Move decomposition
Earnings contribution and valuation offset
The market move is separated into the change in trailing earnings power and the offset from relative valuation.
US Equity · NYSE · Earnings Dossier
BNS earnings intelligence
Bank of Nova ScotiaFinancial Services · Banks - Diversified · USD reporting basis
Current earnings profile
Mixed earnings transmission
Delivery and market response do not currently form a persistent directional pattern.
Evidence99/100 · Deep
Next scheduled catalyst
Tuesday 25 August 2026
Before the open · Fiscal period ending 31 Jul 2026
41event risk
Moderate
Countdown12 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate1.53 USDprovider consensus
Estimate growth-16.8%versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement2.9%average absolute next weekly close
Three-year earnings transmission
Delivered earnings power versus market price
Market price is leading earnings power; the spread is widening and has persisted through 11 updates. Both series begin at 100, so the gap isolates the relative change in price and trailing earnings power.
Market move131.8%2023-08-18 to 2026-08-07
Earnings move-2.5%trailing diluted EPS
Unresolved spread-134.2 ptsWidening
Current multiple11.8xprice divided by TTM EPS
Relationship pressure91/100Extreme
Model confidence94/100High
Relationship controls
What qualifies the headline spread
Expectations stretched
Price has moved materially faster than delivered earnings power.
Beat rate58.3%7 beats in 12 measured quarters
Average surprise-2.1%median 1.3%
Delivery streak11 consecutive beats
Average response+1.7%12 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation67%same directional sign
Surprise variability10.2 ptspopulation dispersion
Estimate delivery
Actual EPS versus consensus
Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.
Price acceptance
Surprise and next weekly close
The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.
Fundamental delivery
Quarterly revenue and net income
Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.
Transmission matrix
Does price confirm delivery?
Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.
Current business context
Growth, quality and valuation
EPS growth43.8%year on year
Revenue growth-5.6%year on year
Average surprise3.2%latest four quarters
SUE-0.11standardised surprise
Net margin13.5%trailing basis
Cash conversion3.01xcash flow / net income
P/E11.3xcurrent snapshot
Data completeness100%alphavantage
Market context
Positioning into the event
Weekly close88.85 USDcompleted week
13-week return14.6%price momentum
Fair-value gap64.3%price versus current fair value
Relative strength9.7exchange benchmark
Trend signalActiveweekly architecture
Next-week statePositive59.6%
Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.
Reported evidence ledger
Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance
Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period27 May 202630 Apr 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate2.02 / 1.94USD
Surprise+4.1%Beat
EPS growth+32.9%year on year
Revenue / growth17189000000-4.2% · USD
Next close / four weeks+0.3% / +8.1%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period24 Feb 202631 Jan 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.73 / 1.79USD
Surprise-3.4%Miss
EPS growth-1.7%year on year
Revenue / growth17629000000-7.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks-2.0% / -11.8%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period2 Dec 202531 Oct 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.93 / 1.84USD
Surprise+4.9%Beat
EPS growth+58.2%year on year
Revenue / growth18208000000-3.6% · USD
Next close / four weeks+3.5% / +7.0%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period26 Aug 202531 Jul 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.84 / 1.72USD
Surprise+7.0%Beat
EPS growth+12.9%year on year
Revenue / growth17956000000-6.8% · USD
Next close / four weeks+8.4% / +12.7%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period27 May 202530 Apr 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.52 / 1.57USD
Surprise-3.2%Miss
EPS growth-3.8%year on year
Revenue / growth17947000000-3.3% · USD
Next close / four weeks+2.5% / +3.8%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period25 Feb 202531 Jan 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.76 / 1.67USD
Surprise+5.4%Beat
EPS growth+4.1%year on year
Revenue / growth19066000000+127.3% · USD
Next close / four weeks-1.7% / -5.0%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period3 Dec 202431 Oct 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.22 / 1.61USD
Surprise-24.2%Miss
EPS growth-3.2%year on year
Revenue / growth18887000000+138.4% · USD
Next close / four weeks-2.2% / -5.7%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period27 Aug 202431 Jul 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.63 / 1.62USD
Surprise+0.6%Beat
EPS growth-5.8%year on year
Revenue / growth19274000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+3.0% / +11.7%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period28 May 202430 Apr 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.58 / 1.55USD
Surprise+1.9%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth18563000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-0.9% / -5.6%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period27 Feb 202431 Jan 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.69 / 1.61USD
Surprise+5.0%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth8387000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+2.2% / +5.5%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period28 Nov 202331 Oct 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.26 / 1.65USD
Surprise-23.6%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth7923000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+2.2% / +8.0%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period29 Aug 202331 Jul 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.73 / 1.73USD
Surprise0.0%In-Line
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks+5.5% / +2.9%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reproducible method
How the earnings dossier is measured
Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.
The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.
Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.
Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.
Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.