Move decomposition
Earnings contribution and valuation offset
The market move is separated into the change in trailing earnings power and the offset from relative valuation.
US Equity · NASDAQ · Earnings Dossier
ILMN earnings intelligence
Illumina IncHealthcare · Diagnostics & Research · USD reporting basis
Current earnings profile
Delivery strong, expectations demanding
Results have usually cleared estimates, but price has not consistently rewarded the delivery.
Evidence100/100 · Deep
Next scheduled catalyst
No forward date is currently stored
The historical dossier remains available while the next calendar date is unconfirmed.
0event risk
Inactive
Countdown-calendar proximity
EPS estimate-provider consensus
Estimate growth-versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement9.6%average absolute next weekly close
Three-year earnings transmission
Delivered earnings power versus market price
Earnings power is leading market price; the spread is stable and has persisted through 12 updates. Both series begin at 100, so the gap isolates the relative change in price and trailing earnings power.
Market move24.1%2023-08-25 to 2026-08-14
Earnings move485.2%trailing diluted EPS
Unresolved spread461.1 ptsStable
Current multiple37.1xprice divided by TTM EPS
Relationship pressure89/100Extreme
Model confidence67/100Moderate
Relationship controls
What qualifies the headline spread
Persistent earnings lead
Earnings power has led market price across several updates.
Business quality supportive
Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive.
Price confirmation reversed
The latest earnings improvement initially received a positive price response, but price is now below its pre-update level.
Starting-base sensitivity
The three-year earnings move begins from an unusually depressed level; compare the shorter horizons before relying on its scale.
Model qualification
The three-year starting earnings level was unusually depressed.
Model qualification
The earnings move is exceptionally large and should be read with its quality confirmation.
Model qualification
The direction is sensitive to the comparison horizon.
Beat rate75.0%9 beats in 12 measured quarters
Average surprise+13.1%median 9.1%
Delivery streak66 consecutive beats
Average response-2.7%12 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation46%same directional sign
Surprise variability43.0 ptspopulation dispersion
Estimate delivery
Actual EPS versus consensus
Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.
Price acceptance
Surprise and next weekly close
The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.
Fundamental delivery
Quarterly revenue and net income
Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.
Transmission matrix
Does price confirm delivery?
Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.
Current business context
Growth, quality and valuation
EPS growth-34.4%year on year
Revenue growth4.9%year on year
Average surprise9.8%latest four quarters
SUE0.98standardised surprise
Net margin18.4%trailing basis
Cash conversion1.52xcash flow / net income
P/E34.4xcurrent snapshot
Data completeness100%alphavantage
Market context
Positioning into the event
Weekly close190.89 USDcompleted week
13-week return33.9%price momentum
Fair-value gap54.8%price versus current fair value
Relative strength23.5exchange benchmark
Trend signalActiveweekly architecture
Next-week stateUndecided52.8%
Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.
Reported evidence ledger
Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance
Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period30 Jul 202630 Jun 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.31 / 1.23USD
Surprise+6.5%Beat
EPS growth+10.1%year on year
Revenue / growth1159000000+9.6% · USD
Next close / four weeks+5.7% / -completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period30 Apr 202631 Mar 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.15 / 1.06USD
Surprise+8.5%Beat
EPS growth+18.6%year on year
Revenue / growth1091000000+4.8% · USD
Next close / four weeks+6.2% / +12.9%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period5 Feb 202631 Dec 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.35 / 1.23USD
Surprise+9.8%Beat
EPS growth+57.0%year on year
Revenue / growth1160000000+5.1% · USD
Next close / four weeks-17.3% / -7.1%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period30 Oct 202530 Sep 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.34 / 1.17USD
Surprise+14.5%Beat
EPS growth+17.5%year on year
Revenue / growth1083000000+0.3% · USD
Next close / four weeks+23.4% / +23.7%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period31 Jul 202530 Jun 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.19 / 1.01USD
Surprise+17.8%Beat
EPS growth+230.6%year on year
Revenue / growth1057000000-4.9% · USD
Next close / four weeks-13.4% / -6.9%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period8 May 202531 Mar 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.97 / 0.94USD
Surprise+3.2%Beat
EPS growth+977.8%year on year
Revenue / growth1041000000-3.3% · USD
Next close / four weeks-2.7% / +5.6%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period6 Feb 202531 Dec 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.86 / 0.92USD
Surprise-6.5%Miss
EPS growth+514.3%year on year
Revenue / growth1104000000-1.6% · USD
Next close / four weeks-16.3% / -33.1%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period4 Nov 202430 Sep 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.14 / 0.88USD
Surprise+29.5%Beat
EPS growth+245.5%year on year
Revenue / growth1080000000-3.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks+0.9% / -3.7%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period6 Aug 202430 Jun 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.36 / 0.90USD
Surprise-60.0%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth1112000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+5.0% / +11.6%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period2 May 202431 Mar 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.09 / 0.11USD
Surprise-18.2%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth1076000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-3.6% / -12.9%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period8 Feb 202431 Dec 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.14 / 0.12USD
Surprise+16.7%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth1122000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-4.4% / -2.6%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period9 Nov 202330 Sep 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.33 / 0.14USD
Surprise+135.7%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth1119000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-15.9% / -6.1%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reproducible method
How the earnings dossier is measured
Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.
The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.
Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.
Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.
Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.