RECI LSE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Real Estate Credit Investments Limited · Financial Services · Asset Management

Latest close 117.0 GBP
-0.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 30.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.8%, after a 0.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 42 out of 100
Latest Close 117.0 GBP 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -0.8% latest completed week
4W Return 0.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -0.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 17.3% 9 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 30.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.8%, after a 0.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0912-week average 0.05

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.09Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.4% over four weeks, -0.8% over 12 weeks, and -8.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.8%
4W0.4%
12W-0.8%
26W-6.0%
52W-8.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year9
Trend breadth17.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.29Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change139.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.36Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-11.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 67% Model confidence 62%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength4/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Value17/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Quality3/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Momentum10/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Growth2/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
17.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
12.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-3.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-61.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-28.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-33.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
2/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
10.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
10.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.

1 positive · 14 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-10.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+3.1%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-4.5%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week-0.8%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains0
Modest gains12
Flat weeks2
Modest losses11
Sharp losses1
Recent vol1.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol1.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.2% / -1.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026117.0 GBP-0.8%119.1 GBP123.4 GBP0.29-11.361.3MOff
31 Jul 2026118.0 GBP1.7%119.4 GBP123.5 GBP0.14-10.80822.3KOff
24 Jul 2026116.0 GBP1.3%119.6 GBP123.5 GBP-0.08-11.671.8MOff
17 Jul 2026114.5 GBP-1.7%119.8 GBP123.5 GBP-0.51-12.14853.6KOff
10 Jul 2026116.5 GBP0.4%120.1 GBP123.6 GBP-0.75-10.20977.8KOff
3 Jul 2026116.0 GBP3.0%120.3 GBP123.6 GBP-1.10-12.531.4MOff
26 Jun 2026112.6 GBP0.0%120.5 GBP123.6 GBP-1.38-14.20161.4KOff
19 Jun 2026112.6 GBP-0.9%120.8 GBP123.7 GBP-1.24-13.54553.2KOff
12 Jun 2026113.6 GBP0.4%121.1 GBP123.8 GBP-1.13-14.171.1MOff
5 Jun 2026113.1 GBP-3.3%121.4 GBP123.9 GBP-1.00-14.13228.5KOff
29 May 2026117.0 GBP0.9%121.7 GBP124.0 GBP-0.84-11.941.5MOff
22 May 2026116.0 GBP-1.7%121.9 GBP124.0 GBP-0.84-13.571.4MOff
15 May 2026118.0 GBP0.4%122.2 GBP124.1 GBP-0.85-10.13909.1KOff
8 May 2026117.5 GBP-2.1%122.4 GBP124.1 GBP-0.86-11.181.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context