Move decomposition
Earnings contribution and valuation offset
The market move is separated into the change in trailing earnings power and the offset from relative valuation.
US Equity · NYSE · Earnings Dossier
JEF earnings intelligence
Jefferies Financial Group IncFinancial Services · Capital Markets · USD reporting basis
Current earnings profile
Mixed earnings transmission
Delivery and market response do not currently form a persistent directional pattern.
Evidence99/100 · Deep
Next scheduled catalyst
Monday 5 October 2026
Time unconfirmed · Fiscal period ending 31 Aug 2026
54event risk
Elevated
Countdown53 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate0.87 USDprovider consensus
Estimate growth-13.9%versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement6.5%average absolute next weekly close
Three-year earnings transmission
Delivered earnings power versus market price
Market price is leading earnings power; the spread is closing and has persisted through 0 updates. Both series begin at 100, so the gap isolates the relative change in price and trailing earnings power.
Market move79.0%2023-08-18 to 2026-08-07
Earnings move63.0%trailing diluted EPS
Unresolved spread-16.0 ptsClosing
Current multiple15.3xprice divided by TTM EPS
Relationship pressure17/100Low
Model confidence89/100High
Relationship controls
What qualifies the headline spread
Business quality supportive
Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive.
Model qualification
The direction is sensitive to the comparison horizon.
Beat rate50.0%6 beats in 12 measured quarters
Average surprise-2.1%median 0.8%
Delivery streak22 consecutive misses
Average response-3.4%12 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation46%same directional sign
Surprise variability23.3 ptspopulation dispersion
Estimate delivery
Actual EPS versus consensus
Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.
Price acceptance
Surprise and next weekly close
The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.
Fundamental delivery
Quarterly revenue and net income
Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.
Transmission matrix
Does price confirm delivery?
Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.
Current business context
Growth, quality and valuation
EPS growth35.5%year on year
Revenue growth16.6%year on year
Average surprise4.8%latest four quarters
SUE-0.15standardised surprise
Net margin7.4%trailing basis
Cash conversion2.49xcash flow / net income
P/E14.5xcurrent snapshot
Data completeness100%alphavantage
Market context
Positioning into the event
Weekly close56.62 USDcompleted week
13-week return7.7%price momentum
Fair-value gap10.9%price versus current fair value
Relative strength-7.6exchange benchmark
Trend signalActiveweekly architecture
Next-week statePositive61.0%
Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.
Reported evidence ledger
Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance
Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period24 Jun 202631 May 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.03 / 1.09USD
Surprise-5.5%Miss
EPS growth+157.5%year on year
Revenue / growth3410734000+36.7% · USD
Next close / four weeks-20.9% / -11.6%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period25 Mar 202628 Feb 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.70 / 0.89USD
Surprise-21.3%Miss
EPS growth+22.8%year on year
Revenue / growth2871265000+16.1% · USD
Next close / four weeks+4.5% / +26.1%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period7 Jan 202630 Nov 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.96 / 0.80USD
Surprise+20.0%Beat
EPS growth-10.3%year on year
Revenue / growth2948824000+3.4% · USD
Next close / four weeks-1.9% / -3.6%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period29 Sep 202531 Aug 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.01 / 0.80USD
Surprise+26.2%Beat
EPS growth+16.1%year on year
Revenue / growth2907674000+12.0% · USD
Next close / four weeks-6.4% / -14.9%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period25 Jun 202531 May 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.40 / 0.46USD
Surprise-13.0%Miss
EPS growth-45.2%year on year
Revenue / growth2494315000-0.9% · USD
Next close / four weeks+5.5% / +6.4%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period26 Mar 202528 Feb 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.57 / 1.20USD
Surprise-52.5%Miss
EPS growth-24.0%year on year
Revenue / growth2472864000-3.1% · USD
Next close / four weeks-12.0% / -27.8%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period8 Jan 202530 Nov 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.07 / 1.04USD
Surprise+2.9%Beat
EPS growth+256.7%year on year
Revenue / growth2851242000+44.8% · USD
Next close / four weeks-11.8% / -5.1%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period25 Sep 202431 Aug 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.87 / 0.77USD
Surprise+13.0%Beat
EPS growth+278.3%year on year
Revenue / growth2595589000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-1.6% / +7.1%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period26 Jun 202431 May 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.73 / 0.64USD
Surprise+14.1%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth2516296000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+8.8% / +19.0%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period27 Mar 202429 Feb 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.75 / 0.76USD
Surprise-1.3%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth2551942000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-2.7% / -7.0%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period8 Jan 202430 Nov 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.30 / 0.24USD
Surprise+25.0%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth1968738000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-0.7% / +1.2%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period27 Sep 202331 Aug 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.23 / 0.34USD
Surprise-32.4%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks-1.6% / -13.3%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reproducible method
How the earnings dossier is measured
Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.
The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.
Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.
Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.
Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.