IGG LSE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

IG Group Holdings plc · Financial Services · Capital Markets

Latest close 1,343 GBP
-8.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -13.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 34.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.0%, after a -25.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.

Setup score 38 out of 100
Latest Close 1,343 GBP 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -8.0% latest completed week
4W Return -25.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return -12.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 82.7% 43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 63.58% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 12 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -13.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 34.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.0%, after a -25.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.9x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8512-week average 0.97

12-week confirmation

Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.85Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1212 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 12 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -25.6% over four weeks, -12.4% over 12 weeks, and 19.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-8.0%
4W-25.6%
12W-12.4%
26W-0.6%
52W19.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year43
Trend breadth82.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.57Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-175.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-9.68Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-134.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 May 2025 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 42%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength97/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Value85/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Quality99/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Momentum90/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Growth92/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework75/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
11.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
4.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
6.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
12.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
81.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
35.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
51.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
19.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
11.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
32.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
28.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
4.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
5.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
10.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.

3 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-31.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.7%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-14.4%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week-8.0%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses3
Recent vol7.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.3% / -2.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20261,343 GBP-8.0%1,552 GBP1,035 GBP-0.57-9.688.7MOff
31 Jul 20261,460 GBP-14.4%1,551 GBP1,030 GBP-0.20-1.526.9MOn
24 Jul 20261,705 GBP-2.2%1,546 GBP1,026 GBP0.2116.593.1MOn
17 Jul 20261,743 GBP-3.5%1,532 GBP1,019 GBP0.4921.396.4MOn
10 Jul 20261,806 GBP-3.1%1,513 GBP1,012 GBP0.7627.805.2MOn
3 Jul 20261,863 GBP2.0%1,491 GBP1,005 GBP0.9130.57453.4KOn
26 Jun 20261,826 GBP-3.6%1,467 GBP997.3 GBP0.9731.06978.4KOn
19 Jun 20261,895 GBP-2.2%1,440 GBP989.9 GBP1.0938.992.0MOn
12 Jun 20261,938 GBP5.4%1,413 GBP982.2 GBP1.1741.971.8MOn
5 Jun 20261,839 GBP2.5%1,386 GBP974.2 GBP1.0637.35511.8KOn
29 May 20261,795 GBP-3.0%1,361 GBP966.9 GBP1.0034.524.9MOn
22 May 20261,850 GBP20.7%1,339 GBP959.8 GBP0.8938.7911.9MOn
15 May 20261,533 GBP0.3%1,312 GBP952.4 GBP0.7018.936.6MOn
8 May 20261,528 GBP0.5%1,297 GBP947.1 GBP0.6918.537.2MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context