US Equity · NASDAQ · Earnings Dossier

NTRP earnings intelligence

NextTrip Inc

Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services · USD reporting basis

Current earnings profile Delivery under pressure

Estimate misses and negative next-close reactions have appeared together often enough to warrant caution.

Evidence80/100 · Strong

Next scheduled catalyst

Thursday 15 October 2026

Time unconfirmed · Fiscal period ending 30 Sep 2026

47event risk

Elevated

Countdown63 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate-0.18 USDprovider consensus
Estimate growth+53.8%versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement5.6%average absolute next weekly close

Three-year earnings transmission

Delivered earnings power versus market price

Three-year relationship unavailable

The 156-week price window contains a material history gap.

Beat rate0.0%0 beats in 12 measured quarters
Average surprise-182.8%median -59.8%
Delivery streak22 consecutive in-line reports
Average response-4.7%7 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation80%same directional sign
Surprise variability265.9 ptspopulation dispersion

Estimate delivery

Actual EPS versus consensus

Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.

Price acceptance

Surprise and next weekly close

The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.

Fundamental delivery

Quarterly revenue and net income

Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.

Transmission matrix

Does price confirm delivery?

Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.

Current business context

Growth, quality and valuation

As of 9 Aug 2026
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue growth56.8%year on year
Average surprise-101.9%latest four quarters
SUE-1.76standardised surprise
Net margin-273.8%trailing basis
Cash conversion0.54xcash flow / net income
P/E-current snapshot
Data completeness79%alphavantage

Market context

Positioning into the event

Week ending 7 Aug 2026
Weekly close1.67 USDcompleted week
13-week return-34.4%price momentum
Fair-value gap-42.8%price versus current fair value
Relative strength-53.4exchange benchmark
Trend signalInactiveweekly architecture
Next-week stateUndecided45.3%

Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.

Reported evidence ledger

Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance

Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.

12 quarters
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period15 Jul 202630 Jun 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.22 / -0.22USD
Surprise0.0%In-Line
EPS growth+67.6%year on year
Revenue / growth1451735+669.0% · USD
Next close / four weeks-7.8% / -20.7%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / perioddate unavailable31 May 2026 · period only
EPS actual / estimate-0.22 / -0.16USD
Surprise-0.4%In-Line
EPS growth+68.1%year on year
Revenue / growth1451735+669.0% · USD
Next close / four weeks- / -completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period29 May 202631 Mar 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.34 / -0.12USD
Surprise-183.8%Miss
EPS growth+56.9%year on year
Revenue / growth1618923+1066.1% · USD
Next close / four weeks+3.4% / -13.0%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / perioddate unavailable28 Feb 2026 · period only
EPS actual / estimate-0.34 / -0.12USD
Surprise-1.8%Miss
EPS growth+56.9%year on year
Revenue / growth1618923+1066.1% · USD
Next close / four weeks- / -completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period14 Jan 202631 Dec 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.37 / -0.16USD
Surprise-131.2%Miss
EPS growth-5.7%year on year
Revenue / growth1200130- · USD
Next close / four weeks-3.2% / -10.3%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / perioddate unavailable30 Nov 2025 · period only
EPS actual / estimate-0.37 / -0.16USD
Surprise-1.3%Miss
EPS growth-5.2%year on year
Revenue / growth1200130- · USD
Next close / four weeks- / -completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period15 Oct 202530 Sep 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.39 / -0.18USD
Surprise-116.7%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth757648- · USD
Next close / four weeks-18.0% / +23.7%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / perioddate unavailable31 Aug 2025 · period only
EPS actual / estimate-0.39 / -0.18USD
Surprise-1.2%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth757648- · USD
Next close / four weeks- / -completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period15 Jul 202530 Jun 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.68 / -0.08USD
Surprise-750.0%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth188793- · USD
Next close / four weeks0.0% / +5.8%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / perioddate unavailable31 May 2025 · period only
EPS actual / estimate-0.68 / -0.08USD
Surprise-745.0%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth138827- · USD
Next close / four weeks- / -completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period29 May 202531 Mar 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.79 / -0.22USD
Surprise-259.1%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth138827- · USD
Next close / four weeks-1.9% / +48.8%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period14 Jan 202531 Dec 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.35 / -0.34USD
Surprise-2.9%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks-5.1% / -34.5%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign

Reproducible method

How the earnings dossier is measured

Descriptive, not predictive
Estimate delivery

Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.

Price response

The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.

Event risk

Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.

Data discipline

Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.

Evidence context