US Equity · NYSE · Earnings Dossier

ORN earnings intelligence

Orion Group Holdings Inc

Industrials · Engineering & Construction · USD reporting basis

Current earnings profile Mixed earnings transmission

Delivery and market response do not currently form a persistent directional pattern.

Evidence100/100 · Deep

Next scheduled catalyst

Tuesday 27 October 2026

Time unconfirmed · Fiscal period ending 30 Sep 2026

68event risk

Elevated

Countdown75 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate0.14 USDprovider consensus
Estimate growth+55.6%versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement16.8%average absolute next weekly close

Three-year earnings transmission

Delivered earnings power versus market price

Three-year relationship unavailable

Earnings power must be positive at the start of the three-year window.

Beat rate66.7%8 beats in 12 measured quarters
Average surprise-15.5%median 75.0%
Delivery streak11 consecutive misses
Average response-4.4%12 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation64%same directional sign
Surprise variability556.5 ptspopulation dispersion

Estimate delivery

Actual EPS versus consensus

Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.

Price acceptance

Surprise and next weekly close

The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.

Fundamental delivery

Quarterly revenue and net income

Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.

Transmission matrix

Does price confirm delivery?

Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.

Current business context

Growth, quality and valuation

As of 9 Aug 2026
EPS growth-65.5%year on year
Revenue growth7.0%year on year
Average surprise70.0%latest four quarters
SUE1.07standardised surprise
Net margin0.4%trailing basis
Cash conversion18.64xcash flow / net income
P/E115.9xcurrent snapshot
Data completeness100%alphavantage

Market context

Positioning into the event

Week ending 7 Aug 2026
Weekly close10.31 USDcompleted week
13-week return-30.8%price momentum
Fair-value gap22.1%price versus current fair value
Relative strength-17.9exchange benchmark
Trend signalInactiveweekly architecture
Next-week statePositive61.1%

Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.

Reported evidence ledger

Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance

Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.

12 quarters
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period28 Jul 202630 Jun 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.02 / 0.03USD
Surprise-166.7%Miss
EPS growth-128.6%year on year
Revenue / growth221878000+8.1% · USD
Next close / four weeks-22.9% / -completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period28 Apr 202631 Mar 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.05 / 0.00USD
Surprise0.0%In-Line
EPS growth+400.0%year on year
Revenue / growth216301000+14.7% · USD
Next close / four weeks+18.7% / +14.5%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period3 Mar 202631 Dec 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.08 / 0.03USD
Surprise+166.7%Beat
EPS growth-50.0%year on year
Revenue / growth233223000+7.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks-15.1% / -20.8%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period28 Oct 202530 Sep 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.09 / 0.06USD
Surprise+50.0%Beat
EPS growth-43.8%year on year
Revenue / growth225097000-0.7% · USD
Next close / four weeks+21.1% / +0.4%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period29 Jul 202530 Jun 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.07 / -0.01USD
Surprise+800.0%Beat
EPS growth+143.8%year on year
Revenue / growth205286000+6.8% · USD
Next close / four weeks-23.1% / -25.1%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period29 Apr 202531 Mar 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.01 / -0.07USD
Surprise+114.3%Beat
EPS growth+108.3%year on year
Revenue / growth188653000+17.4% · USD
Next close / four weeks+16.4% / +30.2%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period4 Mar 202531 Dec 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.16 / 0.18USD
Surprise-12.7%Miss
EPS growth+100.0%year on year
Revenue / growth216880000+7.6% · USD
Next close / four weeks-19.2% / -25.0%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period30 Oct 202430 Sep 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.16 / 0.07USD
Surprise+128.6%Beat
EPS growth+700.0%year on year
Revenue / growth226675000+34.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks+16.9% / +58.6%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period24 Jul 202430 Jun 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.16 / 0.01USD
Surprise-1700.0%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth192167000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-24.8% / -36.0%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period24 Apr 202431 Mar 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.12 / -0.18USD
Surprise+33.3%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth160672000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-6.1% / +18.6%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period28 Feb 202431 Dec 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.08 / 0.04USD
Surprise+100.0%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth201594000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+1.7% / +40.9%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period25 Oct 202330 Sep 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.02 / -0.01USD
Surprise+300.0%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth168476000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-15.9% / -8.1%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign

Reproducible method

How the earnings dossier is measured

Descriptive, not predictive
Estimate delivery

Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.

Price response

The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.

Event risk

Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.

Data discipline

Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.

Evidence context