- The trend backdrop is active with a 20-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
NRN
GER
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Xcel Energy Inc. · Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric
Latest close
67.50 EUR
-1.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 0.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.5%, after a -3.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
49
out of 100
Latest Close
67.50 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-1.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
-3.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-4.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
80.8%
42 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 22.05% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move -3.6%.
Indicator stack
89/45
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 22.05%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
16 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 0.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.5%, after a -3.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
9 Jan
16 Jan
23 Jan
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7812-week average 0.77
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.78Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -3.6% over four weeks, -4.3% over 12 weeks, and 10.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 20 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak20 weeks
Active weeks in one year42
Trend breadth80.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.26Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-4.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-5.85Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-296.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 85%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength11/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Value25/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Quality12/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Momentum62/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 39; rank 1 is best.
Growth60/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 41; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework11/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 20.2x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 2.9x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 12.5x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -9.0% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 47.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 19.8% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -48.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 3.6% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 9.1% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -4.0% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 3.0% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -7.7% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -4.7% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 5.9x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.
0 positive · 16 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
9 Jan
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.5%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-5.0%Week of 17 Apr.
Latest week-1.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains1
Modest gains14
Flat weeks2
Modest losses7
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/15Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.0% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Utilities
4-week rank19 / 23
Group average-1.0%
Trend breadth65.2%
Trend65.2%active weekly trend signals
MD39.1%positive activity pressure
RS39.1%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Utilities - Regulated Electric
4-week rank4 / 7
Group average-1.3%
Trend breadth85.7%
Trend85.7%active weekly trend signals
MD71.4%positive activity pressure
RS42.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape53/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 53/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis71/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 10/12.
Activity pressure 0.78; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 22.05%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 22.05% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors25/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 97; Small Cap Core rank 75 SVQF11/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 333.0 of 375 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.
ETFs Investing in Xcel Energy Inc. Stocks Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 67.50 EUR | -1.5% | 67.25 EUR | 61.23 EUR | -0.26 | -5.85 | 19 | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 68.50 EUR | -4.9% | 67.18 EUR | 61.16 EUR | -0.18 | -1.88 | 0 | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 72.00 EUR | 2.1% | 67.21 EUR | 61.09 EUR | -0.25 | 5.41 | 0 | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 70.50 EUR | 0.7% | 67.08 EUR | 61.00 EUR | -0.37 | 4.51 | 0 | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 70.00 EUR | 2.9% | 66.99 EUR | 60.91 EUR | -0.25 | 2.97 | 0 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 68.00 EUR | -1.4% | 66.97 EUR | 60.83 EUR | -0.13 | 2.00 | 0 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 69.00 EUR | -2.1% | 67.00 EUR | 60.76 EUR | -0.00 | 3.16 | 165 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 70.50 EUR | 1.4% | 66.99 EUR | 60.69 EUR | 0.02 | 4.12 | 21 | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 69.50 EUR | 3.7% | 66.91 EUR | 60.60 EUR | -0.06 | 3.73 | 50 | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 67.00 EUR | 0.0% | 66.91 EUR | 60.53 EUR | 0.06 | 4.08 | 0 | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 67.00 EUR | 0.0% | 66.92 EUR | 60.46 EUR | 0.31 | 3.44 | 0 | On |
| 17 Apr 2026 | 67.00 EUR | -5.0% | 66.88 EUR | 60.40 EUR | 0.46 | 1.09 | 65 | On |
| 10 Apr 2026 | 70.50 EUR | 1.0% | 66.67 EUR | 60.34 EUR | 0.47 | 10.27 | 39 | On |
| 3 Apr 2026 | 69.78 EUR | 1.8% | 66.33 EUR | 60.26 EUR | 0.54 | 12.14 | 297 | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.