USDcompleted week
13-week return6.7%price momentum
Fair-value gap59.7%price versus current fair value
Relative strength18.6exchange benchmark
Trend signalActiveweekly architecture
Next-week stateUndecided52.9%
Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.
Reported evidence ledger
Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance
Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period16 Feb 202631 Dec 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate2.22 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth+27.8%year on year
Revenue / growth27950363000+11.0% · USD
Next close / four weeks+4.7% / -4.4%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period18 Aug 202530 Jun 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.81 / 2.16USD
Surprise-16.2%Miss
EPS growth-34.1%year on year
Revenue / growth26086000000-8.2% · USD
Next close / four weeks+3.3% / +2.1%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period17 Feb 202531 Dec 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.74 / 1.84USD
Surprise-5.6%Miss
EPS growth+375.9%year on year
Revenue / growth25176000000-7.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks-0.2% / -2.2%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period26 Aug 202430 Jun 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate2.75 / 3.06USD
Surprise-10.3%Miss
EPS growth+7.8%year on year
Revenue / growth28426000000+2.1% · USD
Next close / four weeks-0.1% / +0.2%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period18 Mar 202431 Dec 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.37 / 2.87USD
Surprise-87.3%Miss
EPS growth-85.7%year on year
Revenue / growth27232000000+4.8% · USD
Next close / four weeks+2.5% / +5.2%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period4 Sep 202330 Jun 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate2.55 / 3.08USD
Surprise-17.3%Miss
EPS growth-69.9%year on year
Revenue / growth27833000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-2.9% / +0.5%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period21 Feb 202331 Dec 2022 · exact
EPS actual / estimate2.55 / 3.20USD
Surprise-20.4%Miss
EPS growth-31.6%year on year
Revenue / growth25984000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-9.0% / -10.7%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period16 Aug 202230 Jun 2022 · exact
EPS actual / estimate8.46 / 2.46USD
Surprise+244.1%Beat
EPS growth+188.7%year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks+1.8% / +2.4%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period4 Jan 202231 Dec 2021 · exact
EPS actual / estimate3.72 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth+143.5%year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks+6.6% / +6.3%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period16 Aug 202130 Jun 2021 · exact
EPS actual / estimate2.93 / 2.16USD
Surprise+35.7%Beat
EPS growth+140.1%year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks-18.3% / -16.7%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period15 Feb 202131 Dec 2020 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.53 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks+8.1% / +8.8%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period22 Sep 202030 Jun 2020 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.22 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks-4.2% / -5.6%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reproducible method
How the earnings dossier is measured
Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.
The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.
Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.
Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.
Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.