MVGJL NSI Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Manoj Vaibhav Gems 'N' Jewellers Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Luxury Goods

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Latest close 169.9 INR
1.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 6.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 44.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.6%, after a 8.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 42 out of 100
Latest Close 169.9 INR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 1.6% latest completed week
4W Return 8.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 9.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 40.50% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.6% Latest completed week; four-week move 8.8%. Indicator stack 0/85 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 40.50% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 53/100 18 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 6.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 44.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.6%, after a 8.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0812-week average 0.09

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.08Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 8.8% over four weeks, 9.3% over 12 weeks, and -21.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.6%
4W8.8%
12W9.3%
26W-2.1%
52W-21.0%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.23Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change386.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-1.10Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change88.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength74/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Value96/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Quality31/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Momentum17/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Growth68/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework92/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
7.2x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
6.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
1.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
13.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
6.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
0.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
10.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
15.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
14.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.

3 positive · 15 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-23.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.9%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-13.8%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+1.6%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses3
Recent vol5.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/31Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.7% / -3.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape35/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis22/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.08; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 40.50%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 40.50% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors54/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Tiny Titans rank 61; Buyback Yield rank 44; Small Cap Core rank 15 SVQF92/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 128.0 of 1576 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.

Manoj Vaibhav Gems promoter declares no encumbrance on shares Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026169.9 INR1.6%160.0 INR224.4 INR0.23-1.10227.2KOff
31 Jul 2026167.2 INR7.3%160.3 INR224.7 INR0.18-2.46537.9KOff
24 Jul 2026155.8 INR0.1%160.8 INR225.1 INR-0.02-7.15193.1KOff
17 Jul 2026155.6 INR-0.3%161.9 INR225.6 INR-0.02-9.91555.0KOff
10 Jul 2026156.1 INR2.9%162.7 INR226.1 INR-0.08-9.77493.9KOff
3 Jul 2026151.8 INR5.5%163.5 INR226.6 INR-0.23-13.0551.1KOff
26 Jun 2026143.8 INR-2.5%164.7 INR227.1 INR-0.20-17.440Off
19 Jun 2026147.5 INR0.9%166.2 INR227.7 INR0.04-15.8761.2KOff
12 Jun 2026146.2 INR-3.8%168.0 INR228.2 INR0.18-16.1197.8KOff
5 Jun 2026152.0 INR-0.3%169.7 INR228.8 INR0.34-12.6677.4KOff
29 May 2026152.5 INR-7.3%171.3 INR229.4 INR0.53-13.91530.8KOff
22 May 2026164.5 INR5.8%172.5 INR229.9 INR0.54-8.56253.6KOff
15 May 2026155.5 INR-13.8%173.3 INR230.4 INR0.63-13.75375.3KOff
8 May 2026180.4 INR4.0%174.4 INR231.0 INR0.70-2.68255.9KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context