- The trend backdrop is active with a 3-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
NCC
LSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
NCC Group plc · Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Latest close
142.0 GBP
0.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.7%, after a 1.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 43/100.
Setup score
47
out of 100
Latest Close
142.0 GBP
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
1.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
3.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
17.3%
9 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.3x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.58% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move 1.9%.
Indicator stack
20/83
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 42.58%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
43/100
3 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.7%, after a 1.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5412-week average 0.37
12-week confirmation
Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.54Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 1.9% over four weeks, 3.0% over 12 weeks, and -1.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 3 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak3 weeks
Active weeks in one year9
Trend breadth17.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.02Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change187.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-5.05Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-4.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 82%
Model confidence 77%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength3/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Value12/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Quality6/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Momentum14/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Growth21/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 22.9x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.6x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 31.8x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 6.4% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 37.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -3.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 11.9% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -2.8% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 3/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 2.2% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 1.4% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 3.6% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 3.5x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment43/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
0 positive · 2 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-12.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.5%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-7.1%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week+0.7%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -2.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Technology
4-week rank46 / 100
Group average2.8%
Trend breadth37.0%
Trend37.0%active weekly trend signals
MD58.0%positive activity pressure
RS34.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Software - Infrastructure
4-week rank11 / 21
Group average6.2%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS28.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape44/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 44/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis46/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 3/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.54; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.58%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.58% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors7/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 29; Small Cap Core rank 84 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment43/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
NCC Group plc Revenue Breakdown – LSE:NCC Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 142.0 GBP | 0.7% | 132.4 GBP | 137.4 GBP | 1.02 | -5.05 | 8.6M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 141.0 GBP | -1.4% | 132.3 GBP | 137.1 GBP | 1.02 | -5.80 | 13.8M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 143.0 GBP | 1.0% | 132.1 GBP | 136.8 GBP | 0.75 | -3.75 | 6.3M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 141.6 GBP | 1.6% | 132.0 GBP | 136.5 GBP | 0.51 | -3.87 | 6.8M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 139.4 GBP | 8.2% | 132.1 GBP | 136.2 GBP | 0.35 | -4.85 | 9.8M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 128.8 GBP | 4.5% | 132.1 GBP | 136.0 GBP | 0.22 | -13.91 | 557.5K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 123.2 GBP | -2.1% | 132.6 GBP | 135.8 GBP | 0.37 | -16.78 | 904.0K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 125.8 GBP | -6.3% | 133.4 GBP | 135.6 GBP | 0.73 | -14.35 | 6.8M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 134.2 GBP | -7.1% | 134.1 GBP | 135.4 GBP | 0.90 | -10.13 | 889.5K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 144.4 GBP | 1.3% | 134.5 GBP | 135.1 GBP | 0.98 | -3.09 | 991.6K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 142.6 GBP | 0.1% | 134.4 GBP | 134.7 GBP | 1.09 | -5.20 | 17.9M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 142.4 GBP | 3.3% | 134.6 GBP | 134.4 GBP | 0.68 | -6.36 | 6.0M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 137.8 GBP | -1.7% | 135.0 GBP | 134.1 GBP | 0.04 | -7.53 | 4.3M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 140.2 GBP | 9.0% | 135.2 GBP | 133.9 GBP | -0.36 | -6.83 | 15.6M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.