Move decomposition
Earnings contribution and valuation offset
The market move is separated into the change in trailing earnings power and the offset from relative valuation.
US Equity · NASDAQ · Earnings Dossier
CLBT earnings intelligence
Cellebrite DITechnology · Software - Infrastructure · USD reporting basis
Current earnings profile
Delivery and acceptance aligned
Results have usually cleared estimates and the next completed weekly close has, on average, confirmed the delivery.
Evidence99/100 · Deep
Next scheduled catalyst
Thursday 13 August 2026
Before the open · Fiscal period ending 30 Jun 2026
83event risk
High
Countdown0 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate0.09 USDprovider consensus
Estimate growth-25.0%versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement11.1%average absolute next weekly close
Three-year earnings transmission
Delivered earnings power versus market price
Earnings power is leading market price; the spread is closing and has persisted through 5 updates. Both series begin at 100, so the gap isolates the relative change in price and trailing earnings power.
Market move110.7%2023-08-18 to 2026-08-07
Earnings move205.9%trailing diluted EPS
Unresolved spread95.2 ptsClosing
Current multiple30.8xprice divided by TTM EPS
Relationship pressure63/100Moderate
Model confidence71/100Moderate
Relationship controls
What qualifies the headline spread
Persistent earnings lead
Earnings power has led market price across several updates.
Repricing may be starting
The longstanding earnings lead is beginning to close through price confirmation.
Starting-base sensitivity
The three-year earnings move begins from an unusually depressed level; compare the shorter horizons before relying on its scale.
Model qualification
The three-year starting earnings level was unusually depressed.
Model qualification
The direction is sensitive to the comparison horizon.
Beat rate83.3%10 beats in 12 measured quarters
Average surprise+47.2%median 26.7%
Delivery streak11 consecutive beats
Average response+4.5%12 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation67%same directional sign
Surprise variability47.4 ptspopulation dispersion
Estimate delivery
Actual EPS versus consensus
Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.
Price acceptance
Surprise and next weekly close
The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.
Fundamental delivery
Quarterly revenue and net income
Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.
Transmission matrix
Does price confirm delivery?
Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.
Current business context
Growth, quality and valuation
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue growth18.4%year on year
Average surprise9.2%latest four quarters
SUE0.73standardised surprise
Net margin14.5%trailing basis
Cash conversion2.53xcash flow / net income
P/E55.6xcurrent snapshot
Data completeness93%alphavantage
Market context
Positioning into the event
Weekly close16.01 USDcompleted week
13-week return17.5%price momentum
Fair-value gap9.4%price versus current fair value
Relative strength-10.9exchange benchmark
Trend signalInactiveweekly architecture
Next-week stateUndecided49.3%
Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.
Reported evidence ledger
Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance
Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period14 May 202631 Mar 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.12 / 0.10USD
Surprise+20.0%Beat
EPS growth+20.0%year on year
Revenue / growth128301000+19.3% · USD
Next close / four weeks-4.7% / +1.4%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period11 Feb 202631 Dec 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.14 / 0.14USD
Surprise0.0%In-Line
EPS growth+40.0%year on year
Revenue / growth128821000+18.1% · USD
Next close / four weeks+3.3% / +8.0%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period12 Nov 202530 Sep 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.14 / 0.13USD
Surprise+7.7%Beat
EPS growth0.0%year on year
Revenue / growth126029000+17.9% · USD
Next close / four weeks+19.8% / +18.7%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period14 Aug 202530 Jun 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.12 / 0.11USD
Surprise+9.1%Beat
EPS growth+20.0%year on year
Revenue / growth113276000+18.3% · USD
Next close / four weeks+15.0% / +22.4%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period14 May 202531 Mar 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.10 / 0.09USD
Surprise+11.1%Beat
EPS growth+25.0%year on year
Revenue / growth107549000+20.1% · USD
Next close / four weeks-12.2% / -16.7%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period13 Feb 202531 Dec 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.10 / 0.10USD
Surprise0.0%In-Line
EPS growth-16.7%year on year
Revenue / growth109049000+17.2% · USD
Next close / four weeks-19.3% / -30.9%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period6 Nov 202430 Sep 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.14 / 0.09USD
Surprise+55.6%Beat
EPS growth+55.6%year on year
Revenue / growth106858000+26.9% · USD
Next close / four weeks+0.4% / +8.9%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period15 Aug 202430 Jun 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.10 / 0.05USD
Surprise+100.0%Beat
EPS growth+100.0%year on year
Revenue / growth95714000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+21.3% / +20.6%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period23 May 202431 Mar 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.08 / 0.06USD
Surprise+33.3%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth89582000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-3.7% / +5.0%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period15 Feb 202431 Dec 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.12 / 0.06USD
Surprise+100.0%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth93013000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+20.8% / +21.4%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period14 Nov 202330 Sep 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.09 / 0.05USD
Surprise+80.0%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth84179000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+8.7% / +16.2%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period8 Aug 202330 Jun 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.05 / 0.02USD
Surprise+150.0%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks+4.2% / +10.7%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reproducible method
How the earnings dossier is measured
Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.
The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.
Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.
Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.
Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.