Move decomposition
Earnings contribution and valuation offset
The market move is separated into the change in trailing earnings power and the offset from relative valuation.
US Equity · NYSE · Earnings Dossier
WLYB earnings intelligence
John Wiley & Sons BCommunication Services · Publishing · USD reporting basis
Current earnings profile
Mixed earnings transmission
Delivery and market response do not currently form a persistent directional pattern.
Evidence98/100 · Deep
Next scheduled catalyst
Thursday 3 September 2026
Time unconfirmed · Fiscal period ending 31 Jul 2026
70event risk
High
Countdown21 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate-provider consensus
Estimate growth-versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement8.6%average absolute next weekly close
Three-year earnings transmission
Delivered earnings power versus market price
Market price is leading earnings power; the spread is stable and has persisted through 10 updates. Both series begin at 100, so the gap isolates the relative change in price and trailing earnings power.
Market move68.8%2023-08-18 to 2026-08-07
Earnings move16.6%trailing diluted EPS
Unresolved spread-52.3 ptsStable
Current multiple12.0xprice divided by TTM EPS
Relationship pressure54/100Moderate
Model confidence83/100High
Relationship controls
What qualifies the headline spread
Business quality supportive
Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive.
Expectations elevated
Price is leading delivered earnings power by a meaningful margin.
Model qualification
The direction is sensitive to the comparison horizon.
Beat rate18.2%2 beats in 11 measured quarters
Average surprise-79.9%median -31.1%
Delivery streak22 consecutive misses
Average response+1.8%12 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation46%same directional sign
Surprise variability138.1 ptspopulation dispersion
Estimate delivery
Actual EPS versus consensus
Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.
Price acceptance
Surprise and next weekly close
The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.
Fundamental delivery
Quarterly revenue and net income
Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.
Transmission matrix
Does price confirm delivery?
Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.
Current business context
Growth, quality and valuation
EPS growth163.3%year on year
Revenue growth-0.1%year on year
Average surprise-8.8%latest four quarters
SUE-0.82standardised surprise
Net margin13.2%trailing basis
Cash conversion1.55xcash flow / net income
P/E12.3xcurrent snapshot
Data completeness100%alphavantage
Market context
Positioning into the event
Weekly close53.78 USDcompleted week
13-week return29.7%price momentum
Fair-value gap41.1%price versus current fair value
Relative strength25.1exchange benchmark
Trend signalActiveweekly architecture
Next-week stateUndecided52.1%
Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.
Reported evidence ledger
Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance
Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period16 Jun 202630 Apr 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate2.61 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth+108.5%year on year
Revenue / growth447941000+1.2% · USD
Next close / four weeks+5.0% / +18.3%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period5 Mar 202631 Jan 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.56 / 0.81USD
Surprise-30.4%Miss
EPS growth+232.5%year on year
Revenue / growth410036000+1.3% · USD
Next close / four weeks+18.5% / +25.2%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period4 Dec 202531 Oct 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.84 / 0.88USD
Surprise-4.7%Miss
EPS growth+13.7%year on year
Revenue / growth421751000-1.1% · USD
Next close / four weeks-10.2% / -8.3%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period4 Sep 202531 Jul 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.49 / 0.47USD
Surprise+4.3%Beat
EPS growth+1956.1%year on year
Revenue / growth396800000-1.7% · USD
Next close / four weeks-1.1% / +0.4%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period17 Jun 202530 Apr 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.25 / 1.31USD
Surprise-4.5%Miss
EPS growth+174.0%year on year
Revenue / growth442579000-5.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks+17.3% / +10.6%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period6 Mar 202531 Jan 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.43 / 0.65USD
Surprise-165.5%Miss
EPS growth+79.5%year on year
Revenue / growth404626000-12.2% · USD
Next close / four weeks-4.2% / +14.9%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period5 Dec 202431 Oct 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.74 / 1.07USD
Surprise-31.1%Miss
EPS growth+1.0%year on year
Revenue / growth426595000-13.4% · USD
Next close / four weeks-13.5% / -16.0%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period5 Sep 202431 Jul 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.03 / 0.55USD
Surprise-104.8%Miss
EPS growth-109.8%year on year
Revenue / growth403809000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-9.3% / +2.5%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period13 Jun 202430 Apr 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.46 / 0.88USD
Surprise-48.1%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth468461000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+11.2% / +14.7%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period7 Mar 202431 Jan 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-2.08 / 0.54USD
Surprise-484.7%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth460705000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+10.4% / +14.1%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period6 Dec 202331 Oct 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.73 / 0.56USD
Surprise+30.4%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth492808000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-1.6% / +4.4%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period7 Sep 202331 Jul 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.27 / 0.45USD
Surprise-40.0%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks-1.1% / +2.7%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reproducible method
How the earnings dossier is measured
Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.
The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.
Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.
Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.
Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.