- The trend backdrop is active with a 18-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
BCP
LIS
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Banco Comercial Português, S.A. · Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Latest close
1.10 EUR
3.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 20.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.0%, after a 5.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
80
out of 100
Latest Close
1.10 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
3.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
5.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
22.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
94.2%
49 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.3x
vs 13-week average
- 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
3.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 5.8%.
Indicator stack
97/77
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 61.83%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
51/100
8 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 20.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.0%, after a 5.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9912-week average 0.84
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.99Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 5.8% over four weeks, 22.0% over 12 weeks, and 50.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 18 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak18 weeks
Active weeks in one year49
Trend breadth94.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.37Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change28.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership21.97Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change17.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment51/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.
1 positive · 7 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.9%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-9.2%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+3.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorPT Financial Services
4-week rank1 / 3
Group average-0.9%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryPT Banks - Regional
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average5.8%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape81/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 81/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis85/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.99; 3 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 61.83%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 61.83% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment51/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.
Banco Comercial Português Reports Interim Share Buy-Back Activity Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 1.10 EUR | 3.0% | 0.91 EUR | 0.54 EUR | 1.37 | 21.97 | 219.4M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1.06 EUR | -0.4% | 0.90 EUR | 0.53 EUR | 1.31 | 19.87 | 238.1M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1.07 EUR | 4.2% | 0.90 EUR | 0.53 EUR | 1.23 | 19.72 | 212.4M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1.03 EUR | -1.0% | 0.89 EUR | 0.52 EUR | 1.12 | 17.48 | 237.6M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1.04 EUR | -3.4% | 0.89 EUR | 0.51 EUR | 1.07 | 18.79 | 205.7M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1.07 EUR | 5.5% | 0.88 EUR | 0.51 EUR | 0.91 | 20.82 | 48.7M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 1.02 EUR | -1.7% | 0.87 EUR | 0.50 EUR | 0.68 | 17.69 | 28.9M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1.03 EUR | 8.9% | 0.86 EUR | 0.50 EUR | 0.65 | 20.81 | 89.9M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.95 EUR | 2.4% | 0.85 EUR | 0.49 EUR | 0.61 | 11.69 | 82.6M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.93 EUR | -1.1% | 0.85 EUR | 0.49 EUR | 0.48 | 11.50 | 29.0M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.94 EUR | 1.0% | 0.84 EUR | 0.48 EUR | 0.48 | 11.45 | 306.9M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.93 EUR | 3.3% | 0.83 EUR | 0.48 EUR | 0.19 | 9.72 | 301.8M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.90 EUR | 0.6% | 0.83 EUR | 0.47 EUR | -0.20 | 8.14 | 197.8M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 0.89 EUR | 1.9% | 0.82 EUR | 0.47 EUR | -0.34 | 7.51 | 320.3M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.