Move decomposition
Earnings contribution and valuation offset
The market move is separated into the change in trailing earnings power and the offset from relative valuation.
US Equity · NASDAQ · Earnings Dossier
ATLO earnings intelligence
Ames National CorporationFinancial Services · Banks - Regional · USD reporting basis
Current earnings profile
Evidence is still developing
More reported quarters are needed before delivery consistency can be assessed reliably.
Evidence80/100 · Strong
Next scheduled catalyst
Friday 14 August 2026
Time unconfirmed · Fiscal period ending 30 Jun 2026
52event risk
Elevated
Countdown1 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate0.65 USDprovider consensus
Estimate growth+27.5%versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement4.9%average absolute next weekly close
Three-year earnings transmission
Delivered earnings power versus market price
Market price is leading earnings power; the spread is widening and has persisted through 10 updates. Both series begin at 100, so the gap isolates the relative change in price and trailing earnings power.
Market move95.5%2023-08-18 to 2026-08-07
Earnings move38.1%trailing diluted EPS
Unresolved spread-57.5 ptsWidening
Current multiple12.9xprice divided by TTM EPS
Relationship pressure64/100Moderate
Model confidence92/100High
Relationship controls
What qualifies the headline spread
Business quality supportive
Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive.
Expectations elevated
Price is leading delivered earnings power by a meaningful margin.
Model qualification
The direction is sensitive to the comparison horizon.
Beat rate50.0%1 beats in 2 measured quarters
Average surprise+4.0%median 4.0%
Delivery streak11 consecutive in-line reports
Average response+4.3%11 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation-same directional sign
Surprise variability4.0 ptspopulation dispersion
Estimate delivery
Actual EPS versus consensus
Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.
Price acceptance
Surprise and next weekly close
The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.
Fundamental delivery
Quarterly revenue and net income
Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.
Transmission matrix
Does price confirm delivery?
Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.
Current business context
Growth, quality and valuation
EPS growth89.7%year on year
Revenue growth6.2%year on year
Average surprise8.1%latest four quarters
SUE-standardised surprise
Net margin21.6%trailing basis
Cash conversion1.10xcash flow / net income
P/E12.8xcurrent snapshot
Data completeness100%alphavantage
Market context
Positioning into the event
Weekly close31.25 USDcompleted week
13-week return10.1%price momentum
Fair-value gap58.4%price versus current fair value
Relative strength10.2exchange benchmark
Trend signalActiveweekly architecture
Next-week statePositive56.6%
Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.
Reported evidence ledger
Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance
Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / perioddate unavailable30 Jun 2026 · period only
EPS actual / estimate0.67 / 0.65USD
Surprise+0.0%In-Line
EPS growth+31.4%year on year
Revenue / growth25980000+7.7% · USD
Next close / four weeks- / -completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period24 Apr 202631 Mar 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.67 / 0.62USD
Surprise+8.1%Beat
EPS growth+73.5%year on year
Revenue / growth25001000+5.6% · USD
Next close / four weeks+0.9% / -4.0%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period23 Jan 202631 Dec 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.73 / 0.00USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth+87.2%year on year
Revenue / growth26085000+9.2% · USD
Next close / four weeks+10.8% / +17.9%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period17 Oct 202530 Sep 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.51 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth+108.0%year on year
Revenue / growth24387000+5.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks+5.7% / +7.0%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period8 Aug 202530 Jun 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.51 / 0.00USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth+110.0%year on year
Revenue / growth24126000+4.2% · USD
Next close / four weeks+5.8% / +12.0%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period17 Apr 202531 Mar 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.39 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth+50.7%year on year
Revenue / growth23665000+6.2% · USD
Next close / four weeks+1.5% / +5.5%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period12 Mar 202531 Dec 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.39 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth+63.9%year on year
Revenue / growth23877000+7.8% · USD
Next close / four weeks-3.2% / -7.5%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period8 Nov 202430 Sep 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.25 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth-24.2%year on year
Revenue / growth23125000+9.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks+8.3% / +1.3%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period9 Aug 202430 Jun 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.24 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth23154000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+1.7% / +0.4%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period19 Apr 202431 Mar 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.26 / 0.00USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth22288000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+2.3% / +10.3%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period8 Mar 202431 Dec 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.24 / 0.00USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth22142000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+10.3% / +8.1%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period20 Oct 202330 Sep 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.33 / 0.00USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth21122000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+3.2% / +14.4%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reproducible method
How the earnings dossier is measured
Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.
The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.
Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.
Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.
Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.