Move decomposition
Earnings contribution and valuation offset
The market move is separated into the change in trailing earnings power and the offset from relative valuation.
US Equity · NYSE · Earnings Dossier
RH earnings intelligence
RHConsumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail · USD reporting basis
Current earnings profile
Delivery under pressure
Estimate misses and negative next-close reactions have appeared together often enough to warrant caution.
Evidence99/100 · Deep
Next scheduled catalyst
Thursday 10 September 2026
Time unconfirmed · Fiscal period ending 31 Jul 2026
79event risk
High
Countdown28 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate0.29 USDprovider consensus
Estimate growth-90.1%versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement15.5%average absolute next weekly close
Three-year earnings transmission
Delivered earnings power versus market price
Market price is leading earnings power; the spread is widening and has persisted through 1 update. Both series begin at 100, so the gap isolates the relative change in price and trailing earnings power.
Market move-44.5%2023-08-18 to 2026-08-07
Earnings move-77.7%trailing diluted EPS
Unresolved spread-33.2 ptsWidening
Current multiple46.7xprice divided by TTM EPS
Relationship pressure40/100Low
Model confidence92/100High
Relationship controls
What qualifies the headline spread
Fundamental fracture
Earnings have weakened while price has not adjusted to the same degree.
Model qualification
The direction is sensitive to the comparison horizon.
Beat rate25.0%3 beats in 12 measured quarters
Average surprise-45.6%median -18.6%
Delivery streak11 consecutive beats
Average response-3.3%12 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation64%same directional sign
Surprise variability74.5 ptspopulation dispersion
Estimate delivery
Actual EPS versus consensus
Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.
Price acceptance
Surprise and next weekly close
The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.
Fundamental delivery
Quarterly revenue and net income
Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.
Transmission matrix
Does price confirm delivery?
Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.
Current business context
Growth, quality and valuation
EPS growth22.6%year on year
Revenue growth4.8%year on year
Average surprise-14.0%latest four quarters
SUE-0.67standardised surprise
Net margin3.0%trailing basis
Cash conversion5.82xcash flow / net income
P/E36.0xcurrent snapshot
Data completeness100%alphavantage
Market context
Positioning into the event
Weekly close196.15 USDcompleted week
13-week return46.5%price momentum
Fair-value gap-19.5%price versus current fair value
Relative strength-0.1exchange benchmark
Trend signalInactiveweekly architecture
Next-week stateUndecided47.5%
Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.
Reported evidence ledger
Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance
Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period11 Jun 202630 Apr 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-1.97 / -2.07USD
Surprise+4.8%Beat
EPS growth-1615.4%year on year
Revenue / growth800328000-1.7% · USD
Next close / four weeks+4.4% / +15.3%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period31 Mar 202631 Jan 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.53 / 2.22USD
Surprise-31.1%Miss
EPS growth-3.2%year on year
Revenue / growth842623000+3.7% · USD
Next close / four weeks-13.3% / +5.1%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period11 Dec 202531 Oct 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.71 / 2.16USD
Surprise-20.8%Miss
EPS growth-31.0%year on year
Revenue / growth883810000+8.9% · USD
Next close / four weeks+0.6% / +20.1%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period11 Sep 202531 Jul 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate2.93 / 3.22USD
Surprise-9.0%Miss
EPS growth+73.4%year on year
Revenue / growth899151000+8.4% · USD
Next close / four weeks-13.3% / -17.3%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period12 Jun 202530 Apr 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.13 / 1.45USD
Surprise-91.0%Miss
EPS growth+132.5%year on year
Revenue / growth813952000+12.0% · USD
Next close / four weeks+3.1% / +12.8%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period2 Apr 202531 Jan 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.58 / 1.89USD
Surprise-16.4%Miss
EPS growth+119.4%year on year
Revenue / growth812406000+10.0% · USD
Next close / four weeks-38.4% / -21.5%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period12 Dec 202431 Oct 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate2.48 / 2.66USD
Surprise-6.8%Miss
EPS growth+690.5%year on year
Revenue / growth811732000+8.1% · USD
Next close / four weeks+18.6% / +7.8%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period12 Sep 202431 Jul 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.69 / 1.62USD
Surprise+4.3%Beat
EPS growth-57.0%year on year
Revenue / growth829655000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+29.7% / +34.2%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period13 Jun 202430 Apr 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.40 / -0.12USD
Surprise-233.3%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth726960000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-14.4% / -11.4%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period27 Mar 202431 Jan 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.72 / 1.69USD
Surprise-57.4%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth738260000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+17.2% / -19.1%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period7 Dec 202331 Oct 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.42 / 0.95USD
Surprise-144.2%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth751225000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-15.0% / +2.4%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period7 Sep 202331 Jul 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate3.93 / 2.56USD
Surprise+53.5%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks-18.4% / -30.6%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reproducible method
How the earnings dossier is measured
Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.
The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.
Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.
Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.
Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.