- The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
DLTR
VIE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Dollar Tree, Inc. · Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
Latest close
112.6 EUR
1.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 81.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a 3.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
50
out of 100
Latest Close
112.6 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
1.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
3.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
45.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
48.1%
25 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
-
vs 13-week average
- No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
Price follow-through
1.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move 3.6%.
Indicator stack
30/65
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 57.90%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
17 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 81.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a 3.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is - the 13-week average. Participation data is incomplete.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6412-week average 0.28
12-week confirmation
Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.64Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 3.6% over four weeks, 45.0% over 12 weeks, and 12.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak1 weeks
Active weeks in one year25
Trend breadth48.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.82Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-2.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-4.41Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change37.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.
2 positive · 15 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-7.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.3%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-8.7%Week of 10 Apr.
Latest week+1.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses7
Recent vol6.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.8% / -4.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAT Consumer Defensive
4-week rank23 / 58
Group average1.7%
Trend breadth51.7%
Trend51.7%active weekly trend signals
MD62.1%positive activity pressure
RS5.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAT Discount Stores
4-week rank3 / 5
Group average3.5%
Trend breadth40.0%
Trend40.0%active weekly trend signals
MD60.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape44/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 44/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis36/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.64; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.90%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.90% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.
Balefire LLC Has $569,000 Stock Position in Dollar Tree, Inc. $DLTR Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 112.6 EUR | 1.5% | 99.08 EUR | 93.81 EUR | 0.82 | -4.41 | 0 | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 110.9 EUR | 4.7% | 99.12 EUR | 93.95 EUR | 0.93 | -3.46 | 97 | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 105.9 EUR | -7.2% | 99.03 EUR | 94.11 EUR | 0.92 | -8.28 | 0 | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 114.1 EUR | 4.9% | 98.91 EUR | 94.32 EUR | 1.02 | -0.29 | 102 | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 108.7 EUR | 0.3% | 98.70 EUR | 94.47 EUR | 0.84 | -7.03 | 727 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 108.4 EUR | 0.1% | 98.71 EUR | 94.62 EUR | 0.61 | -8.83 | 0 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 108.3 EUR | 11.4% | 98.65 EUR | 94.77 EUR | 0.38 | -6.95 | 32 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 97.26 EUR | -1.3% | 98.25 EUR | 94.92 EUR | 0.21 | -18.23 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 98.55 EUR | 3.5% | 97.92 EUR | 95.14 EUR | -0.26 | -14.01 | 0 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 95.19 EUR | -3.1% | 97.64 EUR | 95.31 EUR | -0.72 | -14.85 | 0 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 98.20 EUR | 20.3% | 97.45 EUR | 95.49 EUR | -0.96 | -13.35 | 324 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 81.64 EUR | 5.1% | 97.03 EUR | 95.66 EUR | -1.41 | -26.12 | 0 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 77.67 EUR | -4.9% | 97.15 EUR | 95.98 EUR | -1.38 | -28.55 | 0 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 81.66 EUR | -1.0% | 97.29 EUR | 96.42 EUR | -1.27 | -25.52 | 96 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.