KEYFINSERV NSI Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Keynote Financial Services Limited · Financial Services · Capital Markets

Latest close 248.6 INR
-2.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 17.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.9%, after a -6.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 25 out of 100
Latest Close 248.6 INR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -2.9% latest completed week
4W Return -6.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return -7.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 25.0% 13 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 17.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.9%, after a -6.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0312-week average 0.07

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.03Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -6.1% over four weeks, -7.4% over 12 weeks, and -2.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.9%
4W-6.1%
12W-7.4%
26W-13.8%
52W-2.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year13
Trend breadth25.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.68Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-1917.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-9.30Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-343.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength56/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 45; rank 1 is best.
Value52/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 49; rank 1 is best.
Quality51/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.
Momentum54/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Growth51/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework49/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
20.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
6.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
13.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-18.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
50.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
31.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-117.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
3.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-54.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-611.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
2/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.4%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-1.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-1.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.

1 positive · 7 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-34.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.5%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-11.8%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week-2.9%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses10
Recent vol5.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.8% / -5.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026248.6 INR-2.9%269.0 INR234.6 INR-0.68-9.309.8KOff
31 Jul 2026256.0 INR0.8%270.2 INR233.7 INR-0.49-5.948.7KOff
24 Jul 2026253.9 INR-2.6%272.2 INR232.6 INR-0.23-4.283.8KOff
17 Jul 2026260.6 INR-1.5%274.0 INR231.6 INR-0.10-3.964.2KOff
10 Jul 2026264.7 INR-4.4%275.9 INR230.5 INR-0.03-2.106.5KOff
3 Jul 2026276.8 INR13.5%277.6 INR229.4 INR-0.132.212.7KOff
26 Jun 2026243.9 INR-4.6%279.6 INR228.2 INR-0.25-8.980Off
19 Jun 2026255.6 INR2.9%281.0 INR227.3 INR-0.11-4.52601Off
12 Jun 2026248.4 INR-4.1%281.9 INR226.2 INR-0.08-5.782.8KOff
5 Jun 2026259.0 INR-5.8%284.9 INR225.2 INR-0.02-0.60700Off
29 May 2026274.9 INR0.6%287.7 INR224.2 INR0.134.665.6KOff
22 May 2026273.1 INR1.7%289.1 INR223.0 INR0.123.125.8KOff
15 May 2026268.5 INR-9.3%288.7 INR221.9 INR0.331.3212.6KOff
8 May 2026296.0 INR6.9%288.6 INR220.8 INR0.328.5812.5KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context