- The trend backdrop is active with a 7-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
GREAVESCOT
NSI
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Greaves Cotton Limited · Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
Latest close
198.9 INR
-16.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 52.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -16.5%, after a -23.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.
Setup score
49
out of 100
Latest Close
198.9 INR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-16.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
-23.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
20.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
32.7%
17 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.8x
vs 13-week average
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- The latest week was a sharp negative move.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-16.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move -23.9%.
Indicator stack
42/72
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
53/100
32 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 52.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -16.5%, after a -23.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8012-week average 0.44
12-week confirmation
Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.80Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -23.9% over four weeks, 20.0% over 12 weeks, and -3.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 7 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak7 weeks
Active weeks in one year17
Trend breadth32.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.24Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-4.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership5.97Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-86.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 85%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength18/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Value24/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Quality25/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Momentum67/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Growth89/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework20/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 44.0x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.3x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 19.8x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -1.3% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 32.3% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 3.7% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -1.8% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 5.8% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 17.6% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 83.1% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.0% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.5% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 1.5% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.8x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 32 relevant articles.
7 positive · 24 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-26.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.3%Week of 10 Jul.
Worst week-16.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Latest week-16.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses6
Recent vol7.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.7% / -4.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Industrials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average0.8%
Trend breadth62.0%
Trend62.0%active weekly trend signals
MD43.0%positive activity pressure
RS60.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Specialty Industrial Machinery
4-week rank72 / 73
Group average1.0%
Trend breadth63.0%
Trend63.0%active weekly trend signals
MD56.2%positive activity pressure
RS57.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape54/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 54/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis76/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 11/12.
Activity pressure 0.80; No reversal markers Factors31/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 2; Small Cap Core rank 63 SVQF20/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 1263.0 of 1576 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 32 relevant articles.
Sensex Today Ends 210 Points Lower | Nifty Below 24,650 | Greaves Cotton Down 14% Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 198.9 INR | -16.5% | 178.4 INR | 178.1 INR | 1.24 | 5.97 | 24.1M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 238.1 INR | -2.6% | 177.6 INR | 177.7 INR | 1.52 | 27.72 | 4.6M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 244.3 INR | -1.3% | 176.2 INR | 177.0 INR | 1.53 | 34.78 | 7.5M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 247.4 INR | -5.4% | 174.3 INR | 176.3 INR | 1.45 | 34.06 | 13.1M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 261.5 INR | 16.3% | 172.1 INR | 175.6 INR | 1.30 | 43.12 | 31.1M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 224.7 INR | 5.8% | 169.4 INR | 174.7 INR | 1.06 | 23.60 | 3.0M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 212.3 INR | 7.0% | 168.1 INR | 174.2 INR | 0.98 | 18.23 | 0 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 198.5 INR | 7.3% | 167.7 INR | 173.6 INR | 1.08 | 11.01 | 2.8M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 185.0 INR | -3.7% | 167.9 INR | 173.2 INR | 1.00 | 5.32 | 1.1M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 192.2 INR | 5.8% | 168.8 INR | 172.9 INR | 1.10 | 10.51 | 4.1M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 181.6 INR | 7.2% | 169.2 INR | 172.5 INR | 1.20 | 3.69 | 8.4M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 169.4 INR | 2.2% | 170.7 INR | 172.2 INR | 1.05 | -4.04 | 4.3M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 165.8 INR | -3.3% | 171.9 INR | 172.0 INR | 0.94 | -6.14 | 6.9M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 171.4 INR | 3.7% | 173.2 INR | 171.9 INR | 0.72 | -5.46 | 7.1M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.