Move decomposition
Earnings contribution and valuation offset
The market move is separated into the change in trailing earnings power and the offset from relative valuation.
US Equity · NASDAQ · Earnings Dossier
HLIT earnings intelligence
Harmonic IncTechnology · Communication Equipment · USD reporting basis
Current earnings profile
Delivery strong, expectations demanding
Results have usually cleared estimates, but price has not consistently rewarded the delivery.
Evidence99/100 · Deep
Next scheduled catalyst
No forward date is currently stored
The historical dossier remains available while the next calendar date is unconfirmed.
0event risk
Inactive
Countdown-calendar proximity
EPS estimate-provider consensus
Estimate growth-versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement11.9%average absolute next weekly close
Three-year earnings transmission
Delivered earnings power versus market price
Market price is leading earnings power; the spread is closing and has persisted through 2 updates. Both series begin at 100, so the gap isolates the relative change in price and trailing earnings power.
Market move11.0%2023-08-18 to 2026-08-07
Earnings move-3.7%trailing diluted EPS
Unresolved spread-14.7 ptsClosing
Current multiple22.8xprice divided by TTM EPS
Relationship pressure23/100Low
Model confidence77/100High
Relationship controls
What qualifies the headline spread
Model qualification
The direction is sensitive to the comparison horizon.
Beat rate75.0%9 beats in 12 measured quarters
Average surprise-38.2%median 28.6%
Delivery streak88 consecutive beats
Average response-1.3%12 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation33%same directional sign
Surprise variability288.7 ptspopulation dispersion
Estimate delivery
Actual EPS versus consensus
Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.
Price acceptance
Surprise and next weekly close
The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.
Fundamental delivery
Quarterly revenue and net income
Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.
Transmission matrix
Does price confirm delivery?
Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.
Current business context
Growth, quality and valuation
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue growth-27.5%year on year
Average surprise82.2%latest four quarters
SUE1.12standardised surprise
Net margin-8.4%trailing basis
Cash conversion-1.59xcash flow / net income
P/E-current snapshot
Data completeness86%alphavantage
Market context
Positioning into the event
Weekly close11.84 USDcompleted week
13-week return-7.6%price momentum
Fair-value gap5.5%price versus current fair value
Relative strength-4.2exchange benchmark
Trend signalActiveweekly architecture
Next-week stateUndecided51.2%
Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.
Reported evidence ledger
Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance
Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period11 May 202631 Mar 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.17 / 0.12USD
Surprise+41.7%Beat
EPS growth+54.5%year on year
Revenue / growth121695000-8.6% · USD
Next close / four weeks-2.1% / +3.6%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period19 Feb 202631 Dec 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.14 / 0.11USD
Surprise+27.3%Beat
EPS growth-68.9%year on year
Revenue / growth98235000-55.8% · USD
Next close / four weeks+2.1% / -12.8%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period3 Nov 202530 Sep 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.12 / 0.05USD
Surprise+140.0%Beat
EPS growth-53.8%year on year
Revenue / growth142382000-27.3% · USD
Next close / four weeks-6.4% / -10.7%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period28 Jul 202530 Jun 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.09 / 0.02USD
Surprise+350.0%Beat
EPS growth+12.5%year on year
Revenue / growth138027000-0.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks-7.2% / +2.1%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period28 Apr 202531 Mar 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.11 / 0.05USD
Surprise+120.0%Beat
EPS growth+252.8%year on year
Revenue / growth133134999+9.1% · USD
Next close / four weeks-2.3% / -2.9%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period10 Feb 202531 Dec 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.45 / 0.37USD
Surprise+21.6%Beat
EPS growth+246.2%year on year
Revenue / growth222166000+33.0% · USD
Next close / four weeks-9.6% / -7.4%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period28 Oct 202430 Sep 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.26 / 0.22USD
Surprise+18.2%Beat
EPS growth+548.3%year on year
Revenue / growth195756000+53.9% · USD
Next close / four weeks-25.8% / -15.6%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period29 Jul 202430 Jun 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.08 / 0.04USD
Surprise+100.0%Beat
EPS growth-33.3%year on year
Revenue / growth138740000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+15.6% / +19.7%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period29 Apr 202431 Mar 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.07 / -0.01USD
Surprise-620.0%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth122060000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+19.1% / +29.5%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period29 Jan 202431 Dec 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.13 / 0.10USD
Surprise+30.0%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth167092000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+16.8% / +17.9%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period30 Oct 202330 Sep 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.06 / 0.01USD
Surprise-680.0%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth127203000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+9.9% / +10.9%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period31 Jul 202330 Jun 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.12 / 0.13USD
Surprise-7.7%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks-26.0% / -32.6%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reproducible method
How the earnings dossier is measured
Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.
The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.
Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.
Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.
Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.