FSV TOR Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

FirstService Corporation · Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Latest close 200.8 CAD
1.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 26.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.7%, after a -1.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.

Setup score 34 out of 100
Latest Close 200.8 CAD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 1.7% latest completed week
4W Return -1.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 12.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 19.2% 10 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 26.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.7%, after a -1.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2112-week average 0.10

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.21Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -1.1% over four weeks, 12.7% over 12 weeks, and -25.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.7%
4W-1.1%
12W12.7%
26W-8.4%
52W-25.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year10
Trend breadth19.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.93Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change9.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-18.49Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change1.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength12/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Value13/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Quality81/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Momentum7/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
Growth34/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework36/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
54.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
19.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
33.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
6.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
6.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
10.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
5.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
6.9%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
84.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.9%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-0.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.

2 positive · 14 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-30.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.2%Week of 5 Jun.
Worst week-10.3%Week of 1 May.
Latest week+1.7%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses7
Recent vol3.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.3% / -3.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026200.8 CAD1.7%199.5 CAD224.9 CAD0.93-18.49492.7KOff
31 Jul 2026197.5 CAD1.9%200.2 CAD224.9 CAD0.90-18.19858.7KOff
24 Jul 2026193.8 CAD-6.9%200.5 CAD224.9 CAD0.92-20.99885.0KOff
17 Jul 2026208.2 CAD2.6%201.2 CAD225.0 CAD0.93-15.89345.3KOff
10 Jul 2026202.9 CAD-2.1%201.3 CAD224.9 CAD0.85-18.79339.2KOff
3 Jul 2026207.4 CAD4.0%201.6 CAD225.0 CAD0.81-17.6140.3KOff
26 Jun 2026199.3 CAD3.6%201.8 CAD224.9 CAD0.59-20.83220.3KOff
19 Jun 2026192.4 CAD-3.7%202.5 CAD224.9 CAD0.34-24.20328.1KOff
12 Jun 2026199.8 CAD2.1%203.3 CAD224.9 CAD0.01-21.90169.5KOff
5 Jun 2026195.8 CAD6.2%203.9 CAD224.8 CAD-0.41-22.97190.7KOff
29 May 2026184.4 CAD1.7%204.5 CAD224.8 CAD-0.56-28.81903.0KOff
22 May 2026181.4 CAD1.8%205.7 CAD224.8 CAD-0.64-30.06641.0KOff
15 May 2026178.2 CAD-3.1%207.3 CAD224.9 CAD-0.38-30.70635.3KOff
8 May 2026183.8 CAD2.4%209.9 CAD225.0 CAD-0.18-29.74766.7KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context