Estimate delivery
Actual EPS versus consensus
Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.
US Equity · NASDAQ · Earnings Dossier
AFRM earnings intelligence
Affirm Holdings IncFinancial Services · Credit Services · USD reporting basis
Current earnings profile
Mixed earnings transmission
Delivery and market response do not currently form a persistent directional pattern.
Evidence99/100 · Deep
Next scheduled catalyst
Thursday 27 August 2026
Time unconfirmed · Fiscal period ending 30 Jun 2026
74event risk
High
Countdown15 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate0.33 USDprovider consensus
Estimate growth-37.3%versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement12.1%average absolute next weekly close
Three-year earnings transmission
Delivered earnings power versus market price
Three-year relationship unavailable
Earnings power must be positive at the start of the three-year window.
Beat rate58.3%7 beats in 12 measured quarters
Average surprise+41.6%median 5.0%
Delivery streak33 consecutive misses
Average response+6.9%12 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation91%same directional sign
Surprise variability98.3 ptspopulation dispersion
Price acceptance
Surprise and next weekly close
The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.
Fundamental delivery
Quarterly revenue and net income
Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.
Transmission matrix
Does price confirm delivery?
Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.
Current business context
Growth, quality and valuation
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue growth32.1%year on year
Average surprise74.5%latest four quarters
SUE0.52standardised surprise
Net margin9.6%trailing basis
Cash conversion3.22xcash flow / net income
P/E65.9xcurrent snapshot
Data completeness93%alphavantage
Market context
Positioning into the event
Weekly close75.25 USDcompleted week
13-week return17.6%price momentum
Fair-value gap45.8%price versus current fair value
Relative strength-4.1exchange benchmark
Trend signalActiveweekly architecture
Next-week stateUndecided51.3%
Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.
Reported evidence ledger
Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance
Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period7 May 202631 Mar 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.62 / 0.73USD
Surprise-15.1%Miss
EPS growth+226.3%year on year
Revenue / growth1038765000+32.6% · USD
Next close / four weeks-5.2% / +9.0%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period5 Feb 202631 Dec 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.72 / 0.84USD
Surprise-14.3%Miss
EPS growth-5.3%year on year
Revenue / growth1123020000+29.6% · USD
Next close / four weeks-5.4% / -22.1%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period6 Nov 202530 Sep 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.61 / 0.62USD
Surprise-1.6%Miss
EPS growth+69.4%year on year
Revenue / growth933337000+33.6% · USD
Next close / four weeks+2.4% / -1.3%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period28 Aug 202530 Jun 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.53 / 0.12USD
Surprise+328.9%Beat
EPS growth+476.2%year on year
Revenue / growth876417000+33.0% · USD
Next close / four weeks+11.3% / +16.0%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period8 May 202531 Mar 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.19 / 0.40USD
Surprise-52.5%Miss
EPS growth+146.3%year on year
Revenue / growth783134000+35.9% · USD
Next close / four weeks-11.3% / -0.8%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period6 Feb 202531 Dec 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.76 / 0.43USD
Surprise+76.7%Beat
EPS growth+240.7%year on year
Revenue / growth866381000+46.6% · USD
Next close / four weeks+23.2% / +5.0%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period7 Nov 202430 Sep 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.36 / 0.17USD
Surprise+111.8%Beat
EPS growth+164.3%year on year
Revenue / growth698479000+40.7% · USD
Next close / four weeks+7.5% / +62.0%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period28 Aug 202430 Jun 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.14 / -0.51USD
Surprise+72.5%Beat
EPS growth+79.7%year on year
Revenue / growth659185000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+39.9% / +42.8%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period8 May 202431 Mar 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.41 / -0.30USD
Surprise-36.7%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth576157000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-9.6% / -16.2%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period8 Feb 202431 Dec 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.54 / -0.55USD
Surprise+1.8%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth591110000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+6.9% / -7.3%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period8 Nov 202330 Sep 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.56 / -0.61USD
Surprise+8.2%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth496547000- · USD
Next close / four weeks0.0% / +67.9%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period24 Aug 202330 Jun 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.69 / -0.85USD
Surprise+18.8%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks+22.7% / +68.1%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reproducible method
How the earnings dossier is measured
Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.
The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.
Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.
Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.
Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.