Move decomposition
Earnings contribution and valuation offset
The market move is separated into the change in trailing earnings power and the offset from relative valuation.
US Equity · NASDAQ · Earnings Dossier
GAMB earnings intelligence
Gambling.com Group LtdConsumer Cyclical · Gambling · USD reporting basis
Current earnings profile
Mixed earnings transmission
Delivery and market response do not currently form a persistent directional pattern.
Evidence54/100 · Usable
Next scheduled catalyst
Thursday 13 August 2026
Time unconfirmed · Fiscal period ending 30 Jun 2026
60event risk
Elevated
Countdown1 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate-0.04 USDprovider consensus
Estimate growth-110.8%versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement-average absolute next weekly close
Three-year earnings transmission
Delivered earnings power versus market price
Earnings power is leading market price; the spread is closing and has persisted through 12 updates. Both series begin at 100, so the gap isolates the relative change in price and trailing earnings power.
Market move-85.0%2023-08-04 to 2026-07-24
Earnings move343.5%trailing diluted EPS
Unresolved spread428.4 ptsClosing
Current multiple1.8xprice divided by TTM EPS
Relationship pressure80/100High
Model confidence38/100Low
Relationship controls
What qualifies the headline spread
Persistent earnings lead
Earnings power has led market price across several updates.
Read with caution
The current state is sensitive to data coverage or comparison horizon.
Starting-base sensitivity
The three-year earnings move begins from an unusually depressed level; compare the shorter horizons before relying on its scale.
Model qualification
The three-year starting earnings level was unusually depressed.
Model qualification
The earnings move is exceptionally large and should be read with its quality confirmation.
Model qualification
13 historical earnings update dates are estimated.
Model qualification
High confidence is unavailable because fewer than half of the earnings update dates are reported dates.
Beat rate75.0%9 beats in 12 measured quarters
Average surprise+36.8%median 37.9%
Delivery streak22 consecutive in-line reports
Average response-0 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation-same directional sign
Surprise variability41.5 ptspopulation dispersion
Estimate delivery
Actual EPS versus consensus
Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.
Price acceptance
Surprise and next weekly close
The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.
Fundamental delivery
Quarterly revenue and net income
Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.
Transmission matrix
Does price confirm delivery?
Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.
Current business context
Growth, quality and valuation
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue growth-year on year
Average surprise56.8%latest four quarters
SUE1.20standardised surprise
Net margin-27.4%trailing basis
Cash conversion-0.14xcash flow / net income
P/E-current snapshot
Data completeness79%yfinance
Market context
Positioning into the event
Weekly close1.84 USDcompleted week
13-week return-49.7%price momentum
Fair-value gap-79.9%price versus current fair value
Relative strength-68.0exchange benchmark
Trend signalInactiveweekly architecture
Next-week stateNegative43.7%
Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.
Reported evidence ledger
Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance
Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / perioddate unavailable31 Mar 2026 · period only
EPS actual / estimate0.09 / 0.12USD
Surprise-0.3%In-Line
EPS growth-80.4%year on year
Revenue / growth40440000-0.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks- / -completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / perioddate unavailable31 Dec 2025 · period only
EPS actual / estimate0.30 / 0.20USD
Surprise+0.5%In-Line
EPS growth-14.3%year on year
Revenue / growth46236000- · USD
Next close / four weeks- / -completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / perioddate unavailable30 Sep 2025 · period only
EPS actual / estimate0.26 / 0.16USD
Surprise+0.6%Beat
EPS growth+4.0%year on year
Revenue / growth38982000+21.4% · USD
Next close / four weeks- / -completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / perioddate unavailable30 Jun 2025 · period only
EPS actual / estimate0.37 / 0.15USD
Surprise+1.5%Beat
EPS growth+85.0%year on year
Revenue / growth39594000+29.6% · USD
Next close / four weeks- / -completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / perioddate unavailable31 Mar 2025 · period only
EPS actual / estimate0.46 / 0.19USD
Surprise+142.1%Beat
EPS growth+142.1%year on year
Revenue / growth40635000+39.1% · USD
Next close / four weeks- / -completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / perioddate unavailable31 Dec 2024 · period only
EPS actual / estimate0.35 / 0.24USD
Surprise+45.8%Beat
EPS growth+105.9%year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks- / -completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / perioddate unavailable30 Sep 2024 · period only
EPS actual / estimate0.25 / 0.16USD
Surprise+56.2%Beat
EPS growth+78.6%year on year
Revenue / growth32118000+36.9% · USD
Next close / four weeks- / -completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / perioddate unavailable30 Jun 2024 · period only
EPS actual / estimate0.20 / 0.12USD
Surprise+66.7%Beat
EPS growth+11.1%year on year
Revenue / growth30541000+17.6% · USD
Next close / four weeks- / -completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / perioddate unavailable31 Mar 2024 · period only
EPS actual / estimate0.19 / 0.14USD
Surprise+35.7%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth29215000- · USD
Next close / four weeks- / -completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / perioddate unavailable31 Dec 2023 · period only
EPS actual / estimate0.17 / 0.19USD
Surprise-10.5%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth32530000- · USD
Next close / four weeks- / -completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / perioddate unavailable30 Sep 2023 · period only
EPS actual / estimate0.14 / 0.10USD
Surprise+40.0%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth23458000- · USD
Next close / four weeks- / -completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / perioddate unavailable30 Jun 2023 · period only
EPS actual / estimate0.18 / 0.11USD
Surprise+63.6%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth25972000- · USD
Next close / four weeks- / -completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reproducible method
How the earnings dossier is measured
Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.
The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.
Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.
Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.
Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.