US Equity · NASDAQ · Earnings Dossier

ATHE earnings intelligence

Alterity Therapeutics Ltd

Healthcare · Biotechnology · USD reporting basis

Current earnings profile Delivery strong, expectations demanding

Results have usually cleared estimates, but price has not consistently rewarded the delivery.

Evidence80/100 · Strong

Next scheduled catalyst

Thursday 27 August 2026

Time unconfirmed · Fiscal period ending 30 Jun 2026

77event risk

High

Countdown14 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate-provider consensus
Estimate growth-versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement8.3%average absolute next weekly close

Three-year earnings transmission

Delivered earnings power versus market price

Three-year relationship unavailable

Earnings power must be positive at the start of the three-year window.

Beat rate80.0%4 beats in 5 measured quarters
Average surprise+64.5%median 100.0%
Delivery streak33 consecutive beats
Average response-2.1%12 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation33%same directional sign
Surprise variability44.1 ptspopulation dispersion

Estimate delivery

Actual EPS versus consensus

Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.

Price acceptance

Surprise and next weekly close

The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.

Fundamental delivery

Quarterly revenue and net income

Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.

Transmission matrix

Does price confirm delivery?

Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.

Current business context

Growth, quality and valuation

As of 9 Aug 2026
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue growth-year on year
Average surprise100.0%latest four quarters
SUE-standardised surprise
Net margin-223.4%trailing basis
Cash conversion0.64xcash flow / net income
P/E-current snapshot
Data completeness71%alphavantage

Market context

Positioning into the event

Week ending 7 Aug 2026
Weekly close4.45 USDcompleted week
13-week return-4.5%price momentum
Fair-value gap42.9%price versus current fair value
Relative strength-4.4exchange benchmark
Trend signalActiveweekly architecture
Next-week stateNegative37.5%

Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.

Reported evidence ledger

Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance

Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.

12 quarters
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period4 Aug 202530 Jun 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.00 / -0.67USD
Surprise+100.0%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth3832993+80.9% · USD
Next close / four weeks+7.8% / -1.4%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period3 Feb 202531 Dec 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.00 / -0.11USD
Surprise+100.0%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth1605925-15.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks-11.5% / -21.3%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period29 Jun 202331 Mar 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.00 / 0.00USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks-1.2% / +3.7%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period27 Feb 202331 Dec 2022 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.00 / -1.80USD
Surprise+100.0%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks-1.9% / -15.8%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period30 Nov 202230 Sep 2022 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.00 / 0.00USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks+1.0% / -15.7%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period30 Aug 202230 Jun 2022 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.24 / -0.24USD
Surprise0.0%In-Line
EPS growth-77.1%year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks-3.4% / -26.6%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period29 Jun 202231 Mar 2022 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.00 / 0.00USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth+100.0%year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks-0.3% / -1.8%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period27 Feb 202231 Dec 2021 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.00 / 0.00USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth+100.0%year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks-10.5% / -6.0%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period1 Dec 202130 Sep 2021 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.00 / 0.00USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks-16.9% / -21.1%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period31 Aug 202130 Jun 2021 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.13 / -0.17USD
Surprise+22.4%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks-0.7% / -7.9%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period29 Jun 202131 Mar 2021 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.00 / 0.00USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks+28.7% / -1.5%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period24 Feb 202131 Dec 2020 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.00 / 0.00USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks-16.2% / -15.2%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign

Reproducible method

How the earnings dossier is measured

Descriptive, not predictive
Estimate delivery

Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.

Price response

The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.

Event risk

Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.

Data discipline

Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.

Evidence context