Move decomposition
Earnings contribution and valuation offset
The market move is separated into the change in trailing earnings power and the offset from relative valuation.
US Equity · NYSE · Earnings Dossier
KBH earnings intelligence
KB HomeConsumer Cyclical · Residential Construction · USD reporting basis
Current earnings profile
Mixed earnings transmission
Delivery and market response do not currently form a persistent directional pattern.
Evidence99/100 · Deep
Next scheduled catalyst
Wednesday 23 September 2026
Time unconfirmed · Fiscal period ending 31 Aug 2026
35event risk
Moderate
Countdown41 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate0.88 USDprovider consensus
Estimate growth-45.3%versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement3.3%average absolute next weekly close
Three-year earnings transmission
Delivered earnings power versus market price
Market price is leading earnings power; the spread is widening and has persisted through 11 updates. Both series begin at 100, so the gap isolates the relative change in price and trailing earnings power.
Market move24.6%2023-08-18 to 2026-08-07
Earnings move-53.4%trailing diluted EPS
Unresolved spread-78.0 ptsWidening
Current multiple14.3xprice divided by TTM EPS
Relationship pressure72/100High
Model confidence96/100High
Relationship controls
What qualifies the headline spread
Fundamental fracture
Earnings have weakened while price has not adjusted to the same degree.
Beat rate58.3%7 beats in 12 measured quarters
Average surprise+4.7%median 3.0%
Delivery streak11 consecutive in-line reports
Average response+1.4%12 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation63%same directional sign
Surprise variability10.7 ptspopulation dispersion
Estimate delivery
Actual EPS versus consensus
Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.
Price acceptance
Surprise and next weekly close
The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.
Fundamental delivery
Quarterly revenue and net income
Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.
Transmission matrix
Does price confirm delivery?
Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.
Current business context
Growth, quality and valuation
EPS growth-51.9%year on year
Revenue growth-17.5%year on year
Average surprise-2.4%latest four quarters
SUE-0.23standardised surprise
Net margin4.9%trailing basis
Cash conversion1.69xcash flow / net income
P/E13.2xcurrent snapshot
Data completeness100%alphavantage
Market context
Positioning into the event
Weekly close58.59 USDcompleted week
13-week return18.3%price momentum
Fair-value gap-3.5%price versus current fair value
Relative strength-10.4exchange benchmark
Trend signalInactiveweekly architecture
Next-week stateUndecided53.2%
Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.
Reported evidence ledger
Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance
Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period23 Jun 202631 May 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.43 / 0.43USD
Surprise0.0%In-Line
EPS growth-71.3%year on year
Revenue / growth1112435000-27.3% · USD
Next close / four weeks+14.8% / +3.1%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period24 Mar 202628 Feb 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.52 / 0.54USD
Surprise-3.7%Miss
EPS growth-65.1%year on year
Revenue / growth1077011000-22.6% · USD
Next close / four weeks-0.5% / +6.1%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period12 Jan 202630 Nov 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.55 / 1.79USD
Surprise-13.4%Miss
EPS growth-38.5%year on year
Revenue / growth1694378000-15.3% · USD
Next close / four weeks-0.5% / -0.7%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period24 Sep 202531 Aug 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.61 / 1.50USD
Surprise+7.3%Beat
EPS growth-21.1%year on year
Revenue / growth1620474000-7.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks-1.0% / -3.2%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period23 Jun 202531 May 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.50 / 1.46USD
Surprise+2.7%Beat
EPS growth-30.2%year on year
Revenue / growth1529585000-10.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks+1.9% / +4.1%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period24 Mar 202528 Feb 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.49 / 1.59USD
Surprise-6.3%Miss
EPS growth-15.3%year on year
Revenue / growth1391777000-5.2% · USD
Next close / four weeks-3.4% / -13.5%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period13 Jan 202530 Nov 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate2.52 / 2.44USD
Surprise+3.2%Beat
EPS growth+36.2%year on year
Revenue / growth1999899000+19.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks+7.4% / +0.8%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period24 Sep 202431 Aug 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate2.04 / 2.07USD
Surprise-1.4%Miss
EPS growth+13.3%year on year
Revenue / growth1752608000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-1.5% / -2.3%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period18 Jun 202431 May 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate2.15 / 1.80USD
Surprise+19.4%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth1709813000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+3.1% / +11.3%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period20 Mar 202429 Feb 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.76 / 1.57USD
Surprise+12.1%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth1467766000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+0.7% / -5.6%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period10 Jan 202430 Nov 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.85 / 1.69USD
Surprise+9.5%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth1673988000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-1.1% / -2.3%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period20 Sep 202331 Aug 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.80 / 1.42USD
Surprise+26.8%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks-3.3% / -8.2%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reproducible method
How the earnings dossier is measured
Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.
The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.
Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.
Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.
Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.