Move decomposition
Earnings contribution and valuation offset
The market move is separated into the change in trailing earnings power and the offset from relative valuation.
US Equity · NYSE · Earnings Dossier
ANF earnings intelligence
Abercrombie & Fitch CompanyConsumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail · USD reporting basis
Current earnings profile
Delivery and acceptance aligned
Results have usually cleared estimates and the next completed weekly close has, on average, confirmed the delivery.
Evidence99/100 · Deep
Next scheduled catalyst
Wednesday 26 August 2026
Before the open · Fiscal period ending 31 Jul 2026
75event risk
High
Countdown14 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate1.90 USDprovider consensus
Estimate growth-18.1%versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement11.5%average absolute next weekly close
Three-year earnings transmission
Delivered earnings power versus market price
Earnings power is leading market price; the spread is closing and has persisted through 12 updates. Both series begin at 100, so the gap isolates the relative change in price and trailing earnings power.
Market move160.7%2023-08-18 to 2026-08-07
Earnings move1112.3%trailing diluted EPS
Unresolved spread951.7 ptsClosing
Current multiple11.5xprice divided by TTM EPS
Relationship pressure84/100High
Model confidence72/100Moderate
Relationship controls
What qualifies the headline spread
Persistent earnings lead
Earnings power has led market price across several updates.
Business quality supportive
Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive.
Starting-base sensitivity
The three-year earnings move begins from an unusually depressed level; compare the shorter horizons before relying on its scale.
Model qualification
The three-year starting earnings level was unusually depressed.
Model qualification
The earnings move is exceptionally large and should be read with its quality confirmation.
Model qualification
The direction is sensitive to the comparison horizon.
Beat rate83.3%10 beats in 12 measured quarters
Average surprise+59.2%median 12.1%
Delivery streak33 consecutive beats
Average response+1.6%12 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation56%same directional sign
Surprise variability148.1 ptspopulation dispersion
Estimate delivery
Actual EPS versus consensus
Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.
Price acceptance
Surprise and next weekly close
The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.
Fundamental delivery
Quarterly revenue and net income
Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.
Transmission matrix
Does price confirm delivery?
Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.
Current business context
Growth, quality and valuation
EPS growth-7.3%year on year
Revenue growth5.1%year on year
Average surprise6.7%latest four quarters
SUE1.08standardised surprise
Net margin9.3%trailing basis
Cash conversion1.86xcash flow / net income
P/E10.1xcurrent snapshot
Data completeness100%alphavantage
Market context
Positioning into the event
Weekly close112.62 USDcompleted week
13-week return44.4%price momentum
Fair-value gap7.7%price versus current fair value
Relative strength9.8exchange benchmark
Trend signalInactiveweekly architecture
Next-week statePositive59.1%
Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.
Reported evidence ledger
Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance
Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period27 May 202630 Apr 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.47 / 1.28USD
Surprise+14.8%Beat
EPS growth-7.5%year on year
Revenue / growth1113821000+1.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks-0.1% / +12.9%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period4 Mar 202631 Jan 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate3.67 / 3.57USD
Surprise+2.8%Beat
EPS growth+2.8%year on year
Revenue / growth1669802000+5.4% · USD
Next close / four weeks-13.1% / -8.9%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period25 Nov 202531 Oct 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate2.36 / 2.16USD
Surprise+9.3%Beat
EPS growth-5.6%year on year
Revenue / growth1290619000+6.8% · USD
Next close / four weeks+40.1% / +73.3%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period27 Aug 202531 Jul 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate2.32 / 2.32USD
Surprise0.0%In-Line
EPS growth-7.2%year on year
Revenue / growth1208560000+6.6% · USD
Next close / four weeks-5.0% / -7.7%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period28 May 202530 Apr 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.59 / 1.33USD
Surprise+19.5%Beat
EPS growth-25.7%year on year
Revenue / growth1097311000+7.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks+7.3% / +6.6%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period5 Mar 202531 Jan 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate3.57 / 3.60USD
Surprise-0.8%Miss
EPS growth+20.2%year on year
Revenue / growth1584917000+9.1% · USD
Next close / four weeks-16.5% / -25.7%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period26 Nov 202431 Oct 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate2.50 / 2.35USD
Surprise+6.4%Beat
EPS growth+36.6%year on year
Revenue / growth1208966000+14.4% · USD
Next close / four weeks-1.5% / +1.7%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period28 Aug 202431 Jul 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate2.50 / 2.10USD
Surprise+19.0%Beat
EPS growth+127.3%year on year
Revenue / growth1133974000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-13.1% / -16.5%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period29 May 202430 Apr 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate2.14 / 1.72USD
Surprise+24.4%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth1020730000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+15.1% / +16.2%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period6 Mar 202431 Jan 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate2.97 / 2.88USD
Surprise+3.1%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth1452907000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-9.7% / -4.6%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period21 Nov 202331 Oct 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.83 / 1.11USD
Surprise+64.9%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth1056431000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-0.4% / +14.4%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period23 Aug 202331 Jul 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.10 / 0.17USD
Surprise+547.1%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks+16.1% / +21.3%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reproducible method
How the earnings dossier is measured
Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.
The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.
Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.
Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.
Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.