- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
ILU
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Iluka Resources Limited · Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Latest close
7.08 AUD
17.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 48.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 17.0%, after a 5.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 49/100.
Setup score
42
out of 100
Latest Close
7.08 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
17.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
5.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-10.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
63.5%
33 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.4x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.16% based on similar historical setup states.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
17.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 5.8%.
Indicator stack
35/32
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 43.16%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
49/100
32 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 48.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 17.0%, after a 5.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4712-week average 0.74
12-week confirmation
Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.47Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 5.8% over four weeks, -10.4% over 12 weeks, and 18.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year33
Trend breadth63.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.88Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-28.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership0.70Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-22.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 79%
Model confidence 63%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength20/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Value13/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Quality4/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Momentum89/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Growth8/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework16/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 3.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -22.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 59.7% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 15.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -90.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 3.6% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -13.2% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 0/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.7% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.7% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -6.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment49/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 32 relevant articles.
5 positive · 22 neutral · 5 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-25.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.7%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-11.8%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+17.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains7
Flat weeks1
Modest losses4
Sharp losses7
Recent vol7.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.3% / -6.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Basic Materials
4-week rank62 / 100
Group average7.2%
Trend breadth21.0%
Trend21.0%active weekly trend signals
MD27.0%positive activity pressure
RS52.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Other Industrial Metals & Mining
4-week rank39 / 100
Group average1.0%
Trend breadth22.0%
Trend22.0%active weekly trend signals
MD20.0%positive activity pressure
RS39.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape40/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 40/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis57/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 9/12.
Activity pressure 0.47; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 43.16%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.16% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors28/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 12 SVQF16/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 216.5 of 257 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment49/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 32 relevant articles.
What Is Driving Attention to Iluka Resources (ASX:ILU)? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 7.08 AUD | 17.0% | 6.87 AUD | 6.16 AUD | -0.88 | 0.70 | 10.3M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 6.05 AUD | 2.7% | 6.84 AUD | 6.17 AUD | -0.93 | -11.01 | 13.2M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 5.89 AUD | -3.6% | 6.84 AUD | 6.20 AUD | -1.01 | -11.17 | 7.2M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 6.11 AUD | -8.7% | 6.83 AUD | 6.22 AUD | -0.93 | -7.98 | 9.6M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 6.69 AUD | -4.4% | 6.81 AUD | 6.25 AUD | -0.68 | 0.90 | 10.5M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 7.00 AUD | 1.4% | 6.78 AUD | 6.28 AUD | -0.58 | 5.64 | 2.3M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 6.90 AUD | -11.8% | 6.76 AUD | 6.30 AUD | -0.26 | 6.05 | 2.6M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 7.82 AUD | 6.7% | 6.75 AUD | 6.33 AUD | 0.16 | 20.37 | 4.2M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 7.33 AUD | -5.4% | 6.69 AUD | 6.35 AUD | 0.42 | 14.56 | 2.3M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 7.75 AUD | -1.9% | 6.67 AUD | 6.37 AUD | 0.77 | 24.96 | 9.3M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 7.90 AUD | -1.6% | 6.62 AUD | 6.40 AUD | 1.00 | 27.39 | 2.4M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 8.03 AUD | 1.6% | 6.58 AUD | 6.42 AUD | 1.06 | 32.29 | 11.0M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 7.90 AUD | -5.5% | 6.57 AUD | 6.43 AUD | 1.00 | 32.24 | 14.1M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 8.36 AUD | 0.0% | 6.58 AUD | 6.45 AUD | 0.93 | 39.78 | 12.2M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.