- The trend backdrop is active with a 32-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
NLCINDIA
NSI
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
NLC India Limited · Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric
Latest close
304.4 INR
2.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 51.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.1%, after a -3.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
46
out of 100
Latest Close
304.4 INR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
2.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
-3.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-13.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
92.3%
48 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.4x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 8 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move -3.3%.
Indicator stack
96/0
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 51.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.1%, after a -3.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6812-week average 0.88
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.68Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers88 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 8 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -3.3% over four weeks, -13.7% over 12 weeks, and 33.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 32 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak32 weeks
Active weeks in one year48
Trend breadth92.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.90Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-585.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership11.12Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-41.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 88%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength91/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Value73/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Quality65/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 36; rank 1 is best.
Momentum86/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Growth77/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework26/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 12.6x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 2.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 9.7x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -3.8% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 83.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 15.4% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -16.2% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 4.1% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 14.4% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 34.4% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -269.8% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.7% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.7% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.9% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 3.6x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-21.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.5%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-6.1%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week+2.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.9% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Utilities
4-week rank23 / 41
Group average-2.2%
Trend breadth48.8%
Trend48.8%active weekly trend signals
MD26.8%positive activity pressure
RS31.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Utilities - Regulated Electric
4-week rank6 / 8
Group average-1.7%
Trend breadth62.5%
Trend62.5%active weekly trend signals
MD25.0%positive activity pressure
RS25.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape52/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 52/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis69/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.68; 8 reversal markers Factors78/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 83 SVQF26/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 1161.0 of 1576 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
NLCINDIA Forecast — Price Target — Prediction for 2027 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 304.4 INR | 2.1% | 293.4 INR | 237.4 INR | -0.90 | 11.12 | 8.0M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 298.0 INR | 1.8% | 291.5 INR | 236.3 INR | -0.78 | 10.20 | 10.5M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 292.8 INR | -0.9% | 290.5 INR | 235.1 INR | -0.65 | 11.64 | 10.6M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 295.6 INR | -6.1% | 289.0 INR | 233.9 INR | -0.40 | 10.64 | 9.3M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 314.9 INR | 0.4% | 287.0 INR | 232.8 INR | -0.13 | 19.10 | 14.2M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 313.5 INR | -2.1% | 284.5 INR | 231.5 INR | 0.06 | 19.13 | 1.8M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 320.1 INR | -0.5% | 281.9 INR | 230.1 INR | 0.42 | 23.64 | 0 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 321.7 INR | 1.7% | 279.2 INR | 228.7 INR | 0.83 | 25.51 | 7.2M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 316.3 INR | -6.0% | 276.6 INR | 227.2 INR | 1.18 | 26.51 | 10.8M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 336.6 INR | -3.2% | 274.4 INR | 225.8 INR | 1.59 | 37.15 | 3.4M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 347.5 INR | 0.8% | 271.7 INR | 224.3 INR | 1.77 | 41.87 | 26.5M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 344.6 INR | -2.3% | 268.7 INR | 222.6 INR | 1.87 | 41.02 | 26.1M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 352.8 INR | 7.5% | 265.9 INR | 221.0 INR | 1.93 | 46.19 | 108.8M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 328.2 INR | 3.7% | 262.8 INR | 219.2 INR | 1.92 | 34.41 | 24.0M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.