- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
GRV
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Greenvale Energy Ltd · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Latest close
0.03 AUD
-10.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -31.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 4.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -10.7%, after a -44.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100.
Setup score
28
out of 100
Latest Close
0.03 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-10.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
-44.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-39.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
15.4%
8 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
3.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.64% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-10.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move -44.4%.
Indicator stack
8/54
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 43.64%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
56/100
39 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -31.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 4.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -10.7%, after a -44.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 3.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1812-week average 0.19
12-week confirmation
Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.18Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals2Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -44.4% over four weeks, -39.0% over 12 weeks, and -45.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year8
Trend breadth15.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.50Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-58.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-43.03Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-929.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 24%
Model confidence 12%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength53/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 48; rank 1 is best.
Value52/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 49; rank 1 is best.
Quality50/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 51; rank 1 is best.
Momentum51/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.
Growth52/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 49; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- - Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- - Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 0/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- - Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment56/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 39 relevant articles.
7 positive · 31 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-64.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility12.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+18.4%Week of 10 Jul.
Worst week-26.3%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week-10.7%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains1
Flat weeks2
Modest losses2
Sharp losses12
Recent vol12.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.0% / -8.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Energy
4-week rank95 / 100
Group average-2.9%
Trend breadth15.0%
Trend15.0%active weekly trend signals
MD25.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Oil & Gas E&P
4-week rank65 / 70
Group average-2.7%
Trend breadth14.3%
Trend14.3%active weekly trend signals
MD25.7%positive activity pressure
RS18.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape29/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 29/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis36/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.18; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 43.64%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.64% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors51/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 34 Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment56/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 39 relevant articles.
Earnings To Watch: Viper Energy (VNOM) Reports Q2 Results Tomorrow Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.03 AUD | -10.7% | 0.04 AUD | 0.05 AUD | 0.50 | -43.03 | 10.6M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.03 AUD | -26.3% | 0.04 AUD | 0.05 AUD | 1.21 | -34.82 | 11.7M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.04 AUD | -7.3% | 0.04 AUD | 0.05 AUD | 1.40 | -10.48 | 1.0M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.04 AUD | -8.9% | 0.04 AUD | 0.05 AUD | 1.47 | -3.97 | 3.3M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.04 AUD | 18.4% | 0.04 AUD | 0.05 AUD | 1.19 | 5.19 | 3.3M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.04 AUD | -5.0% | 0.04 AUD | 0.05 AUD | 0.62 | -11.28 | 0 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.04 AUD | 5.3% | 0.04 AUD | 0.05 AUD | 0.58 | -5.63 | 241.2K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.04 AUD | 15.2% | 0.04 AUD | 0.05 AUD | 0.43 | -10.71 | 131.0K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.03 AUD | 0.0% | 0.04 AUD | 0.05 AUD | 0.37 | -22.30 | 0 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.03 AUD | -8.3% | 0.04 AUD | 0.06 AUD | 0.77 | -21.01 | 3.1M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.04 AUD | 0.0% | 0.04 AUD | 0.06 AUD | 0.68 | -15.26 | 705.5K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.04 AUD | -12.2% | 0.04 AUD | 0.06 AUD | 0.63 | -14.81 | 1.1M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.04 AUD | 17.1% | 0.04 AUD | 0.06 AUD | 0.51 | -2.93 | 2.6M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 0.04 AUD | -2.8% | 0.04 AUD | 0.06 AUD | 0.17 | -18.42 | 662.0K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.