- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
TCPI
JKT
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk · Industrials · Marine Shipping
Latest close
3,940 IDR
-22.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -60.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 3.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -22.0%, after a -34.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
26
out of 100
Latest Close
3,940 IDR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-22.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
-34.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-65.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
69.2%
36 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-22.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move -34.3%.
Indicator stack
38/31
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
1 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -60.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 3.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -22.0%, after a -34.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2212-week average 0.62
12-week confirmation
Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.22Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -34.3% over four weeks, -65.4% over 12 weeks, and -35.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year36
Trend breadth69.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.13Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change17.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-47.71Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-248.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
0 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-71.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher8 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.4%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-22.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Latest week-22.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains3
Flat weeks2
Modest losses4
Sharp losses12
Recent vol6.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.8% / -6.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorID Industrials
4-week rank100 / 100
Group average9.2%
Trend breadth14.0%
Trend14.0%active weekly trend signals
MD51.0%positive activity pressure
RS61.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryID Marine Shipping
4-week rank34 / 34
Group average8.2%
Trend breadth8.8%
Trend8.8%active weekly trend signals
MD38.2%positive activity pressure
RS58.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape31/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 31/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis30/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 3/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 7/12.
Activity pressure 0.22; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
PT Transcoal Pacific Revenue Breakdown – IDX:TCPI Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 3,940 IDR | -22.0% | 9,901 IDR | 7,704 IDR | -1.13 | -47.71 | 11.1M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 5,050 IDR | -9.0% | 10,086 IDR | 7,722 IDR | -1.05 | -31.33 | 14.4M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 5,550 IDR | -5.9% | 10,207 IDR | 7,740 IDR | -1.12 | -24.06 | 26.6M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 5,900 IDR | -1.7% | 10,335 IDR | 7,752 IDR | -1.24 | -18.84 | 30.9M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 6,000 IDR | -13.6% | 10,421 IDR | 7,759 IDR | -1.37 | -13.69 | 23.8M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 6,944 IDR | -6.4% | 10,485 IDR | 7,766 IDR | -1.51 | 1.10 | 5.3M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 7,418 IDR | -5.1% | 10,517 IDR | 7,766 IDR | -1.50 | 8.32 | 8.1M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 7,818 IDR | -15.9% | 10,521 IDR | 7,762 IDR | -1.42 | 9.81 | 3.1M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 9,291 IDR | 0.0% | 10,516 IDR | 7,754 IDR | -1.23 | 35.35 | 5.0M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 9,291 IDR | -14.4% | 10,459 IDR | 7,739 IDR | -1.10 | 47.20 | 2.3M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 10,850 IDR | -4.2% | 10,418 IDR | 7,725 IDR | -0.81 | 59.34 | 15.9M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 11,325 IDR | -0.7% | 10,318 IDR | 7,701 IDR | -0.65 | 68.08 | 21.7M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 11,400 IDR | -3.8% | 10,181 IDR | 7,675 IDR | -0.62 | 57.85 | 13.2M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 11,850 IDR | 3.0% | 10,012 IDR | 7,651 IDR | -0.16 | 60.80 | 25.7M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.