Estimate delivery
Actual EPS versus consensus
Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.
US Equity · NASDAQ · Earnings Dossier
RCAT earnings intelligence
Red Cat Holdings IncIndustrials · Aerospace & Defense · USD reporting basis
Current earnings profile
Mixed earnings transmission
Delivery and market response do not currently form a persistent directional pattern.
Evidence80/100 · Strong
Next scheduled catalyst
Thursday 13 August 2026
Time unconfirmed · Fiscal period ending 31 Jul 2026
95event risk
High
Countdown1 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate-0.17 USDprovider consensus
Estimate growth-79.3%versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement18.0%average absolute next weekly close
Three-year earnings transmission
Delivered earnings power versus market price
Three-year relationship unavailable
Earnings power must be positive at the start of the three-year window.
Beat rate0.0%0 beats in 12 measured quarters
Average surprise-70.9%median -18.6%
Delivery streak11 consecutive misses
Average response+1.7%7 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation57%same directional sign
Surprise variability120.2 ptspopulation dispersion
Price acceptance
Surprise and next weekly close
The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.
Fundamental delivery
Quarterly revenue and net income
Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.
Transmission matrix
Does price confirm delivery?
Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.
Current business context
Growth, quality and valuation
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue growth128.5%year on year
Average surprise-52.3%latest four quarters
SUE-1.02standardised surprise
Net margin-163.1%trailing basis
Cash conversion1.43xcash flow / net income
P/E-current snapshot
Data completeness79%alphavantage
Market context
Positioning into the event
Weekly close9.21 USDcompleted week
13-week return-11.2%price momentum
Fair-value gap49.5%price versus current fair value
Relative strength-25.5exchange benchmark
Trend signalInactiveweekly architecture
Next-week stateUndecided54.3%
Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.
Reported evidence ledger
Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance
Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period6 Aug 202631 Jul 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.26 / -0.21USD
Surprise-23.8%Miss
EPS growth-73.3%year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks+22.3% / -completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / perioddate unavailable30 Jun 2026 · period only
EPS actual / estimate-0.23 / -0.17USD
Surprise-0.3%In-Line
EPS growth-52.9%year on year
Revenue / growth20189000+527.3% · USD
Next close / four weeks- / -completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period7 May 202630 Apr 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.22 / -0.12USD
Surprise-83.3%Miss
EPS growth+18.5%year on year
Revenue / growth15471000+849.3% · USD
Next close / four weeks-7.7% / +29.1%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / perioddate unavailable31 Mar 2026 · period only
EPS actual / estimate-0.22 / -0.12USD
Surprise-0.9%Miss
EPS growth+18.5%year on year
Revenue / growth15471000+849.3% · USD
Next close / four weeks- / -completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period18 Mar 202631 Jan 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.17 / -0.15USD
Surprise-13.3%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth1629031-0.1% · USD
Next close / four weeks-16.5% / -22.0%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / perioddate unavailable31 Dec 2025 · period only
EPS actual / estimate-0.17 / -0.15USD
Surprise-0.1%In-Line
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth26234369+1509.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks- / -completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period13 Nov 202531 Oct 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.16 / -0.03USD
Surprise-433.3%Miss
EPS growth+5.9%year on year
Revenue / growth9646392- · USD
Next close / four weeks-22.8% / -13.6%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / perioddate unavailable30 Sep 2025 · period only
EPS actual / estimate-0.16 / -0.10USD
Surprise-0.6%Miss
EPS growth+5.9%year on year
Revenue / growth9646392- · USD
Next close / four weeks- / -completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period14 Aug 202531 Jul 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.15 / -0.11USD
Surprise-36.4%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth3218577- · USD
Next close / four weeks-9.9% / -8.7%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / perioddate unavailable30 Jun 2025 · period only
EPS actual / estimate-0.09 / -0.12USD
Surprise+0.2%In-Line
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth3218577- · USD
Next close / four weeks- / -completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period14 May 202530 Apr 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.27 / -0.10USD
Surprise-170.0%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth1629662- · USD
Next close / four weeks+16.0% / +37.6%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period16 Dec 202431 Oct 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.17 / -0.09USD
Surprise-88.9%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks+30.6% / +21.9%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reproducible method
How the earnings dossier is measured
Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.
The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.
Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.
Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.
Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.