- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
NFL
NSI
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
National Fertilizers Limited · Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs
Latest close
71.91 INR
0.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 22.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.6%, after a -2.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
26
out of 100
Latest Close
71.91 INR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
-2.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-3.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
23.1%
12 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move -2.5%.
Indicator stack
13/25
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 42.77%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
52/100
13 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 22.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.6%, after a -2.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1012-week average 0.13
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.10Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -2.5% over four weeks, -3.3% over 12 weeks, and -21.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year12
Trend breadth23.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.49Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-205.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.71Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-17.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 85%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength42/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Value82/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Quality6/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Momentum19/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Growth38/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework48/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 16.7x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.2x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 8.0x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -21.1% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 30.1% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 2.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -7.3% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 4.8% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 8.7% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 15.0% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -165.7% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 3/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 2.2% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 2.2% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 4.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 13 relevant articles.
2 positive · 11 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-29.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.8%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-6.2%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+0.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains1
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Basic Materials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average2.8%
Trend breadth52.0%
Trend52.0%active weekly trend signals
MD52.0%positive activity pressure
RS63.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Agricultural Inputs
4-week rank32 / 47
Group average0.9%
Trend breadth19.1%
Trend19.1%active weekly trend signals
MD36.2%positive activity pressure
RS14.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape22/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 22/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis26/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.10; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.77%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.77% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors36/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 47; Small Cap Core rank 8 SVQF48/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 821.5 of 1576 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 13 relevant articles.
National Fertilizers closes trading window from July 1 until Q1FY26 results Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 71.91 INR | 0.6% | 75.24 INR | 93.62 INR | -0.49 | -11.71 | 2.1M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 71.47 INR | 1.6% | 75.64 INR | 93.58 INR | -0.30 | -12.00 | 2.1M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 70.31 INR | -3.1% | 76.32 INR | 93.55 INR | -0.06 | -11.62 | 2.1M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 72.56 INR | -1.6% | 76.90 INR | 93.54 INR | 0.22 | -11.40 | 3.3M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 73.75 INR | -2.5% | 77.34 INR | 93.51 INR | 0.46 | -9.93 | 3.5M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 75.63 INR | 0.6% | 77.74 INR | 93.48 INR | 0.53 | -8.28 | 1.2M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 75.18 INR | -3.4% | 78.18 INR | 93.45 INR | 0.49 | -8.39 | 0 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 77.86 INR | 3.8% | 78.51 INR | 93.40 INR | 0.52 | -5.36 | 2.4M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 75.04 INR | 1.6% | 78.87 INR | 93.33 INR | 0.51 | -7.60 | 1.3M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 73.84 INR | -2.8% | 79.44 INR | 93.29 INR | 0.48 | -8.52 | 990.1K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 76.00 INR | -0.5% | 80.07 INR | 93.25 INR | 0.57 | -7.13 | 6.0M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 76.37 INR | 2.7% | 80.65 INR | 93.17 INR | 0.59 | -7.70 | 5.7M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 74.39 INR | -5.4% | 81.23 INR | 93.11 INR | 0.51 | -10.12 | 4.6M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 78.63 INR | 0.9% | 81.86 INR | 93.05 INR | 0.44 | -7.44 | 5.5M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.